Next Kosovan parliamentary election
Kosovo
By 16 February 2025
All 120 seats in the Assembly
61 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
Vetëvendosje Albin Kurti 58
PDK Memli Krasniqi 18
LDK Lumir Abdixhiku 16
AAK Ramush Haradinaj 8
Serb List Zlatan Elek 10
KDTP Fikrim Damka 2
Vakat Bahrim Šabani 1
IRDK Elbert Krasniqi 1
RI Gazmend Salijević 1
NDS Emilija Redžepi 1
SDU Duda Balje 1
JGP Adem Hodža 1
PAI Bekim Arifi 1
LPRK Erxhan Galushi 1

Parliamentary elections will be held in Kosovo no later than 2025. If the full four year term of the incumbent Assembly is completed, the election will be held on a Sunday and not earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the mandate.[1]

Background

In the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties, including the Serb List, to form a Government.[3]

Date

The Constitution and the Law on General Elections provide that parliamentary elections must be held on a Sunday no earlier than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the end of the four-year mandate of the Assembly, unless it is dissolved earlier.[4] The 8th and current Legislature of the Assembly was constituted on 22 March 2021. Therefore, the next election has to take place on one of the following possible dates:

  • 26 January 2025
  • 2 February 2025
  • 9 February 2025
  • 16 February 2025

The exact date will be determined by the president no earlier than 6 months and no later than 4 months before the date of the election. Parliamentary elections can be held earlier under four scenarios described by the constitution.

  1. If the Government cannot be formed within the period of sixty (60) days from the date of appointment of the candidate for Prime Minister by the President of the Republic of Kosovo;
  2. If two-thirds (2/3) of all deputies vote for the dissolution of the Assembly, the dissolution is done by decree of the President of the Republic of Kosovo;
  3. If within the period of sixty (60) days from the day of the start of the election procedure, the President of the Republic of Kosovo is not elected.
  4. In case of a successful vote of no confidence in the Government, The Assembly can be dissolved by the President of the Republic of Kosovo.[5]

In all cases, parliamentary elections would have to take place on a Sunday no earlier than 30 days and no later than 45 days after the dissolution.[5]

Electoral system

The 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[6] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[7] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.

Opinion polls

Graphic representation

National polls

Pollster Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL NISMA Other Abstention Lead
LVV Alternativa Guxo LDK AKR
UBO 16–23 December 2023 48.5 0.1 0.8 17.9 – 18.2 6.8 3.2 1.5 3.0 – 30.3
UBO 23 December 2022 42.6 0.2 1.3 19.8 0.2 19 7.3 4.3 2 3.4 – 22.8
PIPOS December 2022 35.5 1 22.2 0.4 21.5 6 – 2.4 0.2 – 13.3
UBO September 2022 37.3 0.3 1.5 22.3 0.3 21.7 7.7 5.1 1.2 2.1 – 15
PIPOS August 2022 33.2 0.2 0.9 21.6 0.2 18.3 10.1 – 1.5 – – 11.6
PIPOS 7 July 2022 38.1 1.2 25.1 21.3 11.9 – 2.1 – – 13
UBO 18 June 2022 39.6 1.3 20.3 21.9 6.7 4.2 1.9 3.5 – 17.7
UBO May 2022 38.3 17.7 19.7 6.5 – – – – 18.6
UBO 7–15 March 2022 41.9 1.1 19.4 0.4 21.6 7.2 4.2 1 2.8 – 20.3
PIPOS 12 February 2022 34.7 24.1 21.3 7.7 – 0.4 0.5 – 10.6
2021 election 14 February 2021 50.3 12.73 17.01 7.2 5.09 2.52 – – 33.29

Seat projections

The projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.

Date LVV LDK PDK AAK SL Other Lead
December 2023 53 20 20 7 10 10 33
January 2023 48 22 22 8 10 10 26
December 2022 42 26 25 7 10 10 16
September 2022 42 25 24 9 10 10 17
August 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
July 2022 40 26 22 12 10 10 14
June 2022 44 23 25 8 10 10 19
May 2022 47 21 24 8 10 10 23
March 2022 46 22 24 8 10 10 22
February 2022 40 27 24 9 10 10 13

Leadership approval

Pollster Date Kurti Abdixhiku Krasniqi Haradinaj Limaj Osmani Pacolli Kusari-Lila Lead
PIPOS December 2022 26.7 20 17 7.2 2.9 11.8 0.4 0.4 6.7
PIPOS August 2022 2.98 2.92 2.60 2.38 2.13 3.37 2.33 2.31 0.39
PIPOS February 2022 28.9 18.6 13.3 6.2 1.5 7.3 0.5 – 10.3

References

  1. ↑ Constitution of Kosovo p.6
  2. ↑ ndi.org
  3. ↑ prishtinainsight.com
  4. ↑ Constitution of Kosovo p.6
  5. 1 2 "THE LAW ON GENERAL ELECTIONS IN THE REPUBLIC OF KOSOVO" (PDF). Retrieved 27 December 2023.Public Domain This article incorporates text from this source, which is in the public domain.
  6. ↑ Kosovo IFES
  7. ↑ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2
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