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| Turnout | 55.54% ( 3.61%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Campanian regional election took place in Campania, Italy, on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.[1][2]
Electoral system
The Regional Council of Campania (Consiglio Regionale della Campania) is composed of 50 members, elected in a party-list proportional representation system. The seats are divided among five constituencies corresponding to the region's provinces: Avellino with 4 seats, Benevento with 2 seats, Caserta with 8 seats, Naples with 27 seats, and Salerno with 9 seats. Regional councillors are selected from party lists at the constituency level, with an electoral threshold at 3%. An additional seat is reserved to the President-elect, who is the candidate winning a plurality of votes. A majority bonus of 60% is granted to the winning coalition.[3][4]
Background
In February 2020, the direction of the Democratic Party (PD) officially confirmed that the centre-left candidate for President of Campania would be the incumbent President Vincenzo De Luca.[5]
The centre-right coalition picked former President Stefano Caldoro, a member of Forza Italia (FI), as its candidate, after hypotheses of a League's candidate or Mara Carfagna (FI) were abandoned.[6][7]
The Five Star Movement (M5S) discarded the idea of a coalition with the centre-left, and proposed its own candidate Valeria Ciarambino.[6] Previously, the M5S had proposed the incumbent Minister of Environment Sergio Costa as its candidate.[8]
Parties and candidates
| Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Previous result | Candidate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| Centre-left coalition | Democratic Party (PD) | 19.5 | 15 | Vincenzo De Luca | ||
| De Luca for President | 4.9 | 4 | ||||
| Free Campania (CL) | 4.8 | 3 | ||||
| Democratic Centre (CD) | 2.8 | 2 | ||||
| Italian Socialist Party (PSI) | 2.2 | 1 | ||||
| Green Europe – Solidary Democracy (EV–DemoS) | 1.2 | 1 | ||||
| Really – Animalist Party (D–PA) (incl. IiC) | — | — | ||||
| More Campania in Europe (+C) (incl. PLI) | — | — | ||||
| Us Campanians (NC) | — | — | ||||
| Democratic Making – Populars (FD–Pop.) | — | — | ||||
| Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates (LD–CP–Mod.) | — | — | ||||
| Democrats and Progressives (DeP) (incl. Art.1, RD) | — | — | ||||
| Italia Viva (IV) | — | — | ||||
| For People and the Community (Per) | — | — | ||||
| Italian Republican Party – League for Italy (PRI–LpI) | — | — | ||||
| Centre-right coalition | Forza Italia (FI) | 17.8 | 7 | Stefano Caldoro | ||
| Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre (CP–UDC) (incl. NPSI, C!) | 9.6[lower-alpha 1] | 4[lower-alpha 2] | ||||
| Brothers of Italy (FdI) | 5.5 | 2 | ||||
| League (Lega) | — | — | ||||
| Alliance of the Centre (AdC) | — | — | ||||
| Southern Identity – Southern Macroregion (IM–MS) | — | — | ||||
| Five Star Movement (M5S) | 17.0 | 7 | Valeria Ciarambino | |||
| Terra (incl. SI, PRC, PCI, PdS, èViva) | 2.3 | – | Luca Saltalamacchia | |||
| Power to the People (PaP) | — | — | Giuliano Granato | |||
| Third Pole (TP) | — | — | Sergio Angrisano | |||
| Party of Good Manners | — | — | Giuseppe Cirillo | |||
Opinion polls
Candidates
| Date | Polling firm/ Client |
Sample size | De Luca | Caldoro | Ciarambino | Others | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2020 | Opinio (exit poll) | – | 54.0–58.0 | 23.0–27.0 | 10.5–14.5 | – | – | 31.0 |
| 1–4 Sep 2020 | Ixè | 1,000 | 54.4 | 26.9 | 15.0 | 3.7 | 23.7 | 27.5 |
| 29 Aug 2020 | Ipsos | 930 | 50.4 | 29.0 | 15.9 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 21.4 |
| 28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 | SWG | 1,000 | 51–55 | 29–33 | 11–15 | — | 26 | 18–26 |
| 27 Aug 2020 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 45–49 | 33–37 | 14–18 | 2–4 | — | 8–14 |
| 24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | Noto | — | 46–50 | 34–38 | 11–15 | 1–5 | — | 8–14 |
| 3–4 Aug 2020 | Tecnè | 1,000 | 44.5 | 39.0 | 15.0 | 1.5 | — | 5.5 |
| 20–22 Jul 2020 | Winpoll | 1,002 | 58.6 | 28.9 | 9.9 | 2.6 | 21.0 | 29.7 |
| 25–26 Jun 2020 | Winpoll Arcadia | 800 | 65.4 | 21.9 | 10.9 | — | — | 43.5 |
| 24–25 Jun 2020 | Noto | 1,000 | 45.0 | 39.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | — | 6.0 |
| 17–20 Dec 2019 | Winpoll Arcadia | 700 | 39.5 | 36.7 | 23.8 | – | — | 2.8 |
Hypothetical candidates
| Date | Polling firm/ Client |
Sample size | De Luca | Caldoro | Other CDX | Ciarambino | Costa | Others | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec–25 Dec 2019 | Index | 1,000 | 36.0 | 47.0 | — | 15.0 | — | 2.0 | 27.2 | 11.0 |
| 35.0 | — | 49.0[lower-alpha 1] | 14.0 | — | 2.0 | 25.9 | 14.0 | |||
| 12–15 Nov 2019 | Noto[lower-alpha 2] | 1,000 | 34.0 | 42.0 | — | — | 20.0 | 4.0 | 30.0 | 8.0 |
| 32.0 | — | 44.0[lower-alpha 1] | — | 22.0 | 2.0 | 25.8 | 12.0 | |||
| 34.0 | — | 42.0[lower-alpha 3] | — | 20.0 | 2.0 | 26.8 | 8.0 | |||
| 27 Sep 2019 | Winpoll Arcadia | – | 37.0 | — | 20.4[lower-alpha 4] | 5.2 | 7.9 | 33.0[lower-alpha 5] | — | 8.5 |
- 1 2 Mara Carfagna
- ↑ This poll was commissioned by a political party.
- ↑ Clemente Mastella
- ↑ Carfagna 16.9% and Edmondo Cirielli 4.5%.
- ↑ De Magistris, 28.5%
Parties
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Centre-left | M5S | Centre-right | Others | Undecided | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PD | IV | EV | DeP | +E | DL | Other | FI | Lega | FdI | Other | |||||||
| 1–4 Sep 2020 | Ixè | 1,000 | 20.6 | 1.5 | — | — | — | 17.3 | 7.1 | 19.4 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 26.3 | 1.2 |
| 29 Aug 2020 | Ipsos | 930 | 19.2 | 12.0 | 12.2 | 4.1 | 17.2 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 10.2 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 14.5 | 2.0 | |||
| 28 Aug–1 Sep 2020 | SWG | 1,000 | 18.5–20.5 | 1.5–2.5 | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 17.0–19.0 | — | 13.0–15.0 | 5.5–7.5 | 9.5–11.5 | 7.5–9.5 | — | 1.0–2.0 | 29.0 | -0.5–3.5 |
| 20–22 Jul 2020 | Winpoll | 1,002 | 15.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 14.4 | 14.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | — | 0.2 |
| 25–26 Jun 2020 | Winpoll Arcadia | 800 | 21.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | — | — | 20.6 | 21.7 | 8.2 | 10.7 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | — | 0.4 |
| 29–30 May 2020 | Tecnè | 1,000 | 21.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.3 | — | 1.7 | 24.3 | 14.1 | 15.3 | 12.4 | — | 2.2 | — | 2.6 |
| 17–20 Dec 2019 | Winpoll Arcadia | 700 | 22.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | — | 1.2 | 26.2 | 9.7 | 18.8 | 8.8 | — | 3.0 | — | 3.5 |
| 30 Nov–2 Dec 2019 | Index | 1,000 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 17.2 | 1.0 |
| 12–15 Nov 2019 | Noto[lower-alpha 1] | 1,000 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 |
- ↑ This poll was commissioned by a political party.
Results
The election saw the victory of the centre-left candidate and incumbent President of Campania, Vincenzo De Luca, who won almost 69.5% of the vote with more than 45% lead over the centre-right candidate Stefano Caldoro. The Five Star Movement candidate, Valeria Ciarambino, arrived third with less than 10% of the vote. The Democratic Party was the first party by number of votes, with 16.9% of preferences, followed by the list of De Luca and by the Five Star Movement.[9]
 | ||||||||||
| Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Votes | % | Seats | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincenzo De Luca | 1,789,017 | 69.48 | 1 | Democratic Party | 398,490 | 16.90 | 8 | |||
| De Luca for President | 313,666 | 13.30 | 6 | |||||||
| Italia Viva | 173,870 | 7.37 | 4 | |||||||
| Free Campania | 122,367 | 5.19 | 2 | |||||||
| Democratic Making – Populars | 104,857 | 4.45 | 2 | |||||||
| Us Campanians | 102,652 | 4.35 | 2 | |||||||
| Liberal Democrats – Popular Campania – Moderates | 84,769 | 3.60 | 2 | |||||||
| Democratic Centre | 76,141 | 3.23 | 2 | |||||||
| Italian Socialist Party | 60,100 | 2.55 | 1 | |||||||
| More Campania in Europe | 45,500 | 1.93 | 1 | |||||||
| Green Europe – Solidary Democracy | 42,996 | 1.82 | 1 | |||||||
| Really – Animalist Party | 33,681 | 1.43 | 1 | |||||||
| For the People and the Community | 26,452 | 1.12 | – | |||||||
| Democrats and Progressives | 25,254 | 1.07 | – | |||||||
| Italian Republican Party | 5,745 | 0.24 | – | |||||||
| Total | 1,616,540 | 68.57 | 32 | |||||||
| Stefano Caldoro | 464,921 | 18.06 | 1 | Brothers of Italy | 140,918 | 5.98 | 4 | |||
| League | 133,152 | 5.65 | 3 | |||||||
| Forza Italia | 121,695 | 5.16 | 2 | |||||||
| Caldoro for President – Union of the Centre | 45,326 | 1.92 | 1 | |||||||
| Alliance of the Centre | 6,432 | 0.27 | – | |||||||
| Southern Identity – South Macroregion | 3,333 | 0.14 | – | |||||||
| Total | 450,856 | 19.12 | 10 | |||||||
| Valeria Ciarambino | 255,714 | 9.93 | – | Five Star Movement | 233,974 | 9.92 | 7 | |||
| Giuliano Granato | 30,955 | 1.20 | – | Power to the People | 26,711 | 1.13 | – | |||
| Luca Saltalamacchia | 27,475 | 1.07 | – | Terra | 25,125 | 1.07 | – | |||
| Sergio Angrisano | 4,028 | 0.16 | – | Third Pole | 3,056 | 0.13 | – | |||
| Giuseppe Cirillo | 2,608 | 0.10 | – | Party of Good Manners | 1,348 | 0.06 | – | |||
| Blank and invalid votes | 199,386 | 7.19 | ||||||||
| Total candidates | 2,574,718 | 100.00 | 2 | Total parties | 2,357,610 | 100.00 | 49 | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 4,996,921 | 55.52 | ||||||||
| Source: Ministry of the Interior – Results | ||||||||||
Turnout
| Region | Time | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | 21 Sep | |||
| 12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 | |
| Campania | 11.32% | 26.52% | 38.92% | 55.53% |
| Province | Time | |||
| 20 Sep | 21 Sep | |||
| 12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 | |
| Avellino | 9.55% | 24.95% | 37.01% | 51.86% |
| Benevento | 10.06% | 24.80% | 36.22% | 51.73% |
| Caserta | 11.21% | 27.00% | 40.20% | 57.61% |
| Naples | 11.84% | 26.78% | 38.86% | 55.33% |
| Salerno | 11.24% | 26.67% | 39.62% | 57.11% |
| Source: Ministry of the Interior – Turnout | ||||
Elected councillors
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See also
References
- ↑ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali" (in Italian). Il Post. 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
- ↑ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
- ↑ "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 6 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
- ↑ "Regioni.it - n. 2689 del 24-03-2015 - Campania al voto con una nuova legge elettorale - Regioni.it". www.regioni.it. Archived from the original on 16 December 2019. Retrieved 16 December 2019.
- ↑ "Regionali Campania 2020, la direzione Pd ufficializza la scelta: «Il nostro candidato è De Luca»". il Mattino (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
- 1 2 "Elezioni regionali Campania 2020, la guida: data, candidati e sondaggi". Money.it (in Italian). 31 July 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
- ↑ "Regionali Campania 2020, la Lega vuole il candidato ma Forza Italia frena: tocca a noi". il Mattino (in Italian). 10 May 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
- ↑ "Regionali, il M5S lancia Costa in Campania. Ma il Pd si schiera con De Luca". la Repubblica (in Italian). 17 February 2020. Retrieved 7 August 2020.
- ↑ Bufi, Fulvio (22 September 2020). "Elezioni regionali 2020 in Campania, i risultati definitivi". Corriere della Sera (in Italian). Retrieved 24 September 2020.
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