2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Tom Coburn Jim Rogers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 718,482 265,814
Percentage 70.64% 26.13%
County results
Coburn:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Tom Coburn
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Coburn
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Evelyn Rogers, librarian[1]
  • Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher[2]

Results

Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Coburn (incumbent) 223,997 90.4%
Republican Evelyn Rogers 15,093 6.1%
Republican Lewis Kelly Spring 8,812 3.5%
Total votes 247,902 100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Jim Rogers, retired college professor
  • Mark Myles, businessman

Results

Democratic primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Rogers 157,955 65.4%
Democratic Mark Myles 83,715 34.6%
Total votes 241,670 100.0%

General election

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
  • Jim Rogers (D), teacher
  • Stephen Wallace (I), businessman[4]

Campaign

Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats.[5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate[6] who did little campaigning.[7]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Solid R October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[9] Safe R October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[10] Safe R October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[12] Safe R October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Coburn (R)		 Jim
Rogers (D)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 26% 3% 7%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 31% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 67% 24% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 68% 26% 2% 4%
SoonerPoll October 3–7, 2010 755 ± ? 62% 22% 2% 14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Coburn (R)		 Dan
Boren (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 53% 36% — 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Coburn (R)		 Brad
Henry (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 52% 40% — 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Coburn (R)		 Mark
Myles (D)		 Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 62% 27% 4% 6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Cole (R)		 Dan
Boren (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 42% 40% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Tom
Cole (R)		 Brad
Henry (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 44% 43% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 J. C.
Watts (R)		 Dan
Boren (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 46% 41% — 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 J. C.
Watts (R)		 Brad
Henry (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 45% 44% — 11%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tom Coburn (R) $1,935,820 $2,103,749 $671,135 $0
Jim Rogers (D) $0 $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tom Coburn (incumbent) 718,482 70.64% +17.87%
Democratic Jim Rogers 265,814 26.13% -15.11%
Independent Stephen Wallace 25,048 2.46% N/A
Independent Ronald F. Dwyer 7,807 0.77% N/A
Majority 452,668 44.50%
Total votes 1,017,151 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

General
  1. ↑ "Candidate - Evelyn Rogers". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ↑ http://www.springforussenate.com/Spring.cfm%5B%5D
  3. 1 2 "Oklahoma Primary Results". Politico. July 27, 2010. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
  4. ↑ "Wallace". Wallace4senate.com. Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ↑ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_OK_519.pdf
  6. ↑ GOP may dominate elections statewide | Tulsa World
  7. ↑ "Tom Coburn cruises to a second and final term in the U.S. Senate | News OK". Archived from the original on August 9, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2010.
  8. ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  9. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  10. ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  11. ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  12. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  13. ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oklahoma". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010.
  14. ↑ "SUMMARY RESULTS: General Election - November 2, 2010". Archived from the original on July 15, 2012. Retrieved November 26, 2010.
Specific

"Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 16, 2010.

Official campaign websites (Archived)
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