2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)
50 pledged delegates to the Republican National Convention
 
Candidate Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Home state New York Texas
Delegate count 36 13
Popular vote 373,721 181,479
Percentage 43.42% 21.09%
 
Candidate Marco Rubio Ben Carson
Home state Florida Virginia
Delegate count 1 0
Popular vote 160,606 88,094
Percentage 18.66% 10.24%
Election results by county.
  Donald Trump

The 2016 Alabama Republican presidential primary took place on March 1, 2016. This was the fifth primary held in the 2016 Republican primary. Donald Trump won the primary handily. The election was also held on Super Tuesday. Trump eventually won the Republican primary. He was elected President of the United States on November 8, 2016, against Hillary Clinton.

Ahead of the primary, Alabama was considered one of Donald Trump's strongest states.[1] Trump enjoyed the endorsement of Senator Jeff Sessions,[2] who would later join his Department of Justice as Attorney General. Sessions was Trump's first endorsement in the U.S. Senate.

Candidates

Endorsements

Donald Trump
U.S. Senators

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll

aggregation

 Dates

administered

 Dates

updated

 Marco Rubio
Republican		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Ted Cruz
Republican		 Margin
RealClearPolitics until March 1, 2016 March 1, 2016 20.3% 38.0% 14.7% Trump +17.7
FiveThirtyEight until March 1, 2016 March 1, 2016 20.4% 43.4% 17.2% Trump +23.0
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Donald Trump43.42% Ted Cruz21.09% Marco Rubio18.66% Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%
SurveyMonkey[4]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 741

 February 22–29, 2016 Donald Trump
47%		 Ted Cruz

18%

 Marco Rubio

14%

 Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9%
Monmouth University[5]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%

Sample size: 450

 February 25–28, 2016 Donald Trump
42%		 Marco Rubio

19%

 Ted Cruz

16%

 Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7%
Opinion Savvy[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 460

 February 25–26, 2016 Donald Trump
35.8%		 Marco Rubio

23.0%

 Ted Cruz

16.2%

 Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0%
AL.com[7]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 500

 December 10–13, 2015 Donald Trump
35%		 Ted Cruz

15%

 Marco Rubio

12%

 Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 2%

Sample size: 1616

 September 3, 2015 Donald Trump
38%		 Ben Carson

16.7%

 Jeb Bush

4.9%

 Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, unsure 23.2%
News-5/Strategy Research

Margin of error: ± 2%

Sample size: 3500

 August 11, 2015 Donald Trump
30%		 Jeb Bush

15%

 Ben Carson

11%

 Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott Walker 3%, Other 5%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.4%

Sample size: 481

 August 2–3, 2015 Donald Trump
37.6%		 Ben Carson

14.6%

 Jeb Bush

11.8%

 Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1%
Cygnal

Margin of error: ± 3.42%

Sample size: 821

 July 7–8, 2014 Jeb Bush
19.8%		 Ben Carson

12.6%

 Rand Paul

10.5%

 Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6%

Results

Alabama Republican primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 373,721 43.42% 36 0 36
Ted Cruz 181,479 21.09% 13 0 13
Marco Rubio 160,606 18.66% 1 0 1
Ben Carson 88,094 10.24% 0 0 0
John Kasich 38,119 4.43% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 7,953 0.92% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 3,974 0.46% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 2,539 0.30% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,895 0.22% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 858 0.10% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 617 0.07% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 544 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 253 0.03% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 860,652 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: The Green Papers

Results by county

County Trump Cruz Rubio Carson Kasich Uncommitted Bush Huckabee Other
Autauga 44.57% 20.48% 14.75% 14.57% 3.48% 1.01% 0.47% 0.26% 0.40%
Baldwin 46.87% 17.02% 19.26% 8.39% 5.93% 1.38% 0.45% N/A 0.70%
Barbour 50.16% 17.77% 14.62% 12.26% 3.6% 0.61% 0.3% 0.26% 0.41%
Bibb 49.46% 25.45% 11.18% 9.89% 2.11% 0.76% 0.43% 0.38% 0.35%
Blount 48.75% 24.39% 12.15% 10.05% 2.22% 1.12% 0.37% 0.51% 0.42%
Bullock 56.50% 16.97% 11.55% 8.48% 4.15% 0.54% 1.26% 0.18% 0.36%
Butler 53.78% 16.68% 13.37% 11.77% 2.69% 0.53% 0.66% N/A 0.53%
Calhoun 45.06% 19.43% 16.32% 11.83% 4.78% 1.04% 0.64% 0.36% 0.53%
Chambers 47.52% 20.11% 13.04% 13.07% 3.68% 0.96% 0.79% 0.26% 0.57%
Cherokee 52.10% 17.23% 15.19% 10.01% 2.83% 1.29% 0.37% 0.54% 0.43%
Chilton 49.43% 21.78% 13.44% 10.75% 2.04% 1.10% 0.59% 0.48% 0.38%
Choctaw 49.93% 21.05% 14.70% 7.89% 3.17% 1.26% 0.93% 0.51% 0.56%
Clarke 50.22% 19.28% 17.48% 8.92% 2.71% 0.41% 0.33% 0.39% 0.26%
Clay 47.48% 20.89% 12.49% 12.25% 3.09% 1.60% 1.06% 0.52% 0.62%
Cleburne 48.30% 21.13% 13.62% 9.95% 2.41% 1.64% 1.55% 0.57% 0.82%
Coffee 41.40% 23.37% 15.52% 13.16% 3.4% 1.32% 0.66% 0.38% 0.64%
Colbert 47.45% 19.62% 17.68% 10.89% 3.05% 0.54% N/A N/A 0.77%
Conecuh 59.02% 15.96% 10.82% 10.51% 1.30% 0.84% 0.61% 0.46% 0.46%
Coosa 55.32% 19.56% 10.81% 9.02% 2.96% 0.99% 0.45% 0.27% 0.63%
Covington 48.14% 18.51% 13.33% 13.33% 3.37% 1.56% 0.81% 0.43% 0.51%
Crenshaw 54.50% 21.93% 9.11% 10.42% 2.55% 0.51% 0.44% N/A 0.55%
Cullman 50.65% 20.25% 13.49% 10.96% 2.66% 0.80 0.37% 0.31% 0.51%
Dale 45.28% 21.90% 13.02% 12.54% 3.63% 1.76% 0.61% 0.61% 0.66%
Dallas 59.70% 20.66% 8.68% 5.25% 2.63% 1.48% 0.91% 0.57% 0.11%
DeKalb 47.59% 16.39% 21.60% 9.79% 2.47% 1.01% 0.39% 0.39% 0.37%
Elmore 47.49% 18.35% 13.43% 14.90% 3.58% 0.91% 0.54% 0.29% 0.51%
Escambia 49.33% 18.00% 17.14% 10.24% 3.40% 0.56% 0.49% 0.37% 0.47%
Etowah 46.09% 20.75% 16.79% 11.19% 3.27% 0.74% 0.41% 0.28% 0.49%
Fayette 49.86% 20.97% 13.35% 9.81% 2.49% 1.77% 0.50% 0.88% 0.36%
Franklin 51.47% 21.29% 13.42% 9.26% 2.55% 0.72% 0.33% 0.48% 0.48%
Geneva 48.62% 23.73% 12.99% 9.26% 2.30% 1.31% 0.66% 0.55% 0.59%
Greene 53.85% 21.61% 12.09% 6.96% 3.66% N/A 0.73% 0.37% 0.74%
Hale 52.07% 24.98% 11.74% 7.77% 2.12% 0.53% N/A 0.26% 0.53%
Henry 46.79% 22.28% 14.36% 11.47% 2.81% 1.05% 0.55% 0.29% 0.39%
Houston 40.39% 22.56% 18.19% 11.43% 4.13% 1.66% 0.68% 0.44% 0.53%
Jackson 49.89% 16.37% 16.90% 10.82% 2.83% 2.00% 0.37% 0.44% 0.40%
Jefferson 35.02% 23.82% 24.67% 8.92% 6.09% 0.55% 0.36% N/A 0.58%
Lamar 50.43% 19.26% 12.97% 9.57% 2.87% 2.25% 0.78% 1.03% 0.83%
Lauderdale 42.14% 18.36% 18.69% 12.05% 5.52% 1.66% 0.36% 0.53% 0.69%
Lawrence 52.89% 17.53% 13.53% 10.74% 2.87% 0.93% 0.55% 0.41% 0.55%
Lee 32.96% 23.17% 22.50% 11.72% 7.11% 0.98% 0.61% 0.35% 0.59%
Limestone 43.03% 21.39% 18.85% 10.87% 3.90% 0.89% 0.37% N/A 0.70%
Lowndes 59.52% 16.31% 9.88% 10.48% 3.10% 0.36% N/A N/A 0.36%
Macon 47.91% 19.78% 12.38% 12.79% 5.25% 0.67% 0.54% 0.54% 0.13%
Madison 36.18% 20.69% 26.03% 9.58% 5.94% 0.59% 0.31% N/A 0.69%
Marengo 53.95% 21.17% 11.79% 7.89% 2.41% 1.21% 0.93% 0.28% 0.37%
Marion 52.92% 19.15% 13.91% 8.89% 2.52% 0.77% 0.56% 0.60% 0.68%
Marshall 49.51% 15.12% 20.56% 9.86% 3.23% 0.69% 0.30% 0.29% 0.44%
Mobile 45.22% 21.41% 18.93% 7.71% 4.59% 0.93% 0.49% N/A 0.73%
Monroe 52.06% 17.42% 15.78% 9.87% 2.86% 0.50% 0.53% 0.53% 0.45%
Montgomery 39.42% 17.59% 20.85% 12.65% 7.30% 0.83% 0.64% N/A 0.73%
Morgan 44.59% 19.73% 18.31% 11.40% 4.53% 0.50% 0.25% 0.27% 0.42%
Perry 51.73% 32.80% 8.80% 4.00% 0.53% 1.33% 0.53% 0.27% N/A
Pickens 44.0.5% 25.74% 13.81% 11.31% 2.54% 0.63% 0.70% 0.98% 0.23%
Pike 46.02% 20.15% 14.79% 12.81% 3.16% 1.23% 0.79% 0.40% 0.66%
Randolph 51.59% 20.65% 12.83% 9.36% 2.92% 0.94% 0.77% 0.55% 0.39%
Russell 47.45% 27.03% 12.31% 7.92% 2.82% 1.04% 0.53% N/A 0.90%
St. Clair 44.60% 26.88% 13.42% 10.86% 2.69% 0.53% 0.41% N/A 0.61%
Shelby 34.35% 26.37% 22.95% 9.42% 5.03% 0.83% 0.37% N/A 0.67%
Sumter 59.36% 15.90% 13.78% 7.42% 1.41% 0.35% 1.41% 0.35% N/A
Talladega 51.05% 19.98% 13.56% 9.54% 3.80% 0.71% 0.59% 0.35% 0.40%
Tallapoosa 52.78% 15.01% 14.60% 11.40% 4.20% 0.53% 0.62% 0.27% 0.58%
Tuscaloosa 37.46% 25.05% 20.37% 10.64% 4.44% 0.88% 0.41% 0.29% 0.44%
Walker 55.11% 20.37% 10.84% 8.97% 2.37% 1.17% 0.46% 0.32% 0.40%
Washington 53.78% 21.82% 15.31% 6.43% 1.14% 0.85% N/A N/A 0.68%
Wilcox 54.36% 21.59% 12.12% 8.33% 2.27% N/A 0.57% 0.38% 0.38%
Winston 56.12% 18.01% 11.85% 9.02% 2.73% 0.90% 0.45% 0.37% 0.54%
TOTAL 43.42% 21.09% 18.66% 10.24% 4.43% 0.92% 0.46% 0.30% 0.48%
Source

By congressional district

Trump won all 7 congressional districts.[8]

District Trump Cruz Rubio
1st 46% 19% 19%
2nd 46% 21% 15%
3rd 44% 21% 16%
4th 49% 19% 16%
5th 40% 20% 22%
6th 37% 25% 22%
7th 43% 23% 18%

Analysis

According to Pew Research, Alabama's Republican electorate has the second-highest proportion of white Evangelicals of any Super Tuesday state, at 63% of Republican voters.[9]

Donald Trump won the Alabama primary in a landslide due to support from Evangelical primary voters. Trump carried 43% of Evangelicals compared to 22% for Ted Cruz, according to exit polls by Edison Research.[10] Many pundits were perplexed by Trump's dominance among culturally conservative Southern whites who were expected to view him as immoral, but he benefitted from voters' racial, cultural, and economic angst that mattered more than shared values.[11]

References

  1. ↑ Cox, Amanda; Katz, Josh; Quealy, Kevin (March 1, 2016). "Who Will Win Super Tuesday? Live Estimates of Tonight's Final Republican Delegate Count". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 21, 2022.
  2. ↑ Stokols, Eli. "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Trump". POLITICO. Retrieved May 6, 2019.
  3. ↑ Diamond, Jeremy (February 29, 2016). "Sen. Jeff Sessions endorses Donald Trump". CNN. Retrieved September 9, 2023.
  4. ↑ "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". SurveyMonkey. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
  5. ↑ "ALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. Retrieved March 1, 2016.
  6. ↑ "Alabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
  7. ↑ "Poll shows Trump and Cruz in lead in Alabama GOP primary race". AL.com. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
  8. ↑ "Certification of Results" (PDF). www.sos.alabama.com. Retrieved October 14, 2023.
  9. ↑ Lipka, Michael. "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  10. ↑ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  11. ↑ Maxwell, Angie (December 30, 2020). "Why Trump Became a 'Confederate' President". The Forum. 18 (4): 493–529. doi:10.1515/for-2020-2107. ISSN 1540-8884.
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