2023 Borno State gubernatorial election
18 March 2023
Registered2,513,281
 
Nominee Babagana Umara Zulum Mohammed Ali Jajari
Party APC PDP
Running mate Umar Usman Kadafur Saleh Ahmed Kida
Governor before election

Babagana Umara Zulum
APC

 Elected Governor

Babagana Umara Zulum
APC

The 2023 Borno State gubernatorial election will take place on 18 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Borno State, concurrent with elections to the Borno State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election—which was postponed from its original 11 March date—will be held three weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections.[3] Incumbent APC Governor Babagana Umara Zulum has been renominated by his party.[4]

The primaries, scheduled for between 4 April and 9 June 2022, resulted in Zulum winning the All Progressives Congress primary unopposed on 26 May while the Peoples Democratic Party nominated businessman Mohammed Ali Jajari on 25 May.[4][5]

Electoral system

The Governor of Borno State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.

Background

Borno State is a large, diverse northeastern state in the process of recovering from the worst of the Boko Haram insurgency. Still facing large-scale threats by and partial occupation from Boko Haram and ISWAP terrorists, the state also has to contend with an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates.

Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Zulum won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, house of representatives, and house of assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

At the beginning of his term, Zulum said administration would focus on ending the insurgency, rebuilding the educational sector, creating jobs, and reconstructing abandoned communities.[6] In terms of his performance, Zulum was praised for his outreach to Christian areas in the state's south that are heavily targeted by terrorists, the restoration of power to Bama, an early and proactive approach to the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, efforts to support internally displaced persons' return to their communities, and for signing the Child Protection Law but was criticized for ordering the reopening of schools in an insecure area, being insensitive in the aftermath of the Koshebe massacre, and rushing the closure of IDP camps before security could be guaranteed.[7][8][9][10][11][12][13]

Primary elections

The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, were to take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022 but the deadline was extended to 9 June.[2][14]

All Progressives Congress

On 20 April 2022, the APC National Executive Committee announced the party's schedule for gubernatorial primaries, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Forms were to be sold from 26 April to 6 May until the deadline was later extended to 10 May then 12 May.[15] After the submission of nomination forms by 13 May, candidates were screened by a party committee on 14 and 15 May while 16 May was the date for the screening appeal process.[16] Ward congresses and LGA congresses were set for between 7 and 9 May to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process advanced to a primary set for 26 May, in concurrence with other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result could be made the next day.[17][18][19][20]

On the primary date, Zulum was the sole candidate and won the nomination unanimously at the El-Kanemi Sports Centre in Maiduguri. In his acceptance speech, Zulum noted that combating insecurity was a priority in the wake of the Kala-Balge killings; he also rejected his long-rumored interest in the APC's vice presidential slot.[4]

Nominated

Declined

Results

APC primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
APC Babagana Umara Zulum 1,411 100.00%
Total votes 1,411 100.00%
Turnout 1,411 90.45%

People's Democratic Party

On 16 March 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦1 million and the nomination form price at ₦20 million with a 50% discount for candidates between 25 and 30. Forms were to be sold until 1 April but the party later extended the deadline four times before reaching a final deadline of 22 April. After the submission of nomination forms by 25 April, candidates were screened by a party committee on 28 April while 2 May was the rescheduled date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses were set for 29 April and LGA congresses were rescheduled for 10 May to elect delegates for the primary.[23] Candidates approved by the screening process advanced to a primary set for 25 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result could be made in the following days.[24][25]

On the primary date, an indirect primary held in Maiduguri with that ended with Mohammed Ali Jajari emerging as the PDP nominee by defeating 2019 nominee Muhammed Imam, 57% to 43%. After announcing the results, primary committee chairman Abdulrahman Bobboi urged those that had lost out to commit their support to Ali Jajari.[5]

Nominated

  • Mohammed Ali Jajari: businessman[26][5]
    • Running mate—Saleh Ahmed Kida

Eliminated in primary

Results

Candidates' vote share

  Mohammed Ali Jajari (57.36%)
  Muhammed Imam (42.64%)
PDP primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
PDP Mohammed Ali Jajari 487 57.36%
PDP Muhammed Imam 362 42.64%
Total votes 849 100.00%
Turnout 849 Unknown

Minor parties

Campaign

In the months after the primaries, the campaign was dominated by questions over the ability of Ali Jajari to challenge the strong APC hold of the state. Coupled with the pro-APC leaning of the state were accusations that the incumbent administration was suppressing the opposition, most notably when the NNPP campaign office was closed in August by order of the Borno State Urban Planning and Development Board as it allegedly violated zoning laws. After the NNPP protested the closure, Zulum ordered the unbarring of the office with a statement that "no matter the justification [for the closure], the timing is wrong."[28][29] By September, the PDP had begun expressing fears of electoral fraud while the APC dismissed the PDP and NNPP as parties without widespread support in the state.[30]

By 2023, attention largely switched to the presidential election on 25 February. In the election, Borno State voted for Bola Tinubu (APC); Tinubu won 54.2% of the vote, beating Atiku Abubakar (PDP) at 41.0%. Although the result was unsurprising as Borno is the home state of Tinubu's running mate—Kashim Shettima—and projections had favored him, the totals led to increased attention on the gubernatorial race as it was a much slimmer APC margin of victory than in recent previous elections. Gubernatorial campaign analysis from after the presidential election noted the role of Ali Jajari in the state PDP's renewal while noting NNPP support among Shuwa Arab and Hausa communities in addition to LP support among Christian communities. Pundits also observed that the boost of APC incumbency had been counteracted by weak areas where unpopular APC legislative candidates could drag down Zulum's vote share.[31] Nevertheless, the EiE-SBM forecast projected Zulum to win based on "quantitative data and the convincing party victory in the presidential vote" while a Vanguard piece predicted a Zulum "walk over."[32][33]

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][34] Safe Zulum 17 March 2023
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 2][32]		 Zulum 2 March 2023

Conduct

Electoral timetable

On 26 February 2022, the Independent National Electoral Commission released the timetable, setting out key dates and deadlines for the election.[35] Months later on 27 May 2022, INEC made a slight revision to the timetable, allowing parties extra time to conduct primaries.[36]

  • 28 February 2022 – Publication of Notice of Election
  • 4 April 2022 – First day for the conduct of party primaries
  • 9 June 2022[lower-alpha 3] – Final day for the conduct of party primaries, including the resolution of disputes arising from them
  • 1 July 2022 – First day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
  • 15 July 2022 – Final day for submission of nomination forms to INEC via the online portal
  • 12 October 2022 – Commencement of the official campaign period
  • 16 March 2023[lower-alpha 4] – Final day of the official campaign period

General election

Results

2023 Borno State gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
A
AA
ADP
APP
AAC
ADC
APM
APC
APGA
BP
LP
New Nigeria Peoples Party
NRM
PDP
PRP
SDP
YPP
ZLP
Total votes 100.00%
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Babagana Umara Zulum
APC		 Mohammed Ali Jajari
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Borno Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 5] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Borno North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 6] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Borno South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Babagana Umara Zulum
APC		 Mohammed Ali Jajari
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Askira-Uba/Hawul Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bama/Ngala/Kala-Balge Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Biu/Kwaya Kusar/Shani/Bayo Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Chibok/Damboa/Gwoza Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Dikwa/Mafa/Konduga Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Gubio/Kaga/Magumeri Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Jere Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kukawa/Mobbar/Abadam/Guzamala Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Maiduguri (Metropolitan) Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Monguno/Marte/Nganzai Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Babagana Umara Zulum
APC		 Mohammed Ali Jajari
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Abadam TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Askira/Uba TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bama TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bayo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Biu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Chibok TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Damboa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dikwa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gubio TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Guzamala TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gwoza TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Hawul TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Jere TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kaga TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kala/Balge TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kukawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kwaya Kusar TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mafa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Magumeri TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Maiduguri TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Marte TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mobbar TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Monguno TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ngala TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Nganzai TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shani TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  3. ↑ The original deadline was 3 June; however, INEC pushed it back to 9 June at the behest of parties.[37]
  4. ↑ The original deadline was 9 March; however, INEC pushed it back to 16 March.[38]
  5. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Dikwa, Jere, Kaga, Kala/Balge, Konduga, Mafa, Maiduguri, and Ngala.
  6. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Gubio, Guzamala, Kukawa, Magumeri, Marte, Mobbar, Monguno, and Nganzai.
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba, Bayo, Biu, Chibok, Damboa, Gwoza, Hawul, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Askira/Uba and Hawul.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bama, Kala/Balge, and Ngala.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bayo, Biu, Kwaya Kusar, and Shani.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Chibok, Damboa, and Gwoza.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dikwa, Konduga, and Mafa.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gubio, Kaga, and Magumeri.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Jere.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Abadam, Guzamala, Kukawa, and Mobbar.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Maiduguri.
  17. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Monguno.

References

  1. ↑ Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
  2. 1 2 Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  3. ↑ Suleiman, Qosim. "It's Official: INEC postpones Saturday's governorship, state assembly elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 Adesina, Michael. "Zulum wins Borno APC governorship primary, rejects VP slot". P.M. News. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 "Jajari wins Borno PDP guber Primaries". Premium Times. News Agency of Nigeria. Retrieved 26 May 2022.
  6. ↑ Maina, Maina (29 May 2019). "Inauguration: What Zulum said during his swearing in as Borno governor". Daily Post. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  7. ↑ "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, DECEMBER 2019: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. 2 January 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022. We equally applaud his continuous visits to the Southern part of the state, which is the most hit by the terrorist activities of the Islamist group, especially his spending Christmas in Lassa, Sabon Gari Lassa, Chul, Mangum Wamdio, Rumirgo and Askira town all in Askira-Uba Local Government Area, areas with high Christian population...The restoration of power to Bama by the state government and the reconstruction of schools destroyed by the terrorists also caught our attention
  8. ↑ "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, MARCH, 2020: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. 6 April 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022. Though Borno State remains one of the states in the country yet to record any case of the COVID-19 disease, it has made ready an isolation and treatment centre in Maiduguri with standard facilities ahead of any emergencies.
  9. ↑ "Top 5, Bottom 5: RipplesNigeria ranking of Nigerian governors for August, 2020". Ripples Nigeria. 7 September 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022. We acknowledge the government's concerted efforts to return life to many of the insurgency-ravaged local government areas and towns, especially in its commitment to rebuilding destroyed infrastructures and provision of much needed palliatives for returnee Internally Displaced persons (IDPs).
  10. ↑ "UNICEF praises Gov. Zulum for signing Child Protection Law". Peoples Gazette. News Agency of Nigeria. 12 January 2022. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  11. ↑ "NIGERIAN GOVERNORS: Fumbling, wobbling dominate June 2020 performance". Ripples Nigeria. 13 July 2020. Retrieved 15 March 2022. Zulum of Borno receives a mention among the fumbling and wobbling team in the month of June for ordering the reopening of three secondary schools in Bama, one of the most insecure regions in the state.
  12. ↑ Yusuff, Sodiq (13 December 2020). "THE INSIDER: How Zulum was trapped in 'Catch-22 situation' over praise for Buhari". TheCable. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  13. ↑ Abolade, Lukman (31 October 2021). "Is Borno safe enough for closure of IDP camps? Zulum thinks so". International Centre for Investigative Reporting. Retrieved 15 March 2022.
  14. ↑ James, Dominic. "Primaries: INEC Grants Parties Six Extra Days, Timetable Remains Unchanged". INEC News. Retrieved 28 May 2022.
  15. ↑ Odunsi, Wale. "2023: APC extends sale of forms, fixes dates to elect delegates". Daily Post. Retrieved 7 May 2022.
  16. ↑ Nseyen, Nsikak. "2023: APC fixes new date for governorship primaries, others". Daily Post. Retrieved 11 May 2022.
  17. ↑ Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  18. ↑ Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  19. ↑ APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (11 May 2022). "NEW DATES" (Tweet). Retrieved 12 May 2022 – via Twitter.
  20. ↑ APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (18 May 2022). "ADJUSTED TIMETABLE" (Tweet). Retrieved 21 May 2022 – via Twitter.
  21. ↑ "2023: Zulum accepts call to contest for 2nd term". Daily Nigerian. 4 May 2022. Retrieved 6 May 2022.
  22. ↑ Marama, Ndahi. "Borno APC Chieftain, Durkwa says 2023 general election is still far to express ambition". Vanguard. Retrieved 23 November 2021.
  23. ↑ Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  24. ↑ Official PDP Nigeria [@OfficialPDPNig] (5 May 2022). "2023 General Elections: @OfficialPDPNig updated Time Table and Schedule of Activities for the 2023 general elections. See below" (Tweet). Retrieved 1 May 2022 – via Twitter.
  25. ↑ Ukaibe, Chibuzo. "2023: PDP Fixes New Date For Gov'ship Primaries". Leadership. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  26. 1 2 Martins, Baba (21 April 2022). "Borno Gov'ship: 2 Pick PDP Forms To Battle Zulum". Daily Trust. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  27. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 "FINAL LIST OF CANDIDATES FOR STATE ELECTIONS - Governorship & Houses of Assembly" (PDF). Independent National Electoral Commission. Retrieved 6 October 2022.
  28. ↑ Omolaoye, Sodiq; Musa, Njadvara (26 August 2022). "NNPP kicks as police seal Borno office ahead inauguration by Kwankwaso". The Guardian. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
  29. ↑ Okoye, Francis (26 August 2022). "Zulum Directs Borno Agency To Unseal NNPP Office". Leadership. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
  30. ↑ Okoye, Francis (12 September 2022). "Opposition's Tough Task Of Upstaging APC In Borno". Leadership. Retrieved 12 October 2022.
  31. ↑ Aruna, Yemi. "Borno2023: Zulum faces resurgent PDP in governorship race". Premium Times. Retrieved 17 March 2023.
  32. 1 2 "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: Diminished interest in state elections will make for poor outcomes". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 16 March 2023.
  33. ↑ "Who governs in Northern Nigeria? Factors that'll shape the races". Vanguard. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  34. ↑ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Gubernatorial Elections: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 17 March 2023.
  35. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  36. ↑ "Schedule of Activities for 2023 General Election". ThisDay. Retrieved 12 June 2022.
  37. ↑ James, Dominic. "Primaries: INEC Grants Parties Six Extra Days, Timetable Remains Unchanged". INEC News. Retrieved 28 May 2022.
  38. ↑ Suleiman, Qosim. "It's Official: INEC postpones Saturday's governorship, state assembly elections". Premium Times. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
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