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Uruguay portal |
General elections will be held in Uruguay on 27 October 2024.[1] If no presidential candidate receives a majority in the first round of voting, a runoff will take place on Sunday 24 November 2024.
Background
Incumbent President Luis Lacalle Pou, who won the 2019 elections, cannot run again as the constitution bars a president from immediate re-election. As a result, the governing National Party has to nominate a new candidate.
Electoral system
The President of Uruguay is elected using the two-round system, with a run-off held if no candidate receives 50% of the vote in the first round. The 30 members of the Senate are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The vice president, elected on the same ballot as the president, becomes president of the Senate, with his vote being determinant in case of tie.[2] The 99 members of the Chamber of Representatives are elected by proportional representation in 19 multi-member constituencies based on the 19 departments. Seats are allocated using the highest averages method.[3]
The elections are held using the double simultaneous vote method, whereby voters cast a single vote for the party of their choice for all three seats of Presidency, Senate and Chamber of Representatives.
Presidential candidates
Presidential primaries will be held in April or June to select the candidates. Potential candidates include:[4][5]
- National Party
- Álvaro Delgado, Secretary of the Presidency (2020–present)
- Laura Raffo, President of the Montevideo Departmental Commission of the National Party (2020–present)
- Beatriz Argimón, Vice President of Uruguay (2020–present)
- Juan Sartori, Senator (2020–present)
- Javier García Duchini, Minister of National Defense (2020–present)
- Jorge Gandini, Senator (2020–present)
- Broad Front
- Yamandú Orsi, Intendant of Canelones (2015–present)
- Carolina Cosse, Intendant of Montevideo (2020–present)
- Mario Bergara, Senator (2020–present)
- Andrés Lima, Intendant of Salto (2020–present)
- Colorado Party
- Gabriel Gurméndez Armand-Ugon, President of ANTEL (2020–2023)
- Robert Silva García, President of ANEP (2020–2023)
- Tabaré Viera, Minister of Tourism (2021–present)
- Andrés Ojeda, criminal lawyer
- Gustavo Zubía, Representativa of Uruguay (2020–present)
- Guzmán Acosta y Lara, Director of Telecomunications in the Ministry of Industry, Energy and Mining (2020–2023)
- Cabildo Abierto
- Guido Manini Ríos, Senator (2020–present)
Opinion polls
Party polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | FA | PN | PC | CA | PERI | PG | PI | Others | Und. | Blank/Abs. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factum[6] | 17-30 Nov 2023 | 900 | 42% | 26% | 9% | 7% | — | — | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 16% |
| Equipos Consultores[7] | 16–29 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | 45% | 29% | 7% | 2% | — | — | — | 2% | 12% | 3% | 16% |
| Opción Consultores[8] | 4–20 Nov 2023 | 800 | 44% | 30% | 6% | 3% | 1% | — | 3% | — | 7% | 6% | 14% |
| UPC[9][10] | 10–14 Nov 2023 | 500 | 45% | 27% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 2% | 7% | 8% | 18% | |
| Nómade[11] | 6–11 Nov 2023 | 975 | 41.6% | 23.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | — | — | 1.1% | 1.8% | 23.3% | 1.2% | 18.6% |
| Cifra[12] | 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 | 1,002 | 44% | 31% | 6% | 2% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Equipos Consultores[13] | 5–18 Oct 2023 | 1,204 | 40% | 29% | 4% | 2% | 1% | — | — | 1% | 17% | 6% | 11% |
| UPC[14] | 15–19 Sep 2023 | 400 | 45% | 29% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 16% |
| Factum[15] | 21 Aug–6 Sep 2023 | 900 | 41% | 28% | 7% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 13% |
| Cifra[16] | 17–31 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | 42% | 30% | 4% | 2% | — | — | 1% | 21% | 12% | ||
| Equipos Consultores[17] | 10–23 Aug 2023 | 1,204 | 43% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 2] | 15% | 3% | 17% |
| Nómade[18] | 19–23 Jul 2023 | 902 | 40.6% | 25.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | — | — | 1.1% | 0.9% | 22.3% | 1.7% | 14.7% |
| Cifra[19] | 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 | 1,009 | 44% | 27% | 6% | 2% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Factum[20] | 21–28 Jun 2023 | 900 | 40% | 26% | 9% | 7% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 14% |
| Equipos Consultores[21] | 2–16 Jun 2023 | 1,207 | 43% | 28% | 7% | 2% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 15% |
| UPC[22] | 2–6 Jun 2023 | 400 | 45% | 29% | 5% | 4% | — | — | 1% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 16% |
| Opción Consultores[23] | 15–22 May 2023 | 849 | 42% | 30% | 4% | 4% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 11% | 6% | 12% |
| Factum[24] | 24 Apr–11 May 2023 | 900 | 41% | 23% | 8% | 11% | — | — | 4% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 18% |
| Cifra[25] | 20 Apr–3 May 2023 | 987 | 41% | 30% | 3% | 4% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 19% | 11% | ||
| Equipos Consultores[26] | 11–24 Apr 2023 | 1,204 | 42% | 28% | 5% | 2% | — | — | 1% | — | 15% | 7% | 14% |
| Nómade[27] | 3–17 Apr 2023 | 803 | 43.7% | 29.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | — | — | 2.1% | 0.8% | 12.5% | 2.3% | 14.7% |
| Cifra[28] | 15–27 Feb 2023 | 1,007 | 43% | 30% | 3% | 2% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 19% | 13% | ||
| Factum[29] | 11–20 Feb 2023 | 1,000 | 41% | 26% | 6% | 9% | — | — | 4% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 15% |
| Equipos Consultores[30] | Feb 2023 | – | 43% | 24% | 9% | 3% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 1% | n/a | n/a | 19% |
| Nómade[31] | 3–17 Jan 2023 | 828 | 43.1% | 27.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3%[lower-alpha 3] | 14.1% | 1.3% | 15.3% |
| Equipos Consultores[32] | Dec 2022 | – | 44% | 23% | 6% | 4% | 1% | — | — | 1% | 16% | 5% | 21% |
| Opción Consultores[33] | 2–10 Nov 2022 | – | 40% | 28% | 6% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 12% | 6% | 12% |
| Cifra[34] | 20–31 Oct 2022 | 810 | 43% | 31% | 4% | 2% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 1] | 1% | 18% | 12% | ||
| Factum[35] | 4–16 Oct 2022 | 800 | 41% | 27% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 14% |
| Equipos Consultores[36] | 24 Jul–8 Oct 2022 | 1,900 | 38% | 28% | 5% | 3% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 20% | 5% | 10% |
| Factum[37] | 3–13 Jun 2022 | 900 | 39% | 28% | 8% | 8% | — | — | 3% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 11% |
| Equipos Consultores[38] | 23 Apr–7 May 2022 | 1,195 | 35% | 25% | 5% | 2% | — | — | — | 1% | 25% | 7% | 10% |
| Factum[39] | 6–15 Nov 2021 | 900 | 39% | 30% | 8% | 9% | — | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 9% |
| Equipos Consultores[40] | Jul–Sep 2021 | 1,500 | 35% | 30% | 4% | 3% | — | — | 1% | 1% | 19% | 7% | 5% |
| Opción Consultores[41] | 13–20 May 2021 | 824 | 34% | 33% | 5% | 5% | 1% | — | 1% | 2% | 11% | 8% | 1% |
| 2019 election, 1st round | 27 October 2019 | – | 39.0% | 28.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.6% | 10.4% |
Party polling with hypothetical presidential candidates
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
FA | PN | PC | CA | PERI | PI | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsi | Cosse | Delgado | Raffo | ||||||||
| Equipos Consultores[42] | 16–29 Nov 2023 | 1,204 | 47% | — | 29% | — | 5% | 7% | — | 3% | 18% |
| 46% | — | — | 24% | 8% | 8% | — | 4% | 22% | |||
| — | 42% | 31% | — | 7% | 7% | — | 4% | 11% | |||
| — | 42% | — | 24% | 10% | 7% | — | 5% | 18% | |||
| Opción Consultores[43] | 4–20 Nov 2023 | 800 | 45% | — | 27% | — | 8% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 18% |
| — | 39% | 31% | — | 6% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 8% | |||
| Equipos Consultores[44] | 2–16 Jun 2023 | 1,207 | 46% | — | 26% | — | 11% | 5% | — | 4% | 20% |
| 46% | — | — | 20% | 13% | 7% | — | 4% | 26% | |||
| — | 39% | 25% | — | 13% | 6% | — | 6% | 14% | |||
| — | 41% | — | 21% | 16% | 7% | — | 5% | 20% | |||
| Opción Consultores[45] | 23 May–1 Jun 2022 | 800 | 40% | — | 22% | — | 12% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 18% |
| — | 39% | 23% | — | 13% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 16% | |||
Presidential polling with hypothetical candidates
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
FA | PN | PC | CA | Other | Und. | Blank/ Abs. | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orsi | Cosse | Bergara | Other FA | Delgado | Raffo | Argimón | Other PN | Bordaberry | Other PC | Manini | Other CA | ||||||
| Cifra[46] | 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 | 1,002 | 20% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4%[lower-alpha 4] | — | 1%[lower-alpha 5] | 3% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 38% | — |
| Cifra[47] | 17–31 Aug 2023 | 1,000 | 23% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | — | 3% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 37% | — |
| Cifra[48] | 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 | 1,009 | 20% | 12% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | — | 2% | — | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 35% | — |
| Cifra[49] | 20 Apr–3 May 2023 | 987 | 22% | 10% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 2% | — | 4% | — | 2%[lower-alpha 6] | 34% | — |
| Nómade[27] | 3–17 Apr 2023 | 803 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 0.7%[lower-alpha 7] | 5.7% | 0.6% | — | 5.3%[lower-alpha 8] | 0.9% | — | 4.0% | — | 4.5% | 45.9% | 3.3% |
| Cifra[50] | 4–14 Aug 2022 | 704 | 17.5% | 8.9% | — | 9.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 7.7%[lower-alpha 9] | 3.0% | — | 2.8% | — | 2.8%[lower-alpha 6] | 33.8% | — |
| Opción Consultores[45] | 23 May–1 Jun 2022 | 800 | 9% | 6% | [lower-alpha 10] | 8% | 5% | [lower-alpha 11] | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 62% | — |
- Notes
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Unspecified or other Multicolor parties
- ↑ 1% for Popular Unity
- ↑ 0.3% for Green Animalist Party
- ↑ 1% for Jorge Gandini
- ↑ 1% for Robert Silva
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 A different Multicolor candidate
- ↑ 0.7% for Óscar Andrade
- ↑ 5.3% of respondents named incumbent president Luis Lacalle Pou, who is ineligible for re-election
- ↑ 7.7% of respondents named incumbent president Luis Lacalle Pou, who is ineligible for re-election
- ↑ included with other FA
- ↑ included with other FN
Notes
References
- ↑ "Global elections calendar". NDI.
- ↑ Electoral system IPU
- ↑ Electoral system IPU
- ↑ "¿Quiénes lideran la interna blanca y la frenteamplista? ¿Y por cuánto margen? Esto dice Opción". El País (in Spanish). 22 June 2023.
- ↑ "LAS PREFERENCIAS INTERNAS EN EL FRENTE AMPLIO, PARTIDO NACIONAL Y PARTIDO COLORADO". Equipo Consultores (in Spanish). 21 December 2023.
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido – 6º Bimestre 2023".
- ↑ "SIMPATÍA POLÍTICA POR PARTIDO: FA 45%, PN 29%, PC 7%, CA 2%" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto dice la última encuesta de Opción". El País.
- ↑ "Según Usina de Percepción Ciudadana el Frente Amplio llega a 45% de intención de voto y la coalición suma 37%" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Elecciones 2024: Frente Amplio lidera preferencias con el 45 % según encuesta de la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "El 17,5% de quienes fueron encuestados no sabe a qué partido votaría" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿QUÉ VOTARÍAN LOS URUGUAYOS SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY?" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "45% votaría al Frente Amplio y 29% al Partido Nacional en las elecciones de 2024, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido – 4º Bimestre 2023" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto revela una nueva encuesta de Equipos" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto: el Frente Amplio mantiene ventaja sobre la coalición de gobierno" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido – 3er Bimestre 2023" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿A qué partido votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto concluyó una nueva encuesta de Equipos" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Elecciones 2024: el 45% votaría al Frente Amplio y el 29% al Partido Nacional" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿A qué partido votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran este domingo?". El Observador.
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido – 2º Bimestre" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto: "empate técnico" entre coalición y Frente Amplio, según la última encuesta de Cifra" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "SIMPATÍA POLÍTICA POR PARTIDO: FA 42%, PN 28%, PC 5%, CA 2%, PI 1%" (in Spanish).
- 1 2 "La intención de voto al Frente Amplio supera a la de la coalición" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "La coalición de gobierno suma 45% de intención de voto y el Frente Amplio 41%, según la última encuesta de Factum" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Encuesta Equipos: FA 43%, Partido Nacional 24%, Partido Colorado 9%, Cabildo Abierto 3%" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Yamandú Orsi y Álvaro Delgado lideran la intención de voto dentro de sus partidos" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Encuesta de Equipos coloca al FA a la cabeza de la preferencia electoral, con 44 %" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Opción: el FA reúne 40% de la intención de voto, mientras que los blancos llegan a 28%". Montevideo Portal.
- ↑ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido – Octubre 2022" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Encuesta de Equipos Consultores: FA 38%, PN 28%, PC 5%, CA 3%, 1% PI y 1% PERI" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto: FA 39%; PN 28%; CA y PC 8% cada uno" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? La última encuesta de Equipos Consultores" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Intención de voto por partido - Noviembre 2021" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "A dos años de las elecciones de 2019: ¿qué votarían hoy los uruguayos?". subrayado.com.uy (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2021.
- ↑ "Preferencias Partidarias - Mayo 2021". 6 July 2021.
- ↑ "El Frente Amplio lidera otra encuesta de intención de voto" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Preferencias Partidarias – Diciembre 2023" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "Encuesta de Equipos Consultores compara escenarios para las elecciones según el candidato de cada partido" (in Spanish).
- 1 2 "Preferencias presidenciales y escenarios de intención de voto" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
- ↑ "PRESIDENTE PREFERIDO PARA EL PROXIMO PERIODO" (in Spanish).
| Presidential elections | |
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| Parliamentary elections | |
| Colegiado elections | |
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