2023 Winnipeg South Centre federal by-election
June 19, 2023 (2023-06-19)
Riding of Winnipeg South Centre
Turnout36.82%
  First party Second party Third party
 
LPC
CPC
NDP
Candidate Ben Carr Damir Stipanovic Julia Riddell
Party Liberal Conservative New Democratic
Popular vote 14,278 6,100 3,778
Percentage 55.49% 23.70% 14.68%
Swing Increase 9.94% Decrease 4.11% Decrease 5.95%
MP before election

Jim Carr
Liberal

 Elected MP

Ben Carr
Liberal

A by-election was held in the federal riding of Winnipeg South Centre in Manitoba on June 19, 2023, following the death of Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr.[1]

The by-election was held on the same day as three others; Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount, Oxford and Portage—Lisgar.[2]

Background

Constituency

The district is an urban constituency based in the city of Winnipeg.

Representation

Winnipeg South Centre has been a reliable Liberal seat since 1988, apart from 2011 to 2015 when it was held by Conservative Joyce Bateman.[3]

The riding of Winnipeg South Centre was vacated on December 12, 2022 following the death of Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr.[4] Carr had represented the riding since 2015, when he defeated Conservative incumbent Joyce Bateman, and had been battling multiple myeloma and kidney failure since 2019. Carr also defeated Bateman in rematches in 2019 and 2021.

Campaign

Candidates

Jim Carr's son Ben Carr, an educator and former staffer to Mélanie Joly, won the Liberal nomination for the by-election.[5][6][7] Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins briefly ran for the nomination before withdrawing and throwing her support behind Carr.[8][9]

The Conservatives nominated Damir Stipanovic, an air traffic controller and member of the Royal Canadian Air Force Reserve.[7]

After previously running in the same riding in the 2021 federal election, NDP candidate Julia Riddell, a clinical psychologist, and Green candidate Doug Hemmerling, a local educator, won their respective parties' nominations for the by-election.[7]

The People's Party of Canada chose former DJ Tylor Baer to be their candidate. He contested Brandon—Souris for the party in 2021.[10]

The Rhinoceros Party chose party leader Sébastien CoRhino to be their candidate.[11]

The Longest Ballot Committee chose Winnipeg South Centre as its target for this group of by-elections; the group protests first-past-the-post voting by registering large numbers of independent candidates in one riding in an election or group of by-elections.[12] Forty-two people, including the above-mentioned Sébastien CoRhino, ran under its auspices, while Tait Palsson, who was not involved with the group, also ran an independent campaign. The forty-eight candidates in this by-election are the most ever to contest a federal election in Canada.[13]

Polling

Polling Firm Last Date
of Polling		 Link LPC CPC NDP PPC GPC Others Undecided Margin
of Error[1]		 Sample
Size[2]		 Polling Method[3]
Mainstreet ResearchJune 14, 2023HTML4728162214±4.7 pp430IVR
492916221—

Results

Canadian federal by-election, June 19, 2023: Winnipeg South Centre
Death of Jim Carr
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalBen Carr14,27855.49+9.94
ConservativeDamir Stipanovic6,10023.70-4.11
New DemocraticJulia Riddell3,77814.68-5.95
GreenDoug Hemmerling6982.71-0.04
People'sTylor Baer3241.26-1.51
RhinocerosSébastien CoRhino550.21
IndependentTait Palsson520.20
IndependentJevin David Carroll360.14
IndependentJohn Dale290.11
IndependentGlen MacDonald270.10
IndependentConnie Lukawski240.09
IndependentPaul Stewart220.09
IndependentPatrick Strzalkowski190.07
IndependentMark Dejewski180.07
IndependentStella Galas160.06
IndependentDemetrios Karavas160.06
IndependentMyriam Beaulieu140.05
IndependentChristopher Clacio140.05
IndependentAlain Bourgault130.05
IndependentMartin "Acetaria Caesar" Jubinville130.05
IndependentKrzysztof Krzywinski130.05
IndependentAlain Lamontagne110.04
IndependentMarie-Hélène LeBel110.04
IndependentJordan Wong110.04
IndependentLine Bélanger100.04
IndependentAndrew Kozakewich100.04
IndependentEliana Rosenblum100.04
IndependentGerrit Dogger90.03
IndependentJulie St-Amand90.03
IndependentAlexandra Engering80.03
IndependentAnthony Hamel80.03
IndependentDarcy Justin Vanderwater80.03
IndependentRoger Sherwood70.03
IndependentPascal St-Amand70.03
IndependentDji-Pé Frazer60.02
IndependentDaniel Gagnon60.02
IndependentSpencer Rocchi60.02
IndependentMário Stocco60.02
IndependentManon Marie Lili Desbiens50.02
IndependentYsack Émile Dupont50.02
IndependentYusuf Nasihi50.02
IndependentJaël Champagne Gareau40.02
IndependentDonovan Eckstrom30.01
IndependentRyan Huard20.01
IndependentLorant Polya20.01
IndependentBenjamin Teichman20.01
IndependentGavin Vanderwater20.01
IndependentSaleh Waziruddin10.00
Total valid votes 25,73399.52
Total rejected ballots 1250.48-0.26
Turnout 25,85836.82-32.79
Eligible voters 70,230
Liberal hold Swing +7.02
Source: Elections Canada[14]

2021 result

2021 Canadian federal election: Winnipeg South Centre
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalJim Carr22,21445.55+0.54$84,273.45
ConservativeJoyce Bateman13,56627.82−1.89$83,919.18
New DemocraticJulia Riddell10,06420.64+2.94$12,522.59
People'sChase Wells1,3522.77+1.65$1,885.74
GreenDouglas Hemmerling1,3412.75−3.51$21,799.84
CommunistCam Scott2340.48N/AN/A
Total valid votes/expense limit 48,77199.26 $106,382.19
Total rejected ballots 3640.74+0.22
Turnout 49,13569.60-1.37
Eligible voters 70,592
Liberal hold Swing +1.22
Source: Elections Canada[15][16]

References

  1. ↑ "Candice Bergen, former interim Conservative leader, resigning from Parliament". CTVNews. February 1, 2023. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  2. ↑ "4 federal byelections set for June in Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved May 31, 2023.
  3. ↑ Kives, Bartley (January 2, 2023). "Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre". CBC News.
  4. ↑ Aiello, Rachel (December 12, 2022). "Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Jim Carr dies". CTV News. Retrieved December 12, 2022.
  5. ↑ Kives, Bartley (January 2, 2023). "Ben Carr, son of late Liberal MP, mulls following in father's footsteps in Winnipeg South Centre". CBC News. Retrieved January 3, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Son of late MP Jim Carr to seek Liberal party nomination to run in Winnipeg riding". CTV News. February 2, 2023. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  7. 1 2 3 Kives, Bartley (April 28, 2023). "Candidate field almost set for Winnipeg South Centre byelection". CBC News. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
  8. ↑ Froese, Ian (January 11, 2023). "Winnipeg city councillor Sherri Rollins seeks federal Liberal nomination in byelection". CBC News. Retrieved January 11, 2023.
  9. ↑ "Sherri Rollins bows out of bid for Liberal nomination to replace late Winnipeg MP". Global News. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
  10. ↑ Modified, Colin Slark Posted: Last (August 23, 2021). "Aug 2021: Former DJ, 22, running for People's Party to fight for personal freedoms". Brandon Sun. Retrieved June 5, 2023.
  11. ↑ Kives, Bartley (September 3, 2021). "Rhino Party charges at broken Liberal promise by signing up independents to run in Manitoba riding". CBC News.
  12. ↑ Unger, Danton (May 25, 2023). "Group of political activists plan to flood by-election ballot in Winnipeg". CTV News Winnipeg. Retrieved May 28, 2023.
  13. ↑ Froese, Ian (June 14, 2023). "Voters will choose from record-setting 48 names in Winnipeg South Centre federal byelection ballot". CBC News. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  14. ↑ "June 19, 2023, by-elections—Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  15. ↑ "forty-fourth general election 2021 — Poll-by-poll results". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 23, 2022.
  16. ↑ "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved December 13, 2022.
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