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County results Cornyn: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kirk: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Texas |
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Government |
The 2002 United States Senate election in Texas was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Phil Gramm decided to retire, instead of seeking a fourth term. State Attorney General Republican John Cornyn won the open seat. This was the first open-seat election since 1984.
Democratic primary
- Ron Kirk, Mayor of Dallas
- Victor Morales, Teacher, Navy Veteran, 1996 Senate nominee
- Ken Bentsen Jr., U.S. representative, nephew of former US Senator Lloyd Bentsen
Primary
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Victor M. Morales | 317,048 | 33.2 | |
Democratic | Ron Kirk | 316,052 | 33.1 | |
Democratic | Ken Bentsen | 255,501 | 26.8 | |
Democratic | Gene Kelly | 44,038 | 4.6 | |
Democratic | Ed Cunningham | 22,016 | 2.3 | |
Total votes | 954,655 | 100.0 |
Runoff
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron Kirk | 370,878 | 59.8 | |
Democratic | Victor M. Morales | 249,423 | 40.2 | |
Total votes | 620,301 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Primary
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Cornyn | 478,825 | 77.3 | |
Republican | Bruce Rusty Lang | 46,907 | 7.6 | |
Republican | Douglas Deffenbaugh | 43,611 | 7.0 | |
Republican | Dudley F. Mooney | 32,202 | 5.2 | |
Republican | Lawrence Cranberg | 17,757 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 619,302 | 100.0 |
General election
Campaign
Despite the fact that Texas is a red state, Kirk ran on a socially progressive platform: supporting abortion rights and opposing Bush judicial nominee Priscilla Richman, although Kirk was a former George W. Bush supporter.[1] He also supported increases in defense spending, such as Bush's proposed $48 billion increase in military spending, except for the money Bush wanted to use for missile defense.[2] Kirk had the support of former Governor Ann Richards and former U.S. Senator Lloyd Bentsen.
Cornyn was criticized for taking campaign money from Enron and other controversial companies. And although other Democrats have seized on the issue, Kirk is well-entrenched in the Dallas business community, and his wife resigned from two private-sector jobs that created potential conflicts of interest for Kirk while he was mayor.
An October Dallas Morning News poll had Cornyn leading 47% to 37%.[3] A record $18 million was spent in the election.[4]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 18, 2002
- Complete video of debate, October 23, 2002
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Lean R | November 4, 2002 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
John Cornyn (R) |
Ron Kirk (D) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 29–31, 2002 | 683 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 45% | 2% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Cornyn | 2,496,243 | 55.30% | +0.52% | |
Democratic | Ron Kirk | 1,955,758 | 43.33% | -0.61% | |
Libertarian | Scott Jameson | 35,538 | 0.79% | -0.14% | |
Green | Roy Williams | 25,051 | 0.55% | N/A | |
Write-in | James W. Wright | 1,422 | 0.03% | N/A | |
Majority | 540,485 | 11.97% | +1.13% | ||
Turnout | 4,514,012 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Atascosa (Largest city: Pleasanton)
- Bastrop (Largest city: Elgin)
- Brewster (Largest city: Alpine)
- Cottle (Largest city: Paducah)
- Fannin (Largest city: Bonham)
- Galveston (Largest city: Galveston)
- Knox (Largest city: Munday)
- Milam (Largest city: Rockdale)
- Palo Pinto (Largest city: Mineral Wells)
- Red River (Largest city: Clarksville)
- Stonewall (Largest city: Aspermont)
- Trinity (Largest city: Trinity)
- Waller (Largest city: Hempstead)
- Robertson (Largest city: Hearne)
- Bexar (largest city: San Antonio)
- Calhoun (largest city: Port Lavaca)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Pecos (Largest city: Fort Stockton)
- San Augustine (Largest city: San Augustine)
- San Patricio (Largest city: Portland)
- Hudspeth (Largest city: Fort Hancock)
- Refugio (Largest city: Refugio)
- Dallas (largest city: Dallas)
See also
Notes
- ↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- ↑ "2002 VOTER'S GUIDE: / U.S. Senate / Cornyn vs. Kirk: More than U.S. Senate seat at stake here". Houston Chronicle. October 27, 2002. p. H.2. ProQuest 395977920.
- ↑ Newsbank
- ↑ Cienski, Jan (October 31, 2002). "Ethnicity, money are the recipe for 'Dream Team': Battle for Texas: Democrats court blacks, Hispanics in Republican state". National Post. Don Mills, Ont. p. A17. ProQuest 330127613.
- ↑ "Summary". OpenSecrets.
- ↑ "Senate Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on November 18, 2002. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
- ↑ "2002 ELECTION STATISTICS".