Minneriya
Polling Division
Location of Minneriya
Coordinates: 7°59′47″N 80°53′45″E / 7.996259°N 80.895884°E / 7.996259; 80.895884
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPolonnaruwa Electoral District
Area
 • Total1,063.31 km2 (410.55 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total108,204
 • Density102/km2 (260/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-18A

The Minneriya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Polonnaruwa Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Minneriya has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Minneriya is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.49% SLPP 6.61%
2015 NDF NDF 7.45% NDF 1.07%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.51% UPFA 11.19%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.31% UPFA 5.53%
1999 PA PA 1.19% PA 1.65%
1994 PA PA 3.00% PA 0.26%
1988 UNP UNP 3.22% UNP 1.05%
1982 UNP UNP 3.30% UNP 1.22%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 8/8 3.93% 8/8 3.57%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[4] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 41,151 58.65% 147,340 53.01% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,076 34.31% 112,473 40.47% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,271 4.66% 12,284 4.42% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,666 2.37% 5,827 2.10% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 70,164 99.21% 277,924 99.09% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 561 0.79% 2,563 0.91% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 70,725 84.90% 280,487 85.92% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 83,307 326,443 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[5] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 32,744 50.22% 147,974 57.80% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 31,747 48.69% 105,640 41.27% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 707 1.08% 2,382 0.93% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 65,198 99.25% 255,996 99.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 491 0.75% 1,790 0.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 65,689 78.77% 257,786 80.22% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 83,395 321,338 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[6] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 39,587 69.46% 144,889 64.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 16,517 28.98% 75,026 33.62% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 886 1.55% 3,260 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 56,990 99.39% 223,175 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 350 0.61% 1,472 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 57,340 74.39% 224,647 76.26% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 77,084 294,583 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[7] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,081 55.91% 110,499 52.61% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 23,819 42.85% 97,142 46.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 687 1.24% 2,389 1.14% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 55,587 99.04% 210,030 99.06% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 536 0.96% 2,002 0.94% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,123 77.49% 212,032 78.07% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 72,430 271,609 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[8] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,141 52.05% 88,663 51.55% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 18,627 40.17% 72,598 42.21% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,849 6.14% 8,020 4.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 759 1.64% 2,726 1.58% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 46,376 98.18% 172,007 98.20% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 859 1.82% 3,151 1.80% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 47,235 76.43% 175,158 78.11% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 61,803 224,239 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[9] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,779 62.11% 88,907 59.08% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 15,079 36.33% 59,287 39.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 646 1.56% 2,281 1.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 41,504 97.18% 150,475 97.43% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,204 2.82% 3,966 2.57% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 42,708 74.41% 154,441 75.73% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 57,393 203,940 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[10] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 2,433 51.98% 26,392 55.54% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 2,123 45.35% 20,173 42.45% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 125 2.67% 957 2.01% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 4,681 99.07% 47,522 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 44 0.93% 1,157 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 4,725 9.43% 48,679 29.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 50,128 164,213 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya[11] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,728 52.16% 59,414 56.26% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,818 37.71% 37,243 35.26% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,181 9.36% 8,138 7.71% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 262 0.77% 820 0.78% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 33,989 99.08% 105,615 99.00% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 315 0.92% 1,064 1.00% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,304 85.06% 106,679 82.81% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 40,329 128,822 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Minneriya has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Minneriya is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2020 SLPFA SLPFA SLPFA
2015 UPFA UNP 5.89% UNP 3.98%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.68% UPFA 9.61%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.73% UPFA 8.43%
2001 UNP UNP 2.12% UNP 2.13%
2000 UNP UNP 1.09% PA 3.75%
1994 PA PA 2.85% PA 2.56%
1989 UNP UNP 6.69% UNP 3.87%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 3.86% 7/7 4.90%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[14] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 46,632 77.07% 180,847 73.66% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 9,463 15.64% 47,281 19.46% 2,771,984 23.09%
NPP 1,948 3.22% 6,792 2.77% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 1,577 2.61% 6525 2.66% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 887 1.46% 3574 1.45% 1,27,866 11.02%
Valid Votes 60,507 72.02% 245,519 93.87% 11,598,929 93.97%
Rejected Votes 4,035 4.8% 16,020 6.13% 744,373 6.03%
Total Polled 64,532 76.82% 261,539 78.99% 12,343,302 75.89%
Registered Electors 84,019 331,109 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[15] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,090 49.10% 103,172 43.67% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 25,748 43.46% 118,845 50.30% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,175 7.05% 13,497 5.71% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 230 0.39% 765 0.32% 44,633 0.40%
Valid Votes 59,243 96.25% 236,279 96.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,274 3.69% 8,654 3.53% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 61,553 73.81% 245,116 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 83,395 307,125 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[16] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,597 72.60% 118,694 69.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 8,890 21.81% 45,732 26.68% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,166 5.31% 6,457 3.77% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 113 0.28% 515 0.30% 53,515 0.67%
Valid Votes 40,766 91.76% 171,398 92.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,643 8.20% 14,798 7.94% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 44,428 57.64% 186,269 63.10% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 77,084 295,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[17] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,342 61.99% 106,243 57.36% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 17,522 35.80% 75,664 40.85% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 850 1.74% 2,413 1.30% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 230 0.47% 890 0.48% 54,340 0.59%
Valid Votes 48,944 92.85% 185,210 93.57% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,746 7.11% 12,673 6.40% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 52,711 74.97% 197,934 77.91% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 70,308 254,061 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[18] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,436 44.44% 86,786 47.82% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 19,423 40.27% 73,679 40.60% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,749 13.99% 18,956 10.44% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 623 1.29% 2,076 1.14% 118,404 1.32%
Valid Votes 48,231 93.43% 181,497 93.87% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,393 6.57% 11,854 6.13% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 51,624 77.46% 193,351 80.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 66,645 240,444 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[19] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,693 47.13% 82,399 46.33% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 21,014 43.64% 80,023 44.99% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 3,811 7.91% 11,161 6.27% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 636 1.32% 4,288 2.41% 424,915 4.94%
Valid Votes 48,154 N/A 177,871 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[20] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,660 53.78% 82,438 51.18% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 20,379 44.45% 76,706 47.62% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 811 1.77% 1,934 1.20% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 45,850 96.31% 161,078 96.16% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,758 3.69% 6,434 3.84% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 47,608 82.95% 167,512 82.06% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 57,393 204,138 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya[21] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,576 54.28% 43,473 62.33% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 7,431 38.14% 23,221 33.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 765 3.93% 1,117 1.60% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 711 3.65% 1,933 2.77% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 19,483 91.26% 69,744 92.98% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,866 8.74% 5,266 7.02% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 21,349 42.96% 75,010 45.81% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 49,700 163,745 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Minneriya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (99.0%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Minneriya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Minneriya[1]

  Sinhalese (99.0%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Minneriya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.8%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Minneriya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%) [1]

Religion in Minneriya[1]

  Buddhist (97.8%)
  Other (1.2%)
  Roman Catholic (1.1%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ↑ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ↑ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ↑ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ↑ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ↑ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ↑ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ↑ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ↑ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ↑ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ↑ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ↑ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ↑ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ↑ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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