An independence referendum is a type of referendum in which the residents of a territory decide whether the territory should become an independent sovereign state. An independence referendum that results in a vote for independence does not always ultimately result in independence.

Procedure

An independence referendum typically arises first after political success for nationalists of a territory. This could come in the election of politicians or parties with separatist policies, or from pressure from nationalist organisations.

Negotiations

Negotiations for the terms of an independence referendum may take place between the nationalists and the government which exercises sovereignty over the territory. If terms can be agreed, then the independence referendum can be held with its result binding, and respected by the international community. Independence referendums can be held without the consent of a national or the federal governments, then the international community will rely on several other factors, e.g. were the local people oppressed by the central government or not, to decide if the result can be recognized or not.

Scottish Government and UK central government delegates discussing the 2014 Scottish independence referendum.

Various issues can be discussed in negotiations, such as the date and timing of the poll, as well as voter eligibility. For these instances, common electoral practice is often widely used, although there can be deviations, as seen with the lowering of the voting age for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum.

Other issues to be negotiated include what question or questions should be on the ballot, and what the voting options could be. Independence referendums can offer options of greater autonomy as well as, or instead of, the status quo. They can also put forward other constitutional questions to ballot. The questions that referendums ask may be revised if parties involved in negotiations consider them to be too leading.

Negotiations notably need to address what would make a result binding. For some independence referendums, a simple majority is required for one option. In other cases, a quota can be used, where a certain percentage of the vote or the electorate needs to be in favour of an option for it to be binding.

Successful negotiations can be hard to achieve for nationalists, as governments can be reluctant to give up sovereignty. For example, nationalists planned to hold a referendum in Catalonia in 2014, but met opposition from the Spanish government. As a result, the referendum that went ahead was unofficial and non-binding.

Aftermath

In the event of a vote for independence, there may be negotiations on the terms of secession for the territory from the sovereign state. A declaration of independence for a new state is then made, and international recognition can follow, as well as membership of international organisations such as the United Nations. In cases involving non-binding referendums, this can lead to a unilateral declaration of independence, and therefore partially recognised or self-proclaimed states, like the Donbas status referendums.

In the event of a vote against independence, there may still be a strong nationalist movement and calls for there to be a rerun of the independence referendum. For example, after two referendums in Quebec, the Parti Québécois has continued to raise the prospect of holding another referendum,[1] and the Scottish National Party has said that there should be a repeat of the 2014 referendum now that the United Kingdom has left the European Union.

Past independence referendums

Proposed stateYearProposed independence fromMajority for independenceIndependenceRecognition of resultNotes
 Chile 1817 Spain YesYesNo Unilaterally declared independence.
 Liberia 1846 American Colonization Society YesYesYes
Maryland 1853 Maryland State Colonization Society YesYesYes
 Norway 1905 Sweden–Norway YesYes Yes
Iceland 1918  Denmark YesYes Yes
Western Australia 1933  Australia YesNo No
 Cambodia 1945 France YesYes Yes
 Mongolia 1945  China YesYes Yes Initially recognized by the Republic of China, but recognition was abolished in 1953; recognized by the People's Republic of China.
 Faroe Islands 1946  Denmark YesNo No Independence declaration annulled by Denmark.
 Newfoundland 1948  United Kingdom NoNo YesIntegrated with Canada.
 Nagaland 1951  India YesNo No Unrecognized by the government of India.[2]
 Saar 1955  France NoNo Yes Integrated with West Germany.
Cameroon1958NoNoYesReferendum on a new French constitution. A no vote would have led to independence.
 Central African Republic1958NoNoYes
 Chad1958NoNoYes
Comoros1958NoNoYes
 Republic of the Congo1958NoNoYes
 Dahomey1958NoNoYes
Djibouti1958NoNoYes
French Polynesia1958NoNoYes
Gabon1958NoNoYes
 Guinea1958YesYesYes
 Ivory Coast1958NoNoYes
 Madagascar1958NoNoYes
Mali1958NoNoYes
Mauritania1958NoNoYes
New Caledonia1958NoNoYes
 Niger1958NoNoYes
 Saint Pierre and Miquelon1958NoNoYes
Senegal1958NoNoYes
 Upper Volta1958NoNoYes
 Western Samoa 1961  New Zealand YesYes Yes
 Algeria 1962  France YesYes Yes
 Malta 1964  United Kingdom YesYes Yes
 Rhodesia 1964 Yes De facto No Unilaterally declared independence.
Djibouti 1967  France NoNo Yes
 Puerto Rico 1967  United States NoNo Yes
 West Papua 1969  Indonesia NoNo Yes
Northern Mariana Islands 1969  United States NoNo Yes
 Bahrain 1970  United Kingdom YesYes Yes
 Niue 1974  New Zealand Majority for associated status Associated status achieved Yes Became an associated state of New Zealand.
Comoros 1974  France YesYes Yes Mayotte remained with France.
 Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands 1975  United States NoNo Yes
 Guam 1976 NoNo Yes
 Aruba 1977  Netherlands YesNo Yes Independence plans dropped in 1994.
 Djibouti 1977  France YesYes Yes
 Nevis 1977  Saint Christopher-Nevis-Anguilla YesNo No Unofficial referendum to become independent from Saint Christopher-Nevis-Anguilla and attain Crown colony status within the British Empire. Unrecognized by the central government.
 Quebec 1980  Canada NoNo Yes
 Ciskei 1980  South Africa Yes De facto Partial Recognized by South Africa; not by the international community.
 Guam 1982  United States NoNo Yes
 Federated States of Micronesia 1983 YesYes Yes Became an associated state of the United States.
 Marshall Islands 1983 NoNo Yes
 Palau 1983 NoNo Yes Became an associated state of the United States.
1984 NoNo Yes
 Cocos (Keeling) Islands 1984  Australia NoNoYes
Falkland Islands 1986  United Kingdom NoNoYes
New Caledonia 1987  France NoNoYes
Slovenia 1990  Yugoslavia YesYesYesUnilaterally declared independence.
 Armenia 1991  Soviet Union YesYesYes
 Azerbaijan 1991 YesYesYes
 Croatia 1991  Yugoslavia YesYesYesUnilaterally declared independence.
 Estonia 1991  Soviet Union YesYesYes
 Georgia 1991 YesYesYes
Kosova 1991  Yugoslavia YesNo No Only recognized by Albania.
 Latvia 1991  Soviet Union YesYesYes
 Lithuania 1991 YesYesYes
 North Macedonia 1991  Yugoslavia YesYesYes
 Nagorno-Karabakh 1991  Soviet Union Yes De facto No Unilaterally declared independence.
 Ukraine 1991 YesYesYes
 Transnistria 1991 Yes De facto No Unilaterally declared independence.
Gagauz Republic 1991 Yes De facto[3] No Unilaterally separated from Moldova; reintegrated into the country in 1995.
Turkmenistan 1991 YesYesYes
 Uzbekistan 1991 YesYesYes
 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1992  Yugoslavia YesYesYesUnilaterally declared independence.
 Montenegro 1992 NoNoYesMontenegro split from Serbia and Montenegro in 2006.
 South Ossetia 1992  Georgia Yes De facto No Unilaterally declared independence.
 Tatarstan 1992  Russia YesYesNo Reintegrated with Russia in 1994.
 Eritrea 1993  Ethiopia YesYesYes
 United States Virgin Islands 1993  United States NoNoYes
 Puerto Rico 1993 NoNoYes
 Curaçao 1993  Netherlands NoNoYes
 Bonaire 1994 NoNoYes
 Sint Maarten 1994 NoNoYes
 Saba 1994 NoNoYes
 Sint Eustatius 1994 NoNoYes
 Bermuda 1995  United Kingdom NoNoYes
 Quebec 1995  Canada NoNoYes
Seborga 1995[4]  Italy YesNoNo Regarded as a micronation.
Anjouan 1997  Comoros Yes De facto No Reintegrated with the Comoros in 2001.
 Nevis 1998  Saint Kitts and Nevis YesNoYes 2/3 majority was required for independence.
 Puerto Rico 1998  United States NoNoYes
 East Timor 1999  Indonesia YesYesYes
 Sint Maarten 2000  Netherlands NoNoYes
 Somaliland 2001  Somalia YesDe factoNo
 Bonaire 2004  Netherlands NoNoYes
 Saba 2004 NoNoYes
 Kurdistan 2005  Iraq YesNoNo
 Curaçao 2005  Netherlands NoNoYes
 Sint Eustatius 2005 NoNoYes
 Montenegro 2006  Serbia and Montenegro YesYesYes
 South Ossetia 2006  Georgia Yes De facto No
 Transnistria 2006  Moldova Yes De facto No
 Tokelau 2006  New Zealand Majority for associated status
but Quorum not reached
Associated status not achieved Yes The referendum was on whether Tokelau should become an associated state of New Zealand. 2/3 majority was required.
2007 Majority for associated status
but Quorum not reached
Associated status not achieved Yes
Tamil Eelam 2009-2010  Sri Lanka Yes NoNo Unofficial referendum. Unrecognized by the government of Sri Lanka.
 South Sudan 2011  Sudan Yes[5] YesYes
 Puerto Rico 2012  United States NoNoYes
Donetsk 2014  Ukraine Yes[6] De facto[7] No Unilaterally declared independence.
Luhansk 2014 Yes[6] De facto[7] No Unilaterally declared independence.
 Veneto 2014  Italy YesNoNo Unofficial referendum. Unrecognized by the government of Italy.
 Scotland 2014  United Kingdom NoNoYes
Catalonia 2014  Spain YesNoNo
 Sint Eustatius 2014  Netherlands NoNoYes
South Brazil 2016  Brazil YesNoNo Unofficial referendum. Unrecognized by the government of Brazil.
 Puerto Rico 2017  United States NoNoYes
 Kurdistan 2017  Iraq Yes No[8] No The referendum also took place in the disputed territories of Northern Iraq.
Catalonia 2017  Spain Yes No[9] No Unilaterally declared independence. Declaration annulled by the government of Spain.[10]
South Brazil 2017  Brazil YesNoNo Unofficial referendum. Unrecognized by the government of Brazil.
 New Caledonia 2018  France NoNoYes
 Bougainville 2019  Papua New Guinea Yes Subject to negotiation[11] Yes Nonbinding vote.[12] Independence rests with Papua New Guinea's parliament.[13]
 New Caledonia 2020  France No No[14] Yes
2021 No No Yes Boycotted by pro-independence parties.[15]

See also

Further reading

References

  1. "Neverendum referendum: Voting on independence, Quebec-style". BBC News Online. 8 September 2014. Retrieved 17 January 2015.
  2. Walling, A. Wati; Agrawal, Ankush; Phom, B. Henshet (1 January 2018). Democracy In Nagaland: Tribes, Traditions, and Tensions. Highlander Press. ISBN 9780692070314.
  3. Marcin Kosienkowski (2017) The Gagauz Republic: An Autonomism-Driven De Facto State The Soviet and Post-Soviet Review, volume 44, no. 3, pp292–313
  4. Roth, Christopher F. (March 2015). Let's Split! A Complete Guide to Separatist Movements and Aspirant Nations, from Abkhazia to Zanzibar (PDF). Litwin Books, LLC. p. 90. In 1995, Giorgio held a referendum, with Seborgans opting for independence 304-4.
  5. South Sudan backs independence – results
  6. 1 2 "In eastern Ukraine, polls close amid allegations of double-voting - CNN.com". CNN. 11 May 2014. Retrieved 30 September 2014.
  7. 1 2 "Russia Praises Ukraine's Autonomy Law for Rebel Areas". WSJ. 17 September 2014. Retrieved 30 September 2014.
  8. "Iraqi Kurds offer to 'freeze' independence referendum result". BBC. 25 October 2017. Retrieved 27 October 2017.
  9. Catalonia independence: Spain takes charge of Catalan government BBC News, 28 October 2017
  10. Suspendida la declaración de independencia de Cataluña (in Spanish)
  11. Lyons, Kate (2019-12-10). "Bougainville referendum: region votes overwhelmingly for independence from Papua New Guinea". The Guardian. Retrieved 2019-12-11.
  12. "Bougainville referendum not binding - PM". Radio New Zealand. 2019-03-11. Retrieved 2019-03-18.
  13. Mckenna, Kylie; Ariku, Emelda (19 November 2021). "Bougainville independence: recalling promises of international help". The Interpreter. Retrieved 3 December 2021.
  14. Sartre, Julien; Doherty, Ben (4 October 2020). "New Caledonia rejects independence from France for second time". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 4 October 2020.
  15. "New Caledonia pro-independence parties reject referendum result". Al Jazeera. 13 December 2021. Retrieved 14 December 2021.
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