2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey
November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06)
All 12 New Jersey seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 7 5
Seats won 11 1
Seat change Increase 4 Decrease 4
Popular vote 1,856,819 1,198,691
Percentage 59.92% 38.68%
Swing Increase 5.76% Decrease 7.16%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 12 U.S. representatives from the state of New Jersey, one from each of the state's 12 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Democrats won 4 seats from Republicans and changed control from 7–5 for Democrats to 11–1 for Democrats, the lowest number of seats Republicans have won in the state since 1912.[1] This is the first time since the 1912 elections that Republicans failed to hold any seat in North Jersey.

However, Representative Jeff Van Drew of the 2nd district would later change his party affiliation from Democratic to Republican in December 2019 bringing it down to 10-2.[2]

Overview

Statewide

Party Candidates Votes Seats
No.  % No. +/–  %
Democratic 12 1,856,819 59.92 11 Increase4 91.67
Republican 12 1,198,664 38.68 1 Decrease4 8.33
Independent 15 23,719 0.77 0 Steady 0.0
Libertarian 8 12,963 0.42 0 Steady 0.0
Constitution 1 3,902 0.13 0 Steady 0.0
Green 1 2,676 0.09 0 Steady 0.0
Total 49 3,098,743 100.0 12 Steady 100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
 
 59.92%
Republican
 
 38.68%
Other
 
 1.40%
House seats
Democratic
 
 91.67%
Republican
 
 8.33%

By district

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey by district:[3]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1169,62864.40%87,61733.26%6,1732.34%263,418100.0%Democratic hold
District 2136,68552.90%116,86645.23%4,8121.86%258,363100.0%Democratic gain
District 3153,47350.01%149,50048.72%3,9021.27%306,875100.0%Democratic gain
District 4126,76643.07%163,06555.40%4,5171.53%294,348100.0%Republican hold
District 5169,54656.18%128,25542.49%4,0221.33%301,823100.0%Democratic hold
District 6140,75263.63%80,44336.37%00.00%221,195100.0%Democratic hold
District 7166,98551.74%150,78546.72%4,9721.54%322,742100.0%Democratic gain
District 8119,88178.12%28,72518.72%4,8493.16%153,455100.0%Democratic hold
District 9140,83270.27%57,85428.87%1,7300.86%200,416100.0%Democratic hold
District 10175,25387.56%20,19110.09%4,7152.36%200,159100.0%Democratic hold
District 11183,68456.77%136,32242.13%3,5681.10%323,574100.0%Democratic gain
District 12173,33468.68%79,04131.32%00.00%252,375100.0%Democratic hold
Total1,856,81959.92%1,198,66438.68%43,2601.40%3,098,743100.0%

District 1

2018 New Jersey's 1st congressional district election
 
Nominee Donald Norcross Paul E. Dilks
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 169,628 87,617
Percentage 64.4% 33.3%
Norcross:      50-60%      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Donald Norcross
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Donald Norcross
Democratic

The 1st district is based in South Jersey and includes most of Camden County along with parts of Burlington County and Gloucester County. Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross, who had represented the district since 2014, ran for reelection. He was reelected with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+13.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Robert Lee Carlson
  • Scot John Tomaszewski

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donald Norcross (incumbent) 39,788 84.1
Democratic Robert Lee Carlson 4,570 9.7
Democratic Scot John Tomaszewski 2,953 6.2
Total votes 47,311 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul E. Dilks 12,363 100.0
Total votes 12,363 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Donald Norcross (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

New Jersey's 1st congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donald Norcross (incumbent) 169,628 64.4
Republican Paul E. Dilks 87,617 33.3
Libertarian Robert Shapiro 2,821 1.1
Independent Paul Hamlin 2,368 0.9
Independent Mohammad Kabir 984 0.4
Total votes 263,418 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

2018 New Jersey's 2nd congressional district election
 
Nominee Jeff Van Drew Seth Grossman
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 136,685 116,866
Percentage 52.9% 45.2%
County results
Van Drew:      50-60%
Grossman:      50-60%      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Frank LoBiondo
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Jeff Van Drew
Democratic

The 2nd district is based in South Jersey and is the biggest Congressional District in the state. It includes all of Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland and Salem Counties and parts of Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Frank LoBiondo, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in November 2017 that he would not run for re-election in 2018 making the 2nd an open seat.[11] He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+1.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Sam Fiocchi
County Republican Party organizations
Brian T. Fitzherbert
County Republican Party organizations
Hirsh Singh
County Republican Party organizations
State Senators
State Assembly members
Individuals
  • Giancarlo Ghione, Chair of the New Jersey Young Republican Federation[33]
James Toto
County Republican Party organizations
Robert Turkavage
County Republican Party organizations

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Seth Grossman 10,215 39.0
Republican Hirsh V. Singh 7,983 30.5
Republican Samuel Fiocchi 6,107 23.3
Republican Robert D. Turkavage 1,854 7.1
Total votes 26,159 100

Democratic primary

This was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[37]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Jeff Van Drew
Individuals
Tanzie Youngblood
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Van Drew 16,901 57.0
Democratic Tanzira "Tanzie" Youngblood 5,495 18.5
Democratic William Cunningham 4,795 16.2
Democratic Nate Kleinman 2,467 8.3
Total votes 29,658 100

General election

Campaign

A month after the primaries, the National Republican Congressional Committee withdrew its support of Grossman following the news that he had posted an article from the white nationalist website American Renaissance on his Facebook page stating blacks represent “a threat to all who cross their paths, black and non-black alike.”[44] Grossman responded that he hadn’t carefully read the article that he had posted in 2014 and doesn’t believe its racist sentiments, although in explaining his actions he said many black teenagers are violent and dangerous.[45] Grossman also posted comments that criticized ‘multi-culturalism’ and ‘diversity’.[46]

Endorsements

Jeff Van Drew (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Seth
Grossman (R)		 Jeff
Van Drew (D)		 Other Undecided
Stockton University October 17–23, 2018 597 ± 4.0% 38% 55% 5%[51] 2%
Stockton University September 12–18, 2018 535 ± 4.2% 32% 55% 5%[52] 8%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)

administered

 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Generic
Republican (R)		 Jeff
Van Drew (D)		 Other Undecided
DCCC (D) February 12–13, 2018 – – 39% 51% – –
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Republican
candidate		 Democratic
candidate		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–10, 2017 565 ± 4.1% 39% 44% – 17%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Safe D (flip) November 5, 2018
538[58] Safe D (flip) November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Safe D (flip) October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Likely D (flip) November 4, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 2nd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Van Drew 136,685 52.9
Republican Seth Grossman 116,866 45.2
Libertarian John Ordille 1,726 0.7
Independent Steven Fenichel 1,154 0.4
Independent Anthony Parisi Sanchez 1,064 0.4
Independent William Benfer 868 0.3
Majority 19,819 7.7
Total votes 258,363 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

2018 New Jersey's 3rd congressional district election
 
Nominee Andy Kim Tom MacArthur
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 153,473 149,500
Percentage 50.0% 48.7%
County results
Kim:      50-60%
MacArthur:      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Tom MacArthur
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Kim
Democratic

The 3rd district is based in South Jersey and includes parts of Burlington and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Tom MacArthur, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom MacArthur (incumbent) 25,612 100.0
Total votes 25,612 100.0

Democratic primary

This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[37]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
  • Rich Dennison, attorney, funeral home director, and nominee for the state senate (LD-7) in 2007 (died on January 22, 2018)[62][63]
  • Katherine Hartman, attorney[64]
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 28,514 100.0
Total votes 28,514 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Tom MacArthur (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Andy Kim (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals

Debate

2018 New Jersey's 3rd congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Tom MacArthur Andy Kim
1 Oct. 31, 2018 NJ PBS David Cruz YouTube P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
MacArthur (R)		 Andy
Kim (D)		 Larry
Berlinski (C)		 Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 21–25, 2018 508 ± 4.8% 45% 44% 2% 9%
Monmouth University October 18–22, 2018 363 ± 5.2% 46% 48% 2% 5%
Stockton University October 3–10, 2018 546 ± 4.2% 47% 45% 7%[76] 1%
National Research Inc. (R-MacArthur) October 2–4, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 44% 40% – 16%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 22–26, 2018 499 ± 4.8% 39% 49% – 12%
DCCC (D) September 4–5, 2018 523 ± 4.3% 45% 47% – 8%
Monmouth University August 7–9, 2018 300 LV ± 5.7% 44% 45% 3% 9%
401 RV ± 4.9% 41% 40% 3% 15%
Global Strategy Group (D) June 11–21, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 42% 42% – 16%
GQR Research (D-Kim) May 29 – June 3, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 48% 44% – 8%
Public Policy Polling (D) April 16–17, 2018 669 ± 3.8% 42% 41% – 17%
Public Policy Polling (D) February 14–15, 2018 336 ± 5.4% 47% 43% – 10%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Tossup November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Tilt D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Tossup November 5, 2018
538[58] Tossup November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Tossup October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Tossup November 2, 2018

Results

The close result required a recount, with Kim ultimately winning by 3,973 votes[77]

New Jersey's 3rd congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Andy Kim 153,473 50.0
Republican Tom MacArthur (incumbent) 149,500 48.7
Constitution Larry Berlinski 3,902 1.3
Majority 3,973 1.3
Total votes 306,875 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 4

2018 New Jersey's 4th congressional district election
 
Nominee Chris Smith Joshua Welle
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 163,065 126,766
Percentage 55.4% 43.1%
County results
Smith:      50-60%      60-70%
Welle:      40-50%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Smith
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Smith
Republican

The 4th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Monmouth and Ocean counties. Incumbent Republican Chris Smith, who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Smith (incumbent) 25,930 100.0
Total votes 25,930 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joshua Welle, navy veteran[78]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined
  • Kelly Stewart Maer, party operative[81]

Endorsements

Joshua Welle
County Democratic Party Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joshua Welle 16,905 57.1
Democratic Jim Keady 12,682 42.9
Total votes 29,587 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Chris Smith (R)
Labor unions
Organizations
Joshua Welle (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Safe R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Safe R November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[58] Likely R November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Safe R October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Likely R November 2, 2018

Results

Smith's showing of 55% was his lowest since 1982 when he defeated Joseph P. Merlino 53% to 47%.

New Jersey's 4th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Smith (incumbent) 163,065 55.4
Democratic Joshua Welle 126,766 43.1
Libertarian Michael Rufo 1,387 0.5
Independent Ed Stackhouse 1,064 0.4
Independent Brian Reynolds 851 0.3
Independent Felicia Stoler 844 0.3
Independent Allen Yusufov 371 0.1
Majority 36,299 12.3
Total votes 294,348 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2018 New Jersey's 5th congressional district election
 
Nominee Josh Gottheimer John J. McCann Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 169,546 128,255
Percentage 56.2% 42.5%
County results
Gottheimer:      60-70%
Pallotta:      50-60%
U.S. Representative before election

Josh Gottheimer
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Josh Gottheimer
Democratic

The 5th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Passaic, Sussex and Warren counties. Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) 27,486 100.0
Total votes 27,486 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John McCann, attorney and former Cresskill Borough Council member[88]
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Steve Lonegan
U.S. Senators
State senators
State assembly members
Organizations
Local politicians
  • Richard D. Gardner, Warren County freeholder[111]
  • Edward J. Smith, Warren County freeholder[111]
  • Jason Sarnoski, Warren County freeholder[111]
Individuals

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John J. McCann Jr. 16,685 53.0
Republican Steven M. Lonegan 14,767 47.0
Total votes 31,452 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Josh Gottheimer (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
John McCann (R)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Mayors
County Sheriffs
County Freeholders
  • John Driscoll, Bergen County Freeholder (former)[117]
  • Robert Hermansen, Bergen County Freeholder (former), Mahwah Councilman[117]
  • John Felice, Bergen County Freeholder (former)[127]
  • Carl Lazarro, Sussex County Freeholder[125]
  • Geroge Graham, Sussex County Freeholder[125]
  • Johnathan Rose, Sussex County Freeholder
Municipal Council Members
Individuals
County Republican Party Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Josh
Gottheimer (D)		 John
McCann (R)		 Other Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R-McCann) October 12–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 47% 38% 9%[137] 7%
Tel Opinion Research (R-McCann) August 9–12, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 36% 39% – 25%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Likely D November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Safe D November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Likely D November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Likely D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Likely D November 5, 2018
538[58] Safe D November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Safe D October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Likely D November 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 5th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Josh Gottheimer (incumbent) 169,546 56.2
Republican John J. McCann 128,255 42.5
Libertarian James Tosone 2,115 0.7
Independent Wendy Goetz 1,907 0.6
Majority 41,291 13.7
Total votes 301,823 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

2018 New Jersey's 6th congressional district election
 
Nominee Frank Pallone Richard J. Pezzullo
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 140,752 80,443
Percentage 63.6% 36.4%
County results
Pallone:      50-60%      60-70%
U.S. Representative before election

Frank Pallone
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Pallone
Democratic

The 6th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone, who had represented the district since 1988, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Javahn Walker

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) 23,621 86.2
Democratic Javahn Walker 3,770 13.8
Total votes 27,391 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Richard Pezzullo, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2014[138]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard J. Pezzullo 9,827 100.0
Total votes 9,827 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Frank Pallone (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

New Jersey's 6th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frank Pallone Jr. (incumbent) 140,752 63.6
Republican Richard J. Pezzullo 80,443 36.4
Total votes 221,195 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

2018 New Jersey's 7th congressional district election
 
Nominee Tom Malinowski Leonard Lance
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 166,985 150,785
Percentage 51.7% 46.7%
County results
Malinowski:      50-60%      60-70%
Lance:      50-60%
U.S. Representative before election

Leonard Lance
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Tom Malinowski
Democratic

The 7th district includes all of Hunterdon County, and parts of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren Counties. Incumbent Republican Leonard Lance, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Lindsay Brown, web developer[140]
Declined
  • Rosemary Becchi, attorney[141]
  • Craig Heard, marketing consultant and candidate for this seat in 2016[142]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Leonard Lance (incumbent) 24,934 74.9
Republican Lindsay C. Brown 4,795 14.4
Republican Raafat Barsoom 3,556 10.7
Total votes 33,285 100

Democratic primary

This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[37]

Three Democrats were on the Democratic primary ballot. They included former Assistant Secretary of State for Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor Tom Malinowski;[143] lawyer Goutam Jois;[144] and social worker Peter Jacob. Green Party of New Jersey member Diane Moxley also announced her intent to run for the seat.[145] Westfield teacher and attorney Lisa Mandelblatt withdrew in February 2017,[146] as did Scotch Plains lawyer Scott Salmon.[147] The Democratic County Parties in New Jersey's 7th District unanimously threw their support to Malinowski, and he received the county line for the June 5 primary in all counties.

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Peter Jacob, social worker and nominee in 2016[149]
  • Goutam Jois, attorney[150]
Withdrawn
  • Lisa Mandelblatt, teacher and attorney[151](withdrew February 2018, endorsed Malinowski)[146]
  • David Pringle, environmental activist[152]
  • Scott Salmon, attorney[151] (withdrew February 2018, endorsed Malinowski)[153]
  • Linda Weber, bank executive[154][155]
Declined

Endorsements

Peter Jacob
Organizations
Tom Malinowski
County Democratic Party Organizations
Individuals
  • Lisa Mandelblatt, teacher, attorney and former candidate for this seat

Results

Malinowski won the Democratic nomination in the June primary.[166]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Malinowski 26,172 66.8
Democratic Peter Jacob 7,503 19.1
Democratic Goutam Jois 5,507 14.1
Total votes 39,182 100

General election

Endorsements

Leonard Lance (R)
Labor unions
Organizations
Tom Malinowski (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Statewide officials

Debate

2018 New Jersey's 7th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Leonard Lance Tom Malinowski
1 Oct. 17, 2018 NJTV Briana Vannozzi C-SPAN P P

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Leonard
Lance (R)		 Tom
Malinowski (D)		 Other Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 28–31, 2018 503 ± 4.6% 39% 47% 1% 12%
Monmouth University October 25–29, 2018 356 ± 5.2% 44% 47% 2% 6%
NYT Upshot/Siena College September 17–21, 2018 504 ± 4.8% 45% 44% – 10%
Monmouth University September 13–17, 2018 365 LV ± 5.1% 43% 46% 2% 9%
414 RV ± 4.8% 39% 47% 2% 12%
GQR Research (D-Malinowski) June 20–25, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 45% 47% – 7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Leonard
Lance (R)		 Democratic
candidate (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–9, 2017 528 ± 4.3% 41% 42% – 17%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Tossup November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Tossup November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Tossup November 5, 2018
538[58] Likely D (flip) November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Tossup October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Tossup November 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 7th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Malinowski 166,985 51.7
Republican Leonard Lance (incumbent) 150,785 46.7
Green Diane Moxley 2,676 0.8
Independent Gregg Mele 2,296 0.7
Majority 16,200 5.0
Total votes 322,742 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 8

2018 New Jersey's 8th congressional district election
 
Nominee Albio Sires John R. Muniz
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 119,881 28,725
Percentage 78.1% 18.7%
County results
Sires:      70-80%
U.S. Representative before election

Albio Sires
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Albio Sires
Democratic

The 8th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Albio Sires, who had represented the district since 2006, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 77% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+27.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Albio Sires (incumbent) 31,583 100.0
Total votes 31,583 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John R. Muniz 3,052 100.0
Total votes 3,052 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Albio Sires (D)
Labor unions

Results

New Jersey's 8th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Albio Sires (incumbent) 119,881 78.1
Republican John R. Muniz 28,752 18.7
Independent Mahmoud Mahmoud 3,658 2.4
Libertarian Dan Delaney 1,191 0.8
Total votes 153,455 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2018 New Jersey's 9th congressional district election
 
Nominee Bill Pascrell Eric P. Fisher
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 140,832 57,854
Percentage 70.3% 28.9%
County results
Pascrell:      60-70%      70-80%
U.S. Representative before election

Bill Pascrell
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Pascrell
Democratic

The 9th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Bergen, Hudson and Passaic counties. Incumbent Democrat Bill Pascrell, who had represented the district since 1997, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+16.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • William Henry

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) 23,365 85.7
Democratic William O. Henry 3,911 14.3
Total votes 27,276 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric P. Fisher 5,142 100.0
Total votes 5,142 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Bill Pascrell (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

New Jersey's 9th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bill Pascrell Jr. (incumbent) 140,832 70.3
Republican Eric P. Fisher 57,854 28.9
Libertarian Claudio Belusic 1,730 0.9
Total votes 200,416 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

2018 New Jersey's 10th congressional district election
 
Nominee Donald Payne Jr. Agha Khan
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 175,253 20,191
Percentage 87.6% 10.1%
County results
Payne Jr.:      70-80%      80-90%      >90%
U.S. Representative before election

Donald Payne Jr.
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Donald Payne Jr.
Democratic

The 10th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Hudson and Union counties. Incumbent Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 86% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+36.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Aaron Fraser

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) 38,206 91.7
Democratic Aaron Walter Fraser 3,442 8.3
Total votes 41,648 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Agha Khan 2,292 100.0
Total votes 2,292 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Donald Payne Jr. (D)
Labor unions

Results

New Jersey's 10th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Donald M. Payne Jr. (incumbent) 175,253 87.6
Republican Agha Khan 20,191 10.1
Independent Cynthia Johnson 2,070 1.0
Independent Joanne Miller 2,038 1.0
Libertarian Scott DiRoma 607 0.3
Total votes 200,159 100.0

District 11

2018 New Jersey's 11th congressional district election
 
Nominee Mikie Sherrill Jay Webber
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 183,684 136,322
Percentage 56.8% 42.1%
County results
Sherrill:      50-60%      60-70%
Webber:      50-60%
U.S. Representative before election

Rodney Frelinghuysen
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Mikie Sherrill
Democratic

The 11th district is based in North Jersey and includes parts of Essex, Morris, Passaic and Sussex counties. Incumbent Republican Rodney Frelinghuysen, who had represented the district since 1995, announced in January 2018 that he will not seek re-election.[170] He was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+3.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Antony Ghee, JAG officer, investment banker, and attorney[172]
  • Martin Hewitt, attorney[173]
  • Peter De Neufville, former executive chairman of Voltaix, Inc.[174]
  • Patrick S Allocco, concert promoter and political campaign operative[175]
Declined
Endorsements
Antony Ghee
State senators
State assembly member
Local officials

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Webber 16,417 40.0
Republican Peter de Neufville 12,487 30.5
Republican Antony E. Ghee 8,991 21.9
Republican Patrick S. Allocco 1,680 4.1
Republican Martin Hewitt 1,428 3.5
Total votes 41,003 100

Democratic primary

This is one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.[37]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 35,338 77.4
Democratic Tamara Harris 6,615 14.5
Democratic Mark Washburne 1,538 3.4
Democratic Alison Heslin 1,253 2.7
Democratic Mitchell H. Cobert 885 1.9
Total votes 45,629 100

General election

Endorsements

Jay Webber (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State Senators
State Assembly members
Organizations
Local officials
Individuals
Mikie Sherrill (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State Senators
State Assembly members
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Local officials
Individuals
County Democratic Party Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Jay
Webber (R)		 Mikie
Sherrill (D)		 Other Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 13–17, 2018 487 ± 4.6% 38% 49% 2% 11%
Monmouth University October 3–7, 2018 356 ± 5.2% 44% 48% 1% 6%
National Research Inc. (R-Webber) September 24–27, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 43% 46% – –
Monmouth University June 22–25, 2018 339 LV ± 5.3% 40% 44% 1% 15%
406 RV ± 4.9% 38% 40% 1% 20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Generic
Republican		 Mikie
Sherill (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) February 12–13, 2018 688 ± 3.7% 42% 40% – 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rodney
Freylinghuysen (R)		 Democratic
candidate (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–9, 2017 710 ± 3.7% 44% 46% – 10%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[54] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[56] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[57] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
538[58] Likely D (flip) November 7, 2018
CNN[59] Lean D (flip) October 31, 2018
Politico[60] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2018

Results

New Jersey's 11th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mikie Sherrill 183,684 56.8
Republican Jay Webber 136,322 42.1
Independent Robert Crook 2,182 0.7
Libertarian Ryan Martinez 1,386 0.4
Majority 47,362 14.7
Total votes 323,574 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 12

2018 New Jersey's 12th congressional district election
 
Nominee Bonnie Watson Coleman Daryl Kipnis
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 173,334 79,041
Percentage 68.7% 31.3%
County results
Watson Coleman:      60-70%      70-80%
U.S. Representative before election

Bonnie Watson Coleman
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Bonnie Watson Coleman
Democratic

The 12th district is based in Central Jersey and includes parts of Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset and Union counties. The district is known for its research centers and educational institutions such as Princeton University, Institute for Advanced Study, Johnson & Johnson and Bristol-Myers Squibb. Incumbent Democrat Bonnie Watson Coleman, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 20. The district had a PVI of +.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) 35,430 100.0
Total votes 35,430 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Daryl Kipnis, attorney and nominee for state senate (LD-17) in 2017[252]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daryl Kipnis 9,776 100.0
Total votes 9,776 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

New Jersey's 12th congressional district, 2018
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bonnie Watson Coleman (incumbent) 173,334 68.7
Republican Daryl Kipnis 79,041 31.3
Total votes 252,375 100.0
Democratic hold

References

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