2023 Nigerian presidential election in Zamfara State
25 February 2023
Registered1,926,870
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Zamfara State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Zamfara State is highly populated northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis. In the years before the election, the state was beset by the bandit conflict along with herder–farmer clashes and the nationwide kidnapping epidemic as bandits raid entire towns, kidnap school children, and attack motorists.

Politically, the 2019 elections were initially a continuation of the state APC's dominance as the party's presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari won the state by over 50% and the party won all three senate seats while also sweeping the House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the APC also retained its House of Assembly majority and its gubernatorial nominee—Mukhtar Shehu Idris—won the gubernatorial election by a wide margin. However, right before inaugurations, the Supreme Court ruled that the Zamfara APC did not hold valid primaries and thus all of its candidates—other than Buhari, who was nominated nationally—were disqualified.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
Nextier
(Zamfara crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 55.1% 1.4% 4.3% 39.1% – – – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Zamfara crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 37% 25% 5% 28% – 5% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Lean Tinubu 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 43.30% 11 February 2023
Obi: 7.51%
Abubakar: 43.30%
Others: 5.69%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Tinubu 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 35% 27 December 2022
Obi: –
Kwankwaso: 20%
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Zamfara State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Zamfara Central
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Zamfara North
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Zamfara West
Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Anka/Talata/Mafara
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bakura/Maradun
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bungudu/Maru
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Gunmi/Bukkuyum
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Gusau/Tsafe
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kaura Namoda/Birnin Magaji
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Shinkafi/Zurmi
Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total
Valid Votes		 Turnout
Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Anka TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bakura TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Birnin Magaji/Kiyaw TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bukkuyum TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bungudu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gummi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gusau TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kaura Namoda TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Maradun TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Maru TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shinkafi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Talata Mafara TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tsafe TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Zurmi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bungudu, Gusau, Maru, and Tsafe.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Magaji/Kiyaw, Kaura Namoda, Shinkafi, Talata Mafara, and Zurmi.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Anka, Bakura, Bukkuyum, Gummi, and Maradun.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Anka and Talata Mafara.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bakura and Maradun.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bungudu and Maru.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gummi and Bukkuyum.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gusau and Tsafe.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Magaji/Kiyaw and Kaura Namoda.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Shinkafi and Zurmi.

References

  1. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ↑ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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