2026 Baden-Württemberg state election
2026
All 120 seats in the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg (including any overhang and leveling seats)
61 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Party Greens CDU SPD
Last election 58 seats, 32.6% 42 seats, 24.1% 19 seats, 11.0%
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Party FDP AfD
Last election 18 seats, 10.5% 11 seats, 9.7%
Government before election

Third Kretschmann cabinet
Green–CDU

 Government after election

TBD

The next election to the Landtag of Baden-Württemberg is scheduled for 2026.

Background

In the 2021 state election, the Greens, led by Minister-President Winfried Kretschmann, were the strongest with 32.6%, giving them their best nationwide result ever in a state election. For Baden-Württemberg, the CDU achieved its poor result with 24.1%, the SPD also achieved its worst result with 11%, but again became the third strongest force, the FDP achieved one of its best results with 10.5%. The AfD suffered heavy losses, becoming the weakest force in the state parliament with 9.7%.

The Third Kretschmann cabinet was formed; a Green–CDU coalition.[1]

In April 2022, the Landtag amended the state's electoral law, so that a second vote and closed list was added. In addition, the voting age was lowered to age 16.[2][3]

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted.

Party polling

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 Grüne CDU SPD FDP AfD Linke FW BSW Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 23–27 Oct 2023 1,100 20 30 10 7 22 1.5 3 – 6.5 10
20 27 9 8 20 2 – 6 8 7
Infratest dimap 21–25 Sep 2023 1,162 22 29 12 8 20 – – 9 7
Wahlkreisprognose 17–24 Jul 2023 1,000 25.5 24 11 7 21 2 3 6.5 1.5
Infratest dimap 13–18 Jul 2023 1,185 24 26 13 7 19 – – 11 2
INSA 20–27 Mar 2023 1,000 28 27 13 9 12 3 – 8 1
Infratest dimap 16–21 Mar 2023 1,178 26 27 15 10 12 – – 10 1
Wahlkreisprognose 7–13 Mar 2023 1,005 28 32 10 6.5 13 2 3 5.5 4
Wahlkreisprognose 18–22 Dec 2022 1,000 28 23 15 9 15 2 2.5 5.5 5
INSA 24–31 Oct 2022 1,000 26 28 13 10 13 3 – 7 2
Infratest dimap 20–25 Oct 2022 1,175 27 26 15 9 13 3 – 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 16–22 Oct 2022 1,014 27.5 22 15 8 16 3 4 4.5 5.5
Wahlkreisprognose 8–15 Aug 2022 1,300 30.5 24 13 10 12 2.5 3 5 6.5
INSA 4–11 Jul 2022 1,000 29 26 14 11 10 3 – 7 3
Wahlkreisprognose 3–10 Jun 2022 1,000 30.5 20.5 14 13 11 4 – 7 10
Wahlkreisprognose 5–6 May 2022 1,040 27.5 20.5 18 14 10 3 – 7 7
Infratest dimap 12–19 Apr 2022 1,170 28 26 15 11 9 3 – 8 2
INSA 28 Mar–4 Apr 2022 1,000 25 23 19 11 10 3 – 9 2
Wahlkreisprognose 8–16 Mar 2022 1,600 27 25 16 14 9 2 – 7 2
Infratest dimap 4–8 Mar 2022 1,152 27 24 18 13 9 3 – 6 3
Infratest dimap 13–18 Jan 2022 1,166 26 23 16 12 11 4 – 8 3
Wahlkreisprognose 23–30 Dec 2021 1,002 26 19 20 19 8.5 3 – 4.5 6
Infratest dimap 7–12 Oct 2021 1,162 27 17 20 15 9 3 3 6 7
INSA 4–11 Oct 2021 1,000 24 20 21 16 9 3 – 7 3
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 – 17.2 24.8 21.6 15.3 9.6 3.3 1.7 6.5 3.2
2021 state election 14 Mar 2021 – 32.6 24.1 11.0 10.5 9.7 3.6 3.0 5.5 8.5

References

  1. ↑ "Green-black coalition in Baden-Württemberg is in place". Der Spiegel (in German). 1 May 2021.
  2. ↑ Soldt, Rüdiger; Stuttgart. "Baden-Württemberg: Bläht das neue Wahlrecht den Landtag auf?". FAZ.NET (in German). ISSN 0174-4909. Retrieved 2022-10-09.
  3. ↑ "Gesetz zur Änderung der Verfassung des Landes Baden-Württemberg und des Gesetzes über die Landtagswahlen" (PDF). landtag-bw.de. 6 April 2022.
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