Carrum
VictoriaLegislative Assembly
Location of Carrum (dark green) in Greater Melbourne
StateVictoria
Created1976
MPSonya Kilkenny
PartyLabor
NamesakeCarrum
Electors48,726 (2018)
Area87 km2 (33.6 sq mi)
DemographicMetropolitan
Electorates around Carrum:
Mordialloc Dandenong Narre Warren South
Port Phillip Carrum
Frankston Hastings Cranbourne

The electoral district of Carrum is an electoral district of the Victorian Legislative Assembly.[1] It lies in the south eastern suburbs of Melbourne, covering Bangholme, Bonbeach, Carrum, Carrum Downs, Patterson Lakes, Sandhurst, Seaford and Skye.

The seat was created in 1976 and traditionally has had a working class character and has been safe for the Labor Party. However, since the 1990s the area has been gentrifying and the seat was won by the Liberal Party against the trend at the 1996 election. However, the seat was narrowly recovered by Labor due to the Anti-Kennett swing in 1999 and the 'Brackslide' of 2002 reverted the seat to its original safe Labor status.

The 2013 redistribution significantly reshaped the seat, with the seat losing Aspendale, Edithvale and parts of Chelsea to the seat of Mordialloc and gaining Carrum Downs and Sandhurst from the seat of Cranbourne.

In the 2014 Victorian State Election, Labor MP Sonya Kilkenny defeated the Liberal incumbent to regain the seat.

Members for Carrum

MemberPartyTerm
  Ian Cathie Labor 1976–1988
  Mal Sandon Labor 1988–1996
  David Lean Liberal 1996–1999
  Jenny Lindell Labor 1999–2010
  Donna Bauer Liberal 2010–2014
  Sonya Kilkenny Labor 2014–present

Election results

2022 Victorian state election: Carrum[2][3][4][5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Sonya Kilkenny 21,586 49.9 −3.1
Liberal Bec Buchanan 13,141 30.3 −2.3
Greens Jayde Lillico 3,282 7.6 +2.1
Freedom Georgia Erevnidis 1,750 4.0 +4.0
Family First Jeremy Cameron 1,354 3.1 +3.1
Animal Justice Taylor Macgregor Owen 1,201 2.8 +2.8
Independent Damian Willis 986 2.3 +2.3
Total formal votes 43,294 95.2 +1.1
Informal votes 2,183 4.8 −1.1
Turnout 45,477 88.7 −1.7
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Sonya Kilkenny 25,871 59.8 −2.2
Liberal Bec Buchanan 17,423 40.2 +2.2
Labor hold Swing−2.2

Graphical summary

Two-party-preferred vote results in Carrum

References

  1. "Re-Member (Former Members)". State Government of Victoria. Retrieved 29 May 2014.
  2. Green, Antony (11 January 2023). "VIC22 – 2-Party Preferred Results and Swings by District". Antony Green's Election Blog. Retrieved 28 January 2023.
  3. VIC 2021 Final Redistribution, ABC News. [Retrieved 1 January 2023.
  4. Carrum District results, Victorian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  5. Full preference distributions – 2022 State election, Victorian Electoral Commission. [Retrieved 17 June 2023.


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