2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Oklahoma Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

The Oklahoma Republican primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The Oklahoma Libertarian primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.[2]

General election

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College October 1-3, 2023 447 (RV) ± 4.6% 55% 27% 18%
Emerson College October 25–28, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 59% 30% 11%
SoonerPoll October 4–6, 2022 301 (LV) ± 5.7% 53% 41% 6%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 63% 30% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 522 (LV) ± 6.3% 53% 28% 19%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[3] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[4] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Solid R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] Solid R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[7] Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN[8] Solid R January 14, 2024

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. "Who is on the presidential primary ballot in Oklahoma?". USA Today.
  3. "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  4. "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  5. "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
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