2016 Scottish Parliament election

5 May 2016 (2016-05-05)
All 129 seats to the Scottish Parliament 65 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout	Constituency – 55.8% 5.3 pp Regional – 55.8% 5.3pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Nicola Sturgeon Ruth Davidson Kezia Dugdale Party SNP Conservative Labour Leader since 14 November 2014 4 November 2011 15 August 2015 Leader's seat Glasgow Southside Edinburgh Central Lothian Last election 69 seats 15 seats 37 seats Seats before 64 15 38 Seats won 63 31 24 Seat change 6 16 13 Constituency vote 1,059,898 501,844 514,261  % and swing 46.5% 1.1% 22.0% 8.1% 22.6% 9.2% Regional vote 953,587 524,222 435,919  % and swing 41.7% 2.3% 22.9% 10.6% 19.1% 7.2%   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Patrick Harvie / Maggie Chapman Willie Rennie Party Scottish Green Liberal Democrats Leader since 22 November 2008 / 25 November 2013 17 May 2011 Leader's seat Glasgow / Contested North East Scotland  North East Fife Last election 2 seats 5 seats Seats before 2 5 Seats won 6 5 Seat change 4 Constituency vote 13,172 178,238  % and swing 0.6% 0.6% 7.8% 0.1% Regional vote 150,426 119,284  % and swing 6.6% 2.2% 5.2%
The left side shows constituency winners of the election by their party colours. The right side shows regional winners of the election for the additional members by their party colours.
First Minister before election Nicola Sturgeon SNP First Minister after election Nicola Sturgeon SNP

The 2016 Scottish parliament election was held on Thursday, 5 May 2016^[1] to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth election held since the devolved parliament was established in 1999. It was the first parliamentary election in Scotland in which 16 and 17 year olds were eligible to vote, under the provisions of the Scottish Elections (Reduction of Voting Age) Act.^[2][3] It was also the first time the three largest parties were led by women.

Parliament went into dissolution on 24 March 2016, allowing the official period of campaigning to get underway. Five parties had MSPs in the previous parliament: Scottish National Party (SNP) led by First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, Scottish Labour led by Kezia Dugdale, Scottish Conservatives led by Ruth Davidson, Scottish Liberal Democrats led by Willie Rennie, Scottish Greens, led by their co-conveners Patrick Harvie and Maggie Chapman. Of those five parties, four changed their leader since the 2011 election.

During the campaign, a series of televised debates took place, including party leaders of the elected parties. BBC Scotland held the first leaders' debate on 24 March, STV broadcast the next on 29 March, and BBC Scotland hosted the final debate on 1 May.

The election resulted in a hung parliament with the Scottish National Party winning a third term in government, but falling two seats short of securing a second consecutive overall majority.^[4][5] The Conservatives saw a significant increase in support and replaced the Labour Party as the second-largest party and main opposition in the Scottish Parliament. This was the first time that Labour had finished in third place at a Scottish election in 98 years.^[4][5] The Scottish Greens won six seats on the regional list and overtook the Liberal Democrats, who remained on five seats.^[4][5]

Although the SNP had lost their majority, it was still by far the largest single party in the Scottish Parliament, with more than double the seats of the Conservatives. Accordingly, Sturgeon announced she would form a minority SNP government. She was voted in for a second term as First Minister on 17 May.^[6]

Date

Under the Scotland Act 1998, an ordinary election to the Scottish Parliament would normally have been held on the first Thursday in May four years after the 2011 election, i.e. in May 2015.^[7] In May 2010, the new UK Government stated in its coalition agreement that the next United Kingdom general election would also be held in May 2015.^[8] This proposal was criticised by the Scottish National Party and Labour, as it had been recommended after the 2007 election that elections with different voting systems should be held on separate days: a recommendation which all of the political parties had then accepted.^[9] In response to this criticism, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg offered the right to vary the date of the Scottish Parliament election by a year either way.^[10] All the main political parties then stated their support for delaying the election by a year.^[11][12] The Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, a statute of the UK Parliament, moved the date of the Scottish Parliament election to 5 May 2016.^[1]

The date of the poll may be varied by up to one month either way by the monarch, on the proposal of the Presiding Officer.^[7]

If Parliament itself resolves that it should be dissolved, with at least two-thirds of the Members (i.e. 86 Members) voting in favour, the Presiding Officer proposes a date for an extraordinary election and the Parliament is dissolved by the monarch by royal proclamation.

It does not necessarily require a two-thirds majority to precipitate an extraordinary election, because under the Scotland Act Parliament is also dissolved if it fails to nominate one of its members to be First Minister within certain time limits, irrespective of whether at the beginning or in the middle of a parliamentary term. Therefore, if the First Minister resigned, Parliament would then have 28 days to elect a successor (s46(2)b and s46(3)a). If no new First Minister was elected then the Presiding Officer would ask for Parliament to be dissolved under s3(1)a. This process could also be triggered if the First Minister lost a vote of confidence by a simple majority (i.e. more than 50%), as they must then resign (Scotland Act 1998 s45(2)). To date the Parliament has never held a vote of no confidence in a First Minister.

No extraordinary elections have been held to date. Any extraordinary elections would be in addition to ordinary elections, unless held less than six months before the due date of an ordinary election, in which case they supplant it. The subsequent ordinary election reverts to the first Thursday in May, a multiple of four years after 1999.^[13]

It was envisaged that the election would still have taken place as scheduled if Scotland had voted in favour of independence in 2014.^[14]

Retiring MSPs

Election system, seats, and regions

The total number of Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) elected to the Parliament is 129.

The First Periodical Review of the Scottish Parliament's constituencies and regions by the Boundary Commission for Scotland, was announced on 3 July 2007. The Commission published its provisional proposals for the regional boundaries in 2009.

The Scottish Parliament uses an Additional Members System, designed to produce approximate proportional representation for each region. There are 8 regions, each sub-divided into smaller constituencies. There are a total of 73 constituencies. Each constituency elects one MSP by the plurality (first past the post) system of election. Each region elects 7 additional MSPs using an additional member system. A modified D'Hondt method, using the constituency results, is used to elect these additional MSPs.^[40][41]

The Scottish Parliament constituencies have not been coterminous with Scottish Westminster constituencies since the 2005 general election, when the 72 former UK Parliament constituencies were replaced with a new set of 59, generally larger, constituencies (see Scottish Parliament (Constituencies) Act 2004). The boundaries used for the Scottish Parliament elections were then revised for the 2011 election. The Boundary Commission also recommended changes to the electoral regions used to elect "list" members of the Scottish Parliament,^[42] which were also implemented in 2011.

Campaign

On 29 February 2016, BBC Scotland's Scotland 2016 current affairs programme held a debate focusing on education featuring the Education Minister Angela Constance and three party leaders: Kezia Dugdale, Ruth Davidson and Willie Rennie.^[43]

On 24 March 2016, BBC Scotland held a debate in Glasgow which was televised that featured Dugdale, Davidson, Rennie, Nicola Sturgeon, Patrick Harvie and David Coburn.^[44]

On 29 March 2016, STV hosted a televised leaders' debate, featuring the five leaders of the parties which held seats in the last Parliament.^[45]

From 5–26 April 2016, Scotland 2016 also held a series of weekly subject debates on Tuesday nights. The subjects were Tax, Health, Energy & Environment, and Housing.^[46] Of these, six parties (SNP, Labour, Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, the Scottish Greens and UKIP) were invited to the Tax debate.

Parties contesting the election

The official nomination period closed on 1 April 2016, lists of candidates were then published by local councils once the applications had been processed.^[47]

In March 2015, the Scottish Greens balloted their members to select candidates for their regional lists.^[48] The SNP released their regional candidate list in October 2015.^[49] The Conservative regional candidate list followed in December.^[50] In January 2016, RISE – Scotland's Left Alliance announced list candidates for all regions except the North East.^[51] Labour had announced a new selection process for regional candidates in November 2013,^[52] then revealed their full list of regional candidates in February 2016.^[53] UKIP's regional candidates were picked by their executive committee, prompting one prospective candidate to resign his party membership.^[54]

Opinion polling

The chart shows the relative state of the parties since polling began from 2012, until the date of the election. The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016

Result

← 2016 Scottish Parliament election^[65] →

Party		Constituencies					Regional additional members					Total seats
		Votes	%	±	Seats	±	Votes	%	±	Seats	±	Total	±	%
	SNP	1,059,898	46.5	1.1	59	6	953,587	41.7	2.3	4	12	63	6	48.8
	Conservative	501,844	22.0	8.1	7	4	524,222	22.9	10.6	24	12	31	16	24.0
	Labour	514,261	22.6	9.2	3	12	435,919	19.1	7.2	21	1	24	13	18.6
	Scottish Green	13,172	0.6	0.6	0		150,426	6.6	2.2	6	4	6	4	4.7
	Liberal Democrats	178,238	7.8	0.1	4	2	119,284	5.2		1	2	5		3.9
	UKIP	—	—	—	—	—	46,426	2.0	1.1	0		0		0.0
	Solidarity	—	—	—	—	—	14,333	0.6	0.5	0		0		0.0
	Scottish Christian	1,162	0.1		0		11,686	0.5	0.3	0		0		0.0
	RISE	—	—	—	—	—	10,911	0.5	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	Women's Equality	—	—	—	—	—	5,968	0.3	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	A Better Britain – Unionist Party	—	—	—	—	—	2,453	0.1	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	Clydesdale and South Scotland Independent	909	0.0	new	0	new	1,485	0.1	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	Animal Welfare	—	—	—	—	—	1,819	0.1	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	Libertarian	119	0.0	new	0	new	1,686	0.1	new	0	new	0	new	0.0
	National Front	—	—	—	—	—	617	0.0	0.0	0		0		0.0
	Communist	—	—	—	—	—	510	0.0	0.0	0		0		0.0
	TUSC	3,540	0.1	new	0	new	—	—	—	—	—	0	new	0.0
	Independent	6,011	0.3	0.3	0		4,420	0.2		0	1	0	1	0.0
Valid votes		2,279,154	99.6	0.1			2,285,752	99.8	0.1
Spoilt votes		9,215	0.4	0.1			3,812	0.2	0.1
Total		2,288,369	100		73	–	2,289,564	100		56	–	129	–	100
Electorate/Turnout		4,099,907	55.8	5.3			4,099,907	55.8	5.3

Target seats

Below are listed all the constituencies which required a swing of less than 5% from the 2011 result to change hands.

Incumbents defeated

* Formerly SNP

See also

References

External links

• McNeill and Stone's Guide to candidates
• report on 2016 election by Electoral Commission