2019 Manitoba general election

September 10, 2019

57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
29 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout55.04%
  First party Second party
 
Brian Pallister with Andrew Scheer (48002323306).jpg
Wab Kinew (cropped).jpg
Leader Brian Pallister Wab Kinew
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since July 30, 2012 September 16, 2017
Leader's seat Fort Whyte Fort Rouge
Last election 40 seats, 53.01% 14 seats, 25.73%
Seats before 38 12
Seats won 36 18
Seat change Decrease2 Increase6
Popular vote 222,569 150,016
Percentage 46.81% 31.55%
Swing Decrease6.27% Increase5.77%

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Dougald Lamont James Beddome
Party Liberal Green
Leader since October 21, 2017 November 15, 2014
Leader's seat St. Boniface ran in Fort Rouge (lost)
Last election 3 seats, 14.46% 0 seats, 5.07%
Seats before 4 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Decrease1 Steady
Popular vote 69,497 30,295
Percentage 14.62% 6.37%
Swing Increase0.22% Increase1.30%

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed to the right.

Premier before election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Brian Pallister
Progressive Conservative

The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.[1]

The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.

Background

Date

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election.[2] As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.[3]

However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.[4]

It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.[5]

Electoral boundaries

By law, Manitoba's electoral boundaries are reviewed every 10 years. The latest review was completed the end of 2018, meaning the 2019 elections were the first ones contested using the new boundaries.[6][7]

Timeline

2016

2017

2018

2019

  • April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election.[12]
  • August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10.[4]
  • September 10: The election is held.

Movement in seats held

41st Manitoba Legislature - Movement in seats held up to the election (2016-2019)
Party 2016 Gain/(loss) due to 2019
Resignation
as MLA
Expulsion/
Suspension
Switching
allegiance
Byelection gain Byelection hold
Progressive Conservative 40(2)38
New Democratic 14(2)(1)112
Liberal 314
Manitoba First 11
Independent 3(1)2
Total57(2)1157
Changes in seats held (2016–2019)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Point Douglas January 9, 2017 Kevin Chief  New Democratic Resignation June 13, 2017 Bernadette Smith  New Democratic
The Maples January 31, 2017 Mohinder Saran  New Democratic Suspended from caucus  Independent
Assiniboia June 30, 2017 Steven Fletcher  PC Expelled from caucus  Independent
September 11, 2018  Independent Becomes leader of new party  Manitoba First
St. Boniface March 7, 2018 Greg Selinger  New Democratic Resignation July 17, 2018 Dougald Lamont  Liberal
Emerson October 22, 2018 Cliff Graydon  PC Expelled from caucus  Independent

Historical results from 1990 onwards

Graph of Manitoba general election results by share of votes, 1990–2019; omitted are minor parties consistently registering less than 2% of the vote.
Graph of Manitoba general election results by seats won, 1990–2019; those of independent MNAs are omitted.

Campaign

Riding contests, by number of candidates (2019)[13]
Candidates PC NDP Lib Grn MFW M1ST Comm Ind Total
3 13131339
4 292929281116
5 10101010242250
6 5555423130
Total 575757437653235

Results

Elections to the 42nd Manitoba Legislature[13]
Party Leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2016 Dissolution 2019 +/- Votes % +/-
Progressive Conservative Brian Pallister 57403836-4222,56946.81-6.27
New Democratic Wab Kinew 57141218+4150,01631.55+5.77
Liberal Dougald Lamont 5734369,49714.62+0.22
Green James Beddome 4330,2956.37+1.30
  Manitoba Forward Wayne Sturby 71,3390.28
  Manitoba First[lower-alpha 1] Douglas Petrick 616470.14-0.98
Communist Darrell Rankin 52140.05-0.02
  Independents 328540.18-0.29
  Vacant 0
Valid votes 478,92699.27
Blank and invalid votes 3,4950.73
Total 235575757482,421100
Registered voters/turnout 870,13755.44
Popular vote
PC
46.81%
New Democratic
31.55%
Liberal
14.62%
Green
6.37%
Others
0.64%
Seat summary
PC
63.16%
New Democratic
31.58%
Liberal
5.26%


Synopsis of results

2019 Manitoba general election - synopsis of riding results[a 1]
Riding[a 2] 2016
(Redist)
[a 3]
Winning party Turnout
[a 4]
Votes[a 5]
Party Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind Other Total
 
Agassiz  PC  PC 5,70075.53%4,73662.75%56.05%5,7009644634207,547
Assiniboia  PC  PC 4,10844.25%8168.79%54.70%4,1083,2921,2476369,283
Borderland  PC  PC 4,88666.09%3,66049.50%61.86%4,8862911,2262507407,393
Brandon East  PC  PC 3,29451.00%94714.66%45.68%3,2942,3478186,459
Brandon West  PC  PC 4,31158.39%2,55434.59%51.27%4,3111,7575677487,383
Burrows  Lib  NDP 2,55539.70%87413.58%46.08%1,6812,5551,1781,0226,436
Concordia  NDP  NDP 4,30559.69%2,01027.87%48.46%2,2954,3056127,212
Dauphin  PC  PC 4,80550.52%7738.13%58.62%4,8054,0326759,512
Dawson Trail  PC  PC 4,55555.41%2,67532.54%57.84%4,5551,7851,8808,220
Elmwood  NDP  NDP 3,88648.68%1,34616.86%50.23%2,5403,886746765457,982
Flin Flon  NDP  NDP 3,17363.19%1,81636.17%33.91%1,3573,1732991925,021
Fort Garry  PC  NDP 4,00342.35%99610.54%61.69%3,0074,0031,7197239,452
Fort Richmond  PC  PC 3,24242.15%87911.43%57.38%3,2421,7082,3633797,692
Fort Rouge  NDP  NDP 5,05551.24%3,19832.41%58.76%1,8575,0551,2901,580849,866
Fort Whyte  PC  PC 5,61957.19%3,86239.30%60.35%5,6191,7571,731665549,826
Interlake-Gimli  PC  PC 6,16558.62%2,68725.55%65.56%6,1653,47840047310,516
Keewatinook  Liberal  NDP 1,93267.08%1,39748.51%21.84%4131,9325352,880
Kildonan-River East  PC  PC 5,52351.10%1,84417.06%61.82%5,5233,6791,60710,809
Kirkfield Park  PC  PC 5,44550.36%2,66824.67%61.25%5,4452,7771,69589610,813
La Verendrye  PC  PC 5,31072.79%4,26458.45%55.41%5,3101,0469397,295
Lac du Bonnet  PC  PC 6,17765.91%4,36346.55%61.24%6,1771,8141,3819,372
Lagimodière  PC  PC 5,18751.78%2,39523.91%62.27%5,1872,7921,48155710,018
Lakeside  PC  PC 6,40968.24%4,32046.00%59.22%6,4092,0898949,392
McPhillips  PC  PC 3,35938.19%881.00%56.64%3,3593,2711,5064142458,795
Midland  PC  PC 6,70675.01%5,33459.66%59.27%6,7061,3728628,940
Morden-Winkler  PC  PC 6,10980.86%5,30570.22%51.19%6,1093652778047,555
Notre Dame  NDP  NDP 3,42065.01%2,62649.91%40.86%7943,420719267615,261
Point Douglas  NDP  NDP 3,13662.35%2,37347.18%36.00%7633,1365944141235,030
Portage la Prairie  PC  PC 4,50265.67%2,99443.68%48.64%4,5021,5088456,855
Radisson  PC  PC 4,52746.97%98910.26%56.47%4,5273,5381,0025729,639
Red River North  PC  PC 5,56957.97%3,18033.10%63.96%5,5692,3897357401739,606
Riding Mountain  PC  PC 6,12665.91%4,15644.72%55.72%6,1261,9704727269,294
Riel  PC  PC 4,73444.75%9909.36%63.24%4,7343,7441,47163010,579
River Heights  Lib  Lib 5,88453.79%3,18229.09%65.48%2,7021,5955,88475710,938
Roblin  PC  PC 6,20355.19%4,18037.19%61.83%6,2032,0231,7751,23811,239
Rossmere  PC  PC 4,36946.91%7518.06%59.62%4,3693,6187116159,313
Seine River  PC  PC 4,37245.04%1,84719.03%62.12%4,3722,5252,1516599,707
Selkirk  PC  PC 4,87251.84%1,54316.42%59.25%4,8723,3294827169,399
Southdale  PC  PC 4,49342.40%4834.56%61.66%4,4934,0101,4275957110,596
Springfield-Ritchot  PC  PC 5,67059.48%3,68838.69%60.56%5,6701,9828141,0669,532
Spruce Woods  PC  PC 5,66568.06%4,34452.19%56.75%5,6651,3215178208,323
St. Boniface  NDP  Lib 4,15241.68%1,17711.82%59.78%1,9072,9754,152845819,960
St. James  PC  NDP 4,00247.25%1,22114.42%55.78%2,7814,0028808068,469
St. Johns  NDP  NDP 3,54851.88%1,87427.40%47.34%1,6743,5481,1115066,839
St. Vital  PC  NDP 4,09244.47%8819.58%60.78%3,2114,0921,27450262609,201
Steinbach  PC  PC 6,24181.64%5,62573.58%52.49%6,2416163704187,645
Swan River  PC  PC 5,54668.87%3,46242.99%54.87%5,5462,0844238,053
The Maples  NDP  NDP 2,79239.51%6899.75%53.08%1,8832,7922,1032897,067
The Pas-Kameesak  NDP  NDP 3,18057.90%1,84433.58%43.04%1,3363,1801867905,492
Thompson  PC  NDP 2,68654.55%92918.87%37.27%1,7572,6861832984,924
Transcona  PC  NDP 4,03046.42%1121.29%52.45%3,9184,0307348,682
Turtle Mountain  PC  PC 6,21067.48%4,83852.57%57.28%6,2101,0036181,3729,203
Tuxedo  PC  PC 4,64547.85%2,35824.29%57.90%4,6451,9212,287793619,707
Tyndall Park  NDP  Lib 4,30154.67%1,89824.13%56.39%9842,4034,301157227,867
Union Station  NDP  NDP 2,91352.62%1,87633.89%44.06%9502,9131,037538985,536
Waverley  PC  PC 3,26750.05%1,40021.45%51.95%3,2671,8671,0703246,528
Wolseley  NDP  NDP 4,27146.03%93110.03%56.96%8384,2717783,340529,279
  1. "Results Summary - 42nd General Election" (PDF). electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  2. sorted as per results summary
  3. Marcoux, Jacques (August 27, 2019). "New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds". CBC News.
  4. including rejected and declined ballots
  5. minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote in 2019 are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = incumbent changed allegiance
  = previously incumbent in another riding
  = other incumbent renominated

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place[13]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCNDPLiberalGrn
Progressive Conservative 30 4 2 36
New Democratic 14 3 1 18
Liberal 1 2 8
Total 15 32 7 3 57
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[13]
PartiesSeats
 Progressive Conservative  New Democratic 44
 Progressive Conservative  Liberal 5
 Progressive Conservative  Green 2
 New Democratic  Liberal 5
 New Democratic  Green 1
Total 57
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[13]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
Progressive Conservative 3615657
New Democratic 18326157
Liberal 37321557
Green 31227143
Manitoba First 55
  Manitoba Forward 134
Independent 123

Seats changing hands

Elections to the 42nd Legislative Assembly of Manitoba – seats won/lost by party, 2016–2019
Party 2016
(Redist)
Gain from (loss to) 2019
PC NDP Lib
Progressive Conservative 41(5)36
New Democratic 1352(2)18
Liberal 32(2)3
Total5752(7)2(2)57

Nine seats changed allegiance in 2019:

Resulting composition of the 42nd Legislative Assembly of Manitoba
SourceParty
PC NDP Lib Total
Seats retainedIncumbents returned297137
Seats retained by incumbents from other ridings55
Open seats held145
Ouster of incumbent changing affiliation11
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated33
Open seats gained44
Seat gained by incumbent from another riding11
Byelection gain held11
Total3618357

Incumbents not running for reelection

Riding Incumbent at dissolution and subsequent nominee New MLA
Assiniboia   Steven Fletcher[15] (elected as PC) none   Scott Johnston
Fort Garry-Riverview (redistributed to Fort Garry)   James Allum[16] Mark Wasyliw[17]   Mark Wasyliw
Kildonan (redistributed to Kildonan-River East)   Nic Curry[12] Cathy Cox   Cathy Cox
Logan (redistributed to Notre Dame and Union Station)   Flor Marcelino[18] Uzoma Asagwara   Uzoma Asagwara
Wolseley   Rob Altemeyer[19] Lisa Naylor[20]   Lisa Naylor
Minto (redistributed to Notre Dame)   Andrew Swan[21] Malaya Marcelino   Malaya Marcelino
Keewatinook   Judy Klassen[22] Jason Harper   Ian Bushie

Candidates by riding

  • Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Northern Manitoba

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreen
Flin Flon Theresa Wride
1,294 - 30.7%
Tom Lindsey
2,435 - 57.8%
James Lindsay
270 - 6.6%
Saara Murnick
203 - 4.8%
Tom Lindsey
Keewatinook Arnold Flett
355 - 13.6%
Ian Bushie
1,723 - 66.1%
Jason Harper
530 - 20.3%
Judy Klassen
Swan River Rick Wowchuk
5,529 - 69.0%
Shelley Wiggins
2,064 - 25.8%
David Teffaine
417 - 5.2%
Rick Wowchuk
The Pas-Kameesak Ron Evans
1,324 - 24.8%
Amanda Lathlin
3,054 - 57.2%
Ken Brandt
178 - 3.3%
Ralph McLean
780 - 14.6%
Amanda Lathlin
The Pas
Thompson Kelly Bindle
1,750 - 35.9%
Danielle Adams
2,651 - 54.4%
Darla Contois
177 - 3.6%
Meagan Jemmett
294 - 6.0%
Kelly Bindle

Westman/Parkland

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreen
Agassiz Eileen Clarke
5,688 - 75.6%
Kelly Legaspi
954 - 12.7%
Hector Swanson
462 - 6.1%
Liz Clayton
417 - 5.5%
Eileen Clarke
Turtle Mountain Doyle Piwniuk
6,202 - 67.5%
Angie Herrera-Hildebrand
1,003 - 10.9%
Richard Davies
623 - 6.8%
David M. Neufeld
1,356 - 14.8%
Doyle Piwniuk
Arthur-Virden
Brandon East Len Isleifson
3,272 - 51.3%
Lonnie Patterson
2,311 - 36.2%
Kim Longstreet
799 - 12.5%
Len Isleifson
Brandon West Reg Helwer
4,307 - 58.5%
Nick Brown
1,747 - 23.7%
Sunday Frangi
564 - 7.7%
Robert Brown
744 - 10.1%
Reg Helwer
Dauphin Brad Michaleski
4,799 - 50.5%
Darcy Scheller
4,022 - 42.4%
Cathy Scofield-Singh
674 - 7.1%
Brad Michaleski
Riding Mountain Greg Nesbitt
6,117 - 66.1%
Wayne Chacun
1,961 - 21.2%
Jordan Fleury
454 - 4.9%
Mary Lowe
723 - 7.8%
Greg Nesbitt
Spruce Woods Cliff Cullen
5,657 - 68.1%
Justin Shannon
1,316 - 15.8%
Jennifer Harcus
515 - 6.2%
Gordon Beddome
816 - 9.8%
Cliff Cullen

Central Manitoba

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenOther
Borderland Josh Guenter
4,885 - 66.1%
Liz Cronk
287 - 3.9%
Loren Braul
1,226 - 16.6%
Ken Henry
250 - 3.4%
Cliff Graydon
739 - 10.0%[23]
Cliff Graydon
Emerson
Interlake-Gimli Derek Johnson
6,199 - 58.8%
Sarah Pinsent
3,472 - 32.9%
Mary Lou Bourgeois
400 - 3.8%
Dwight Harfield
473 - 4.5%
Jeff Wharton
Gimli
Merged District
Derek Johnson
Interlake
Lakeside Ralph Eichler
6,394 - 68.7%
Dan Rugg
2,054 - 22.1%
Ilsa Regelsky
854 - 9.2%
Ralph Eichler
Midland Blaine Pedersen
6,700 - 75.0%
Cindy Friesen
1,370 - 15.3%
Julia Sisler
860 - 9.6%
Blaine Pedersen
Morden-Winkler Cameron Friesen
6,096 - 81.2%
Robin Dalloo
365 - 4.9%
David Mintz
277 - 3.7%
Mike Urichuk
769 - 10.2%
Cameron Friesen
Springfield-Ritchot Ron Schuler
5,661 - 59.5%
Obasesam Okoi
1,976 - 20.8%
Sara Mirwaldt
813 - 8.5%
Garrett Hawgood
1,065 - 11.2%
Shannon Martin
Morris
Portage la Prairie Ian Wishart
4,489 - 65.5%
Andrew Podolecki
1,521 - 22.2%
Charles Huband
843 - 12.3%
Ian Wishart

Eastman

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenManitoba First
Dawson Trail Bob Lagassé
4,548 - 55.4%
Echo Asher
1,783 - 21.7%
Robert Rivard
1,874 - 22.8%
Bob Lagassé
Lac du Bonnet Wayne Ewasko
6,170 - 66.1%
Sidney Klassen
1,793 - 19.2%
Terry Hayward
1,373 - 14.7%
Wayne Ewasko
La Verendrye Dennis Smook
5,305 - 72.8%
Erin McGee
1,052 - 14.4%
Lorena Mitchell
929 - 12.8%
Dennis Smook
Steinbach Kelvin Goertzen
6,237 - 81.7%
Rob Jessup
614 - 8.0%
LeAmber Kensley
369 - 4.8%
Janine Gibson
417 - 5.5%
Kelvin Goertzen
Red River North Jeff Wharton
5,566 - 58.0%
Chris Pullen
2,387 - 24.9%
Noel Ngo
732 - 7.6%
Graham Hnatiuk
739 - 7.7%
Jocelyn Burzuik
173 - 1.8%
Ron Schuler
St. Paul
Selkirk Alan Lagimodiere
4,736 - 51.4%
Mitch Obach
3,319 - 35.8%
Philip Olcen
480 - 5.2%
Tony Hill
713 - 7.7%
Alan Lagimodiere

Northwest Winnipeg

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenOther
Burrows Jasmine Brar
1,680 - 26.2%
Diljeet Brar
2,536 - 39.6%
Sarbjit Singh Gill
1,170 - 18.3%
Edda Pangilinan (MB Fwd.)
1,020 - 15.9%
Cindy Lamoureux
Kildonan-River East Cathy Cox
5,514 - 51.1%
Elliot Macdonald
3,673 - 34.0%
Kathryn Braun
1,602 - 14.8%
Nic Curry
Kildonan
Merged District
Cathy Cox
River East
McPhillips Shannon Martin
3,307 - 38.3%
Greg McFarlane
3,202 - 37.1%
John Cacayuran
1,476 - 17.1%
Jason Smith
406 - 4.7%

Dave Wheeler (MF)
237 - 2.7%
New Riding
Point Douglas Michelle Redmond
757 - 15.7%
Bernadette Smith
3,002 - 62.1%
Richard Sanderson
565 - 11.7%
Jenn Kess
398 - 8.2%
Fagie Fainman (CPC-M)
44 - 1.4%
Michael Wenuik (MB Fwd.)
66 - 0.9%
Bernadette Smith
St. Johns Ray Larkin
1,665 - 24.2%
Nahanni Fontaine
3,526 - 51.2%
Eddie Calisto-Tavares
1,092 - 15.9%
Joshua McNeil
601 - 8.7%
Nahanni Fontaine
The Maples Aman Sandhu
1,824 - 25.9%
Mintu Sandhu
2,744 - 39.0%
Amandeep Brar
2,070 - 29.4%
Kiran Gill
405 - 5.8%
Mohinder Saran
Tyndall Park Daljit Kainth
991 - 12.5%
Ted Marcelino
2,447 - 30.9%
Cindy Lamoureux
4,293 - 54.3%
Fleur Mann
154 - 1.9%

Frank Komarniski (CPC-M)
22 - 0.3%
Ted Marcelino

Northeast Winnipeg

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenOther
Concordia Andrew Frank
2,290 - 31.9%
Matt Wiebe
4,284 - 59.7%
Maria Albo
605 - 8.4%
Matt Wiebe
Elmwood Mayra Dubon
2,533 - 31.9%
Jim Maloway
3,862 - 48.6%
Regan Wolfrom
739 - 9.3%
Nicolas Geddert
763 - 9.6%
German Lombana (CPC-M)
45 - 0.6%
Jim Maloway
Radisson James Teitsma
4,523 - 47.0%
Raj Sandhu
3,534 - 36.7%
Tanya Hansen Pratt
997 - 10.4%
Carlianne Runions
576 - 6.0%
James Teitsma
Rossmere Andrew Micklefield
4,362 - 47.0%
Andy Regier
3,608 - 38.8%
Isaiah Oyeleru
707 - 7.6%
Amanda Bazan
613 - 6.6%
Andrew Micklefield
St. Boniface Megan Hoskins
1,889 - 19.2%
Laurissa Sims
2,939 - 29.9%
Dougald Lamont
4,077 - 41.5%
Jaclyn Jeanson
840 - 8.6%
Simone Fortier (MB Fwd.)
76 - 0.8%
Dougald Lamont
Transcona Blair Yakimoski
3,914 - 45.1%
Nello Altomare
4,029 - 46.4%
Dylan Bekkering
716 - 8.4%
Blair Yakimoski

West Winnipeg

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenManitoba First
Assiniboia Scott Johnston
4,102 - 44.2%
Joe McKellep
3,303 - 35.6%
Jeff Anderson
1,224 - 13.4%
John Delaat
631 - 6.8%
Steven Fletcher
Roblin Myrna Driedger
6,075 - 55.7%
Sophie Brandt-Murenzi
1,886 - 17.3%
Michael Bazak
1,728 - 15.9%
Kevin Nichols
1,209 - 11.1%
Myrna Driedger
Charleswood
Kirkfield Park Scott Fielding
5,435 - 50.3%
Kurt Morton
2,767 - 25.6%
Ernie Nathaniel
1,695 - 15.7%
Dennis Bayomi
901 - 8.3%
Scott Fielding
St. James Michelle Richard
2,767 - 32.4%
Adrien Sala
4,009 - 46.9%
Bernd Hohne
965 - 11.3%
Jeff Buhse
805 - 9.4%
Scott Johnston‡
Tuxedo Heather Stefanson
4,587 - 47.7%
Carla Compton
1,919 - 20.0%
Marc Brandson
2,225 - 23.1%
Kristin Lauhn-Jensen
822 - 8.6%
Abby Al-Sahi
60 - 0.6%
Heather Stefanson

Central Winnipeg

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenOther
Fort Garry Nancy Cooke
2,998 - 31.8%
Mark Wasyliw
3,994 - 42.4%
Craig Larkins
1,716 - 18.2%
Casey Fennessy
722 - 7.7%
James Allum
Fort Garry-Riverview
Fort Rouge Edna Nabess
1,854 - 18.9%
Wab Kinew
5,031 - 51.2%
Cyndy Friesen
1,285 - 13.1%
James Beddome
1,579 - 16.1%
Michael McCracken (MF)
54 - 0.5%
Bradley Hebert (MB Fwd.)
29 - 0.3%
Wab Kinew
Notre Dame Marsha Street
789 - 15.2%
Malaya Marcelino
3,361 - 64.9%
Donovan Martin
702 - 13.6%
Martha Jo Willard
263 - 5.1%
Andrew Taylor (CPC-M)
32 - 0.6%
Margaret Sturby (MB Fwd.)
28 - 0.5%
Andrew Swan
Minto
River Heights Susan Boulter
2,276 - 24.4%
Jonathan Niemczak
1,346 - 14.4%
Jon Gerrard
5,038 - 54.0%
Nathan Zahn
661 - 7.1%
Jon Gerrard
Union Station Tara Fawcett
908 - 18.0%
Uzoma Asagwara
2,635 - 52.2%
Harold Davis
949 - 18.8%
Andrea Shalay
473 - 9.4%
Elsa Cubas (CPC-M)
48 - 1.0%
James Yau (MB Fwd.)
32 - 0.6%
Flor Marcelino
Logan
Wolseley Elizabeth Hildebrand
831 - 8.9%
Lisa Naylor
4,253 - 45.6%
Shandi Strong
770 - 8.3%
David Nickarz
3,336 - 35.8%
Eddie Hendrickson
129 - 1.4%
Rob Altemeyer

South Winnipeg

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PCNDPLiberalGreenOther
Fort Richmond Sarah Guillemard
3,241 - 42.2%
George Wong
1,701 - 22.1%
Tanjit Nagra
2,361 - 30.7%
Cameron Proulx
379 - 4.9%
Sarah Guillemard
Fort Whyte Brian Pallister
5,609 - 57.2%
Beatrice Bruske
1,755 - 17.9%
Darrel Morin
1,729 - 17.6%
Sara Campbell
665 - 6.8%
Jason Holenski (MF)
54 - 0.6%
Brian Pallister
Lagimodière Andrew Smith
5,182 - 51.8%
Billie Cross
2,789 - 27.9%
Jake Sacher
1,481 - 14.8%
Bob Krul
557 - 5.6%
New Riding
Riel Rochelle Squires
4,472 - 44.9%
Mike Moyes
3,554 - 35.7%
Neil Johnston
1,352 - 13.6%
Roger Schellenberg
591 - 5.9%
Rochelle Squires
Seine River Janice Morley-Lecomte
4,363 - 45.1%
Durdana Islam
2,513 - 26.0%
James Bloomfield
2,147 - 22.2%
Bryanne Lamoureux
658 - 6.8%
Janice Morley-Lecomte
Southdale Audrey Gordon
4,486 - 42.7%
Karen Myshkowsky
3,955 - 37.6%
Spencer Duncanson
1,422 - 13.5%
Katherine Quinton
584 - 5.6%
Robert Cairns (MB Fwd.)
70 - 0.7%
Andrew Smith
St. Vital Colleen Mayer
3,211 - 35.0%
Jamie Moses
4,081 - 44.4%
Jeffrey Anderson
1,271 - 13.8%
Elizabeth Dickson
499 - 5.4%
David Sutherland (MF)
60 - 0.7%
Baljeet Sharma
62 - 0.7%
Colleen Mayer
Waverley Jon Reyes
3,265 - 50.0%
Dashi Zargani
1,865 - 28.6%
Fiona Haftani
1,070 - 16.4%
James Ducas
325 - 5.0%
Jon Reyes
St. Norbert

Opinion polls

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link PC NDP Liberal Green Other
Forum Research September 9, 2019 [p 1] 43 29 17 10 1
Research Co. September 9, 2019 [p 2] 44 31 16 7 1
Mainstreet Research September 4, 2019 [p 3] 43.3 34.2 15.1 6.2 1.2
Research Co. August 29, 2019 [p 4] 46 30 14 8 1
Probe Research Inc August 24, 2019 [p 5] 40 29 18 10 3
Mainstreet Research August 19, 2019 [p 6] 42.5 34.7 11.9 9.6 1.4
Converso August 7, 2019 [p 7] 35.0 21.0 12.0 8.0 1.0
Probe Research Inc June 17, 2019 [p 8] 42 26 16 14 3
Probe Research Inc March 24, 2019 [p 9] 42 30 18 7
Mainstreet Research March 24, 2019 [p 10] 44.8 32.1 13.1 6.7 3.3
Mainstreet Research January 16, 2019 [p 11] 44.6 28.0 16.8 4.6 6.0
Probe Research Inc December 6, 2018 [p 12] 44 27 21 5 3
Mainstreet Research November 5, 2018 [p 13] 42.3 28.7 18.1 6.0 4.9
Probe Research Inc September 28, 2018 [p 14] 44 25 20 8
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [p 15] 44.9 29.3 13.6 8.7 3.4
Probe Research Inc June 19, 2018 [p 16] 42 30 16 11
Mainstreet Research April 18, 2018 [p 17] 45.6 30.2 13.0 7.8
Probe Research Inc April 13, 2018 [p 18] 44 28 19 8
Mainstreet Research January 6, 2018 [p 19] 39.6 36.7 13.3 10.4
Probe Research Inc December 14, 2017 [p 20] 40 26 25 8
Probe Research Inc October 10, 2017 [p 21] 36 30 24 8
Probe Research Inc June 18, 2017 [p 22] 42 30 20 7
Mainstreet Research April 7, 2017 [p 23] 47 23 19 11
Probe Research Inc March 28, 2017 [p 24] 43 27 20 8
Probe Research Inc December 12, 2016 [p 25] 49 24 19 8
Probe Research Inc September 26, 2016 [p 26] 48 20 26 5
Probe Research Inc June 16, 2016 [p 27] 46 27 18 8
2016 election April 19, 2016 53.0 25.7 14.5 5.1 1.7
Polling firm Last date
of polling
Link Other
PC NDP Liberal Green

Notes

  1. Party name changed from Manitoba Party in 2019.[14]

References

  1. Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
  2. Elections Act, CCSM , c. E30, s. 49.1(2)
  3. CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
  4. 1 2 Hatherly, Dana (August 12, 2019). "Pallister makes it official: Manitoba election is Sept. 10". CBC News.
  5. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: poll". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  6. "2018 Manitoba Electoral Divisions". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  7. "Proposed 2018 Electoral Division Names, Populations and Variations". Manitoba Electoral Divisions Boundaries Commission. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  8. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC News. March 21, 2018.
  9. "MLA Biographies - Living". Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. Government of Manitoba. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  10. "Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission - Final Report 2018". Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission. Retrieved December 14, 2018.
  11. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  12. 1 2 "Manitoba Tory MLA Nic Curry won't seek re-election". CBC.ca. April 3, 2019. Retrieved September 11, 2019.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "Results Summary - 42nd General Election" (PDF). electionsmanitoba.ca. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved February 1, 2023.
  14. "Political Parties – 2019 Annual Report" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
  15. "Manitoba MLA Steven Fletcher to run for People's Party of Canada". CBC News. May 22, 2019. Retrieved June 11, 2019.
  16. "Manitoba NDP's James Allum to finish term, won't seek re-election". The Canadian Press via The Province. December 14, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  17. "Winnipeg school trustee upset with province over funding to seek NDP nomination". The Canadian Press via CBC Manitoba. March 19, 2019. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  18. Froese, Ian (June 3, 2019). "Former interim NDP leader Flor Marcelino won't run for re-election". CBC Manitoba. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
  19. "Wolseley MLA Rob Altemeyer won't run in next provincial election". CBC Manitoba. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  20. "News in Brief - Naylor wins Wolseley NDP nomination". Winnipeg Free Press. March 21, 2018. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
  21. "Longtime former Manitoba NDP cabinet minister will not seek re-election". CBC Manitoba. May 17, 2019. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
  22. Schroeder, Lara (April 11, 2019). "MLA Judy Klassen sets sights on federal seat, saying 'proper representation' would save lives". CBC News. Retrieved September 2, 2019.
  23. Lambert, Steve (July 22, 2019). "Ousted Manitoba politician to run as Independent, denies groping allegation". CBC Manitoba/The Canadian Press. Retrieved July 23, 2019.

Opinion poll sources

  1. "Manitoba Election".
  2. "Progressive Conservatives Remain Ahead of NDP in Manitoba". September 10, 2019.
  3. Manitoba PC Government most likely outcomeMainstreet Research Archived October 10, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  4. "Progressive Conservatives Have Sizeable Advantage in Manitoba". August 30, 2019.
  5. "Manitoba Progressive Conservatives holding on to lead: poll - CBC News". CBC. August 31, 2019. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  6. "Manitoba PCS Have the Lead, but Kinew is the Most Popular Leader".
  7. "Pollster attributes inaccurate election survey to weight of northern Manitoba numbers - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca".
  8. Robertson, Dylan (June 25, 2019). "Jun 2019: No hard feelings on early Manitoba election: Poll". Winnipeg Free Press.
  9. http://www.probe-research.com/documents/190402%20March%202019%20MB%20Omni%20Prov%20Party%20Standings.pdf
  10. "NDP Make Gains in Manitoba but PCS Still Lead".
  11. "Pallister PCS Extend Lead over NDP".
  12. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 28, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  13. "Pallister PCS Maintain Healthy Lead over NDP as Liberals Gain Five".
  14. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2018. Retrieved October 30, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  15. "Pallister PCS Still Ahead in Manitoba".
  16. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on November 4, 2018. Retrieved November 4, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  17. "Pallister PCS Widen Lead over NDP".
  18. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 23, 2018. Retrieved April 23, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  19. "New poll suggests Wab Kinew's NDP barely trails Brian Pallister's PCS - Winnipeg | Globalnews.ca".
  20. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 29, 2017. Retrieved December 28, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. Lett, Dan (October 20, 2017). "Oct 2017: Support for Pallister gov't drops after 18 months of cuts, controversy". Winnipeg Free Press.
  22. Lett, Dan (July 3, 2017). "Jul 2017: Tories' honeymoon already over". Winnipeg Free Press.
  23. "47% Support Pallister PCS, but Low Grades for Healthcare; Carbon Tax".
  24. Martin, Nick (April 9, 2017). "Apr 2017: Pallister government's popularity holding firm: Poll". Winnipeg Free Press.
  25. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  26. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  27. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 1, 2017. Retrieved January 1, 2017.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

Further reading

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