Next Madeiran regional election
No later than October 2027
47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira
24 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Vasco Cordeiro e Miguel Albuquerque.jpg
Paulo Cafôfo, Secretário de Estado das Comunidades Portuguesas 2022.png
JPP
Leader Miguel Albuquerque Paulo Cafôfo Élvio Sousa
Party PSD PS JPP
Alliance We Are Madeira
Leader since 10 January 2015[lower-alpha 1] 2 December 2023 27 January 2015
Last election 23 seats, 43.1% 11 seats, 21.3% 5 seats, 11.0%
Seats needed Increase 1 Increase 13 Increase 19
 
CH
Edgar-silva-2016-01-11.jpg
IL
Leader Miguel Castro Edgar Silva Nuno Morna
Party CH PCP IL
Alliance CDU
Leader since 2022 1996 2019
Last election 4 seats, 8.9% 1 seats, 2.7% 1 seats, 2.6%
Seats needed Increase 20 Increase 23 Increase 23
 
PAN
BE
Leader Mónica Freitas Roberto Almada
Party PAN BE
Leader since 2023 2023
Last election 1 seats, 2.2% 1 seats, 2.2%
Seats needed Increase 23 Increase 23
Incumbent President

Miguel Albuquerque
PSD


Regional elections will be held in Madeira no later than October 2027, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will replace all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.

The incumbent president, Miguel Albuquerque from the Social Democratic Party (PSD), is currently leading a coalition government between the Social Democrats and the CDS – People's Party, with the parliamentary support of People Animals Nature. He will defend the dominance of the Social Democratic Party in the islands since 1976.

Background

In the 2023 regional election, the We Are Madeira coalition was again the most voted coalition, 43%, but failed to win an absolute majority.[1] After the elections, PSD and CDS–PP sought the parliamentary support from PAN, which guaranteed an absolute majority in the regional parliament.[2]

Electoral system

The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[3]

Parties

Current composition

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.

Name Ideology Leader 2023 result
 % Seats
PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social Democrata		 Liberal conservatism Miguel Albuquerque 43.1%
[lower-alpha 2]
20 / 47
CDS-PP CDS – People's Party
Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular		 Conservatism Rui Barreto
3 / 47
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista		 Social democracy Paulo Cafôfo[4] 21.3%
11 / 47
JPP Together for the People
Juntos pelo Povo		 Centrism Élvio Sousa 11.0%
5 / 47
CH Enough!
Chega!		 National conservatism Miguel Castro 8.9%
4 / 47
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português		 Communism Edgar Silva 2.7%
[lower-alpha 3]
1 / 47
IL Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal		 Classical Liberalism Nuno Morna 2.6%
1 / 47
PAN People Animals Nature
Pessoas Animais Natureza		 Animal welfare Mónica Freitas 2.2%
1 / 47
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda		 Democratic Socialism Roberto Almada 2.2%
1 / 47

Opinion polling

Polling

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PSD/CDS PS JPP CH CDU IL PAN BE O Lead
PSD CDS–PP
2023 regional election 24 Sep 2023 — 53.3 43.1
23		 21.3
11		 11.0
5		 8.9
4		 2.7
1		 2.6
1		 2.2
1		 2.2
1		 4.9
0		 21.8

Notes

  1. ↑ As leader of the Social Democratic Party (PSD). The leader of the Madeira People's Party (CDS–PP) is the Regional Secretary for Economic Affairs Rui Barreto.
  2. ↑ PSD and CDS–PP contested the 2023 election jointly as the We Are Madeira Coalition, and won a combined 43.1% of the vote and elected 23 MPs to parliament.
  3. ↑ The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2023 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 2.7% of the vote and elected 1 MP to parliament.

References

  1. ↑ "Eleições na Madeira: Coligação PSD/CDS-PP vence mas falha maioria absoluta". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2023-09-24. Retrieved 2023-12-04.
  2. ↑ "Miguel Albuquerque faz acordo parlamentar com PAN para continuar a governar a Madeira". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2023-09-25. Retrieved 2023-12-04.
  3. ↑ Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007
  4. ↑ Gonçalves, Sandra S. "Cafôfo eleito presidente do PS-Madeira". DNOTICIAS.PT (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-12-04.
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