2024 United States presidential election in Texas
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic


The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.[1]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The Texas Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

The Texas Republican primary is scheduled to be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

General election

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent		 Cornel
West
Independent		 Jill
Stein
Green		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 42% 34% 8% 3% 2% 12%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 45% 39% 16%
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 45% 37% 18%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[lower-alpha 2]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 40% 13%
Emerson College September 20–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 11%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 43% 9%
Blueprint Polling (D) June 8–10, 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 38% 17%
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
DeSantis
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 39% 37% 24%
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 39% 38% 24%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 42% 14%[lower-alpha 3]
CWS Research (R) April 17–21, 2023 677 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 40% 16%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 41% 15%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Nikki
Haley
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 33% 36% 31%
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 32% 34% 34%
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Vivek
Ramaswamy
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] December 1–10, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 34% 37% 30%
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 33% 36% 32%
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Kamala
Harris
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 46% 39% 15%[lower-alpha 4]
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
DeSantis
Republican		 Kamala
Harris
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation May 8–17, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 2.9% 45% 40% 15%[lower-alpha 5]
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Pence
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 29% 36% 36%
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tim
Scott
Republican		 Joe
Biden
Democratic		 Other /
Undecided
YouGov[upper-alpha 1] October 5–17, 2023 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 33% 34% 33%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  3. ↑ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  4. ↑ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  5. ↑ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas

References

  1. ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  2. ↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
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