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All 63 seats in the Althing 32 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are due to be held in Iceland by Saturday 27 September 2025 to elect the 63 members of the Althing.
Background
Previous election
The 2021 parliamentary election took place on 25 September, a month before the latest date allowed by law. The government coalition of the Left-Green Movement, the Progressive Party and the Independence Party, led by prime minister Katrín Jakobsdóttir, had been in place since the 2017 elections. This unusual coalition of parties from the left wing, the center and the right wing of Icelandic mainstream politics maintained its majority in parliament in the elections as the Independence Party had the same number of seats as before while the Progressive Party added 5 seats and the Left-Green movement lost 3. As for the opposition parties, the People's Party gained two seats and the Reform Party gained 1 seat. The Pirate Party held steady but the Social Democratic Alliance lost 1 seat and the Centre Party lost 4 of its seats in parliament. The Icelandic Socialist Party received 4.1% of the vote but no seats as 5% of the national vote is needed to eligible for the allocation of leveling seats.
Government formation
The coalition partners from the previous term soon decided that the first option for coalition talks should be to renew their coalition. The second cabinet of Katrín Jakobsdóttir was then formed on 28 November.[1][2]
Electoral system
The 63 members of the Althing are elected by open list proportional representation in six multi-member constituencies, with 54 seats distributed between parties at the constituency level with no electoral threshold and 9 leveling seats assigned to party lists at the national level with a threshold of 5 percent required in order to ensure proportionality with the election result.[3] The 54 constituency seats are distributed within each constituency according to the D'Hondt method.[4] Election lists are determined by parties; although voters have the option of altering the order of candidates or striking out particular candidates entirely but these rarely have any effect on the result.[3]
The number of voters per parliamentary seats varies significantly between the constituencies of Iceland. The number of seats per constituency was determined by law in 1999 and is not updated before each election except when the number of voters per each representative in the most represented constituency reaches half the number of voters per each representative in the least represented constituency. The constitution stipulates that in this case, a constituency seat should be transferred from the most represented constituency to the least represented constituency. This has already happened twice since 1999, in both cases transferring a constituency seat from the Northwest constituency to the Southwest constituency. In the 2021 election, the number of eligible voters behind each seat in the Southwest was 5671.5, more than double the 2693.5 eligible voters behind each seat in the Northwest. According to the constitution this means another transfer of a constituency seat from the Northwest to the Southwest before the next parliamentary election.
Date
Per Article 23 in Chapter V of Act No. 112 from the 25 June 2021 Elections Law, elections must be held no later than the same weekday of the month four years after the previous elections, counting from the turn of the month;[5] therefore, because the 2021 election took place on the fourth Saturday in September, the latest possible date for the next election is 27 September 2025.
Political parties
The table below lists political parties represented in the Althing after the 2021 parliamentary election and parties which are polled.
| Name | Ideology | Position | Leader | 2021 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
| D | Independence Party Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn |
Conservatism | Centre-right to right-wing | Bjarni Benediktsson | 24.4% | 16 / 63 | |
| B | Progressive Party Framsóknarflokkurinn |
Agrarianism (Nordic) | Centre | Sigurður Ingi Jóhannsson | 17.3% | 13 / 63 | |
| V | Left-Green Movement Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð |
Eco-socialism | Centre-left to left-wing | Katrín Jakobsdóttir | 12.6% | 8 / 63 | |
| S | Social Democratic Alliance Samfylkingin |
Social democracy | Centre-left | Kristrún Frostadóttir | 9.9% | 6 / 63 | |
| F | People's Party Flokkur fólksins |
Disability rights | Centre-left to right-wing | Inga Sæland | 8.8% | 6 / 63 | |
| P | Pirate Party Píratar |
Pirate politics | Syncretic | None | 8.6% | 6 / 63 | |
| C | Reform Party Viðreisn |
Liberalism | Centre to centre-right | Þorgerður Katrín Gunnarsdóttir | 8.3% | 5 / 63 | |
| M | Centre Party Miðflokkurinn |
Populism | Centre-right to right-wing | Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson | 5.4% | 3 / 63 | |
| J | Icelandic Socialist Party Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands |
Socialism | Left-wing | Gunnar Smári | 4.1% | 0 / 63 | |
Opinion polls
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Resp. | Parties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government | Opposition | Oth. | Lead | |||||||||||
| D | B | V | S | F | P | C | M | J | ||||||
| Gallup | 1 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2024 | 9,636 | 48.9 | 18.1 | 9.4 | 6.0 | 28.4 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 3.6 | – | 10.3 |
| Maskína | 19–27 Dec 2023 | 1,945 | - | 17.3 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 26.3 | 6.8 | 8.1 | 12.2 | 9.4 | 4.3 | – | 9.0 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Nov 2023 | 9,721 | 47.8 | 19.8 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 28.1 | 6.9 | 9.3 | 7.9 | 9.4 | 4.2 | – | 8.3 |
| Maskína | 3–7 Nov & 23–26 Nov 2023 | 2,376 | - | 17.9 | 10.4 | 6.1 | 26.0 | 6.4 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 8.4 | 4.4 | – | 8.1 |
| Gallup | 2–31 Oct 2023 | 10,463 | 49.8 | 20.5 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 29.1 | 6.5 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 8.6 | 4.1 | – | 8.6 |
| Maskína | 12–24 Oct 2023 | 1,935 | - | 17.7 | 9.8 | 5.9 | 27.8 | 6.1 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 8.2 | 4.3 | – | 10.1 |
| Gallup | 1 Sep–3 Oct 2023 | 11,005 | 48.5 | 20.4 | 8.1 | 5.7 | 30.1 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 7.9 | 8.6 | 3.9 | – | 9.7 |
| Maskína | 15–29 Sep 2023 | 1,466 | - | 19.6 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 24.4 | 6.5 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 7.0 | 4.8 | – | 4.8 |
| Gallup | 1–31 August 2023 | 10,076 | 49.5 | 21.1 | 7.5 | 5.9 | 28.5 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 4.4 | – | 7.4 |
| Maskína | 17–22 August 2023 | 954 | - | 17.6 | 9.2 | 6.4 | 26.1 | 5.9 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 4.2 | – | 8.5 |
| Gallup | 3–30 July 2023 | 10,491 | 46.1 | 21.0 | 8.9 | 6.1 | 28.6 | 5.7 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 8.5 | 3.6 | – | 7.6 |
| Maskína | 6–24 July 2023 | 836 | - | 19.3 | 9.6 | 8.0 | 25.3 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 4.5 | – | 6.0 |
| Prósent | 22 June–22 July 2023 | 2,300 | 51.8 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 27.4 | 8.5 | 14.5 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 2.9 | – | 11.3 |
| Gallup | 1 June–2 July 2023 | 11,331 | 48.8 | 20.8 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 28.4 | 5.7 | 9.7 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 4.6 | – | 7.6 |
| Maskína | 1–22 June 2023 | 1,691 | - | 18.5 | 8.8 | 7.0 | 27.2 | 6.6 | 11.3 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 4.7 | – | 8.7 |
| Gallup | 2–31 May 2023 | 10,316 | 48.2 | 20.8 | 10.2 | 5.7 | 28.4 | 5.5 | 10.1 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 4.9 | – | 7.6 |
| Maskína | 4–16 May 2023 | 1,726 | - | 19.2 | 10.0 | 6.1 | 27.3 | 5.6 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 5.2 | – | 8.1 |
| Gallup | 3 Apr–1 May 2023 | 9,916 | 48.7 | 21.9 | 9.6 | 6.6 | 27.8 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 7.4 | 6.2 | 4.3 | – | 5.9 |
| Maskína | 13–19 Apr 2023 | 852 | – | 18.7 | 10.2 | 8.2 | 25.7 | 4.4 | 11.4 | 10.6 | 6.0 | 4.9 | – | 7.0 |
| Gallup | 1 Mar–2 Apr 2023 | 1,128 | – | 22.3 | 9.9 | 7.1 | 25.1 | 5.6 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 5.1 | – | 2.8 |
| Maskína | 6–20 Mar 2023 | 1,599 | – | 20.2 | 13.2 | 6.0 | 24.4 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 6.0 | – | 4.2 |
| Gallup | 1–28 Feb 2023 | 9,517 | 49.6 | 22.5 | 10.8 | 6.8 | 24.0 | 5.6 | 12.1 | 7.7 | 5.3 | 5.0 | – | 1.5 |
| Maskína | 3–13 Feb 2023 | 1,892 | – | 20.1 | 12.3 | 6.7 | 23.3 | 5.9 | 12.7 | 8.2 | 5.8 | 5.0 | – | 2.2 |
| Prósent | 27 Jan–6 Feb 2023 | 2,400 | 51.4 | 23.2 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 22.1 | 9.5 | 12.5 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 4.1 | – | 1.1 |
| Maskína | 13–18 Jan 2023 | 804 | – | 21.8 | 12.1 | 8.3 | 23.6 | 5.1 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 5.9 | 3.6 | – | 1.8 |
| Gallup | 6–31 Jan 2023 | 9,842 | 48.5 | 23.5 | 11.3 | 6.8 | 25.3 | 5.5 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 4.4 | – | 1.8 |
| Gallup | 1 Dec 2022–2 Jan 2023 | 7,115 | 48.0 | 23.8 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 23.4 | 6.2 | 11.3 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | – | 0.2 |
| Prósent | 22–30 Dec 2022 | 4,000 | 49.6 | 23.2 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 20.5 | 9.7 | 14.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 4.0 | – | 2.7 |
| Maskína | 16–28 Dec 2022 | 1,703 | – | 20.0 | 12.2 | 7.8 | 20.1 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 7.5 | 6.7 | 6.1 | – | 0.1 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Nov 2022 | 10,798 | 50.8 | 24.1 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 21.1 | 4.5 | 12.2 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 5.2 | – | 3.0 |
| Maskína | 4–22 Nov 2022 | 2,483 | – | 21.8 | 14.8 | 7.1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 13.4 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | – | 2.8 |
| Prósent | 14–17 Nov 2022 | 2,600 | 51.3 | 21.1 | 14.6 | 8.0 | 19.1 | 6.4 | 11.8 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 4.2 | – | 2.0 |
| Gallup | 3–31 Oct 2022 | 8,267 | 49.9 | 24.4 | 13.8 | 8.4 | 16.6 | 5.3 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 5.0 | – | 7.8 |
| Maskína | 30 Sep–17 Oct 2022 | 1,638 | – | 22.8 | 15.0 | 7.7 | 14.4 | 4.6 | 14.3 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 6.5 | – | 7.8 |
| Gallup | 1 Sep–2 Oct 2022 | 11,149 | 48.3 | 24.1 | 13.4 | 8.2 | 16.3 | 5.1 | 13.6 | 8.5 | 5.4 | 5.1 | – | 7.8 |
| Maskína | 16–27 Sep 2022 | 1,875 | – | 20.8 | 15.6 | 8.7 | 15.2 | 5.0 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 5.3 | 6.8 | – | 5.2 |
| Gallup | 2–31 Aug 2022 | 10,719 | 48.9 | 21.8 | 15.6 | 8.4 | 15.5 | 5.6 | 14.8 | 8.4 | 4.6 | 5.1 | – | 6.2 |
| Maskína | 12–17 Aug 2022 | 890 | – | 20.9 | 19.6 | 7.5 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 13.9 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 7.3 | – | 1.3 |
| Gallup | 1 Jul–1 Aug 2022 | 9,705 | 49.0 | 22.1 | 15.4 | 8.6 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 15.0 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 5.3 | – | 6.7 |
| Maskína | 20–25 Jul 2022 | 895 | – | 24.4 | 18.0 | 7.7 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 12.7 | 8.3 | 6.0 | 5.1 | – | 6.4 |
| Gallup | 2–30 Jun 2022 | 10,274 | 61.7 | 22.8 | 17.5 | 7.2 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 16.1 | 6.7 | 4.6 | 4.1 | – | 5.3 |
| Maskína | 1–23 Jun 2022 | 1,658 | – | 19.3 | 18.3 | 8.5 | 13.4 | 6.3 | 14.6 | 8.8 | 4.7 | 6.1 | – | 1.0 |
| Prósent | 2–13 Jun 2022 | 1,780 | 50.1 | 18.5 | 17.3 | 9.0 | 13.5 | 5.6 | 17.5 | 7.8 | 4.2 | 6.3 | – | 2.2 |
| Gallup | 2–31 May 2022 | 10,548 | 51.9 | 20.1 | 17.5 | 8.1 | 14.1 | 6.4 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 5.0 | – | 2.6 |
| Prósent | 13–26 Apr 2022 | 3,500 | 50.3 | 17.9 | 12.4 | 9.6 | 16.8 | 8.0 | 16.2 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 5.4 | – | 1.1 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Apr 2022 | 9,828 | 50.1 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 10.1 | 13.7 | 7.7 | 14.5 | 9.6 | 4.1 | 4.6 | – | 4.2 |
| Maskína | 17 Mar–12 Apr 2022 | 1,367 | – | 22.4 | 15.5 | 8.8 | 13.0 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 4.6 | – | 6.9 |
| Gallup | 1–31 Mar 2022 | 10,941 | 49.6 | 22.7 | 18.0 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 3.6 | – | 4.7 |
| Gallup | 1–28 Feb 2022 | 9,672 | 49.7 | 21.9 | 18.1 | 10.5 | 11.1 | 7.5 | 13.2 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 3.9 | – | 3.8 |
| Maskína | 28 Jan–16 Feb 2022 | 3,039 | – | 21.9 | 16.9 | 12.9 | 13.4 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 9.7 | 3.9 | 3.5 | – | 5.0 |
| Gallup | 1–31 Jan 2022 | 10,911 | 50.4 | 22.4 | 17.0 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 8.8 | 12.5 | 9.4 | 3.7 | 4.3 | – | 5.4 |
| Maskína | 6–19 Jan 2022 | 1,548 | – | 20.1 | 17.8 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 8.5 | 13.5 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 3.7 | – | 3.3 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Dec 2021 | 7,890 | 51.2 | 23.3 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 8.6 | 12.5 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 4.5 | – | 5.6 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Nov 2021 | 10,000 | 51.0 | 22.7 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 10.7 | 8.0 | 11.8 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 4.4 | – | 5.7 |
| Gallup | 1–31 Oct 2021 | 8,899 | 50.6 | 22.8 | 17.2 | 13.4 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 11.0 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 | – | 5.6 |
| MMR | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 967 | – | 21.1 | 17.9 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 10.0 | 3.2 | 5.5 | – | 3.2 |
| 2021 parliamentary election | 25 Sep 2021 | – | – | 24.4 | 17.3 | 12.6 | 9.9 | 8.9 | 8.6 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 7.1 |
References
- ↑ "Iceland's left-right coalition agrees to take another term". Reuters. 28 November 2021. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
- ↑ "Katrin Jakobsdottir, Iceland's Staunch Feminist PM, Begins Second Term". Voice of America. 28 November 2021. Retrieved 15 December 2021.
- 1 2 Ísland, Alþingiskosningar, 27. April 2013: Úttektarskýrsla (Report). OSCE/ODIHR. 24 June 2013. Retrieved 30 October 2017.
- ↑ "Útreikningar við úthlutun jöfnunarsæta". Kosningavefur Dómsmála- og Mannréttindaráðuneytisins. 27 April 2013. Retrieved 30 October 2017.
- ↑ "112/2021: Kosningalög". Alþingi. Retrieved 28 May 2022.
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