2012 Vermont gubernatorial election
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
 
Nominee Peter Shumlin Randy Brock
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 170,749 110,940
Percentage 57.8% 37.6%
Shumlin:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%
Brock:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes
Governor before election

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Peter Shumlin
Democratic

The 2012 Vermont gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Vermont. Incumbent Democratic Governor Peter Shumlin won re-election to a second term, making this the only one of his gubernatorial elections in which he won a majority of the vote. In his 2010 and 2014 races, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose a winner in accordance with the state constitution, because no candidate won a majority.

Democratic nomination

Candidates

Republican nomination

Candidates

Declined

Progressive nomination

Candidates

  • Martha Abbott, chairwoman of the Vermont Progressive Party[7] (resigned nomination in order to aid Shumlin by avoiding split in progressive/liberal votes)

General election

Candidates

  • Randy Brock (R), state senator and former state auditor
  • Dave Eagle (Liberty Union)
  • Cris Ericson (U.S. Marijuana), perennial candidate who also ran for the U.S. Senate[8]
  • Emily Peyton (Independent)[9]
  • Peter Shumlin (D), incumbent

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[10] Solid D November 1, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg Political Report[12] Safe D November 2, 2012
Real Clear Politics[13] Safe D November 5, 2012

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Randy
Brock (R)		 Undecided
Castleton Polling August 11–21, 2012 477 ± 4.5% 60% 26% 13%
Vermont Business Magazine May 7–16, 2012 607 ± 4.0% 60% 27% 11%
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 51% 29% 20%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Brian
Dubie (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 48% 40% 12%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Thom
Lauzon (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 52% 25% 23%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Tom
Salmon (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 31% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Phil
Scott (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 33% 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Peter
Shumlin (D)		 Mark
Snelling (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling July 28–31, 2011 1,233 ± 2.8% 50% 29% 21%

Results

2012 Vermont gubernatorial election[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Shumlin (incumbent) 170,749 57.80% +8.36%
Republican Randy Brock 110,940 37.55% -10.14%
Independent Emily Peyton 5,868 1.99% +1.71%
Marijuana Cris Ericson 5,583 1.89% +1.14%
Liberty Union Dave Eagle 1,303 0.44% +0.26%
Write-in 969 0.33% +0.06%
Total votes 295,412 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Shumlin Announces His Re-election Bid". Vermont Public Radio. June 12, 2012. Retrieved June 12, 2012.
  2. 1 2 3 4 Galloway, Anne (December 7, 2011). "Vermont GOP backs Brock for 2012 gubernatorial bid". VTDigger.org. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
  3. 1 2 Steimle, Susie (December 7, 2011). "Brock to run for governor". WCAX. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved December 11, 2011.
  4. ↑ Marcy, Darren; Kumka, Cristina (December 21, 2011). "Lauzon wants 2 more years in Barre". Vermont Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
  5. ↑ Hallenbeck, Terri (April 25, 2012). "Rutland publisher seeks GOP bid for governor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved April 27, 2012.
  6. ↑ Remsen, Nancy (September 23, 2011). "Salmon says he wants to remain as Vermont Auditor". The Burlington Free Press. Retrieved September 24, 2011.
  7. ↑ Heintz, Paul (May 21, 2012). "Prog Candidate to Challenge Gov. Shumlin — At Least For Now". Seven Days. Retrieved May 23, 2012.
  8. ↑ McCarty, Alicia (November 13, 2011). "A look ahead to the key races in the Northeast in 2012". USA Today. Retrieved February 15, 2012.
  9. ↑ Dobbs, Taylor (June 13, 2012). "Sanders' papers filed, Peyton running for governor". VTDigger.org. Retrieved June 23, 2012.
  10. ↑ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  11. ↑ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on December 1, 2018. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  12. ↑ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  13. ↑ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  14. ↑ "American Airlines - Login".
Campaign sites (Archived)
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