2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State
25 February 2023
Registered2,172,056
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Sokoto State is a large northwestern state with agricultural and energy potential but facing a debilitated health sector, low education rates, and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, bandit conflict, religious riots, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state.

Politically, the 2019 elections were categorized as a swing back towards the PDP. Although Buhari won the state again (by 15%), Sokoto was the state that swung the most towards the PDP in the presidential election; legislatively, the PDP held its one Senate seat after a court ruling and won four House of Representatives seats after the APC won all legislative seats in 2015. Statewise, incumbent Governor Aminu Tambuwal won re-election by about 300 votes while the APC won a narrow majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 32% 4% 2% 30% – 23% 5% 3%
Nextier
(Sokoto crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 18.2% 5.2% 9.1% 18.2% – 6.5% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Sokoto crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 16% 38% 5% 23% 6% 11% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Likely Abubakar 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 28.49% 11 February 2023
Obi: 8.32%
Abubakar: 56.89%
Others: 6.31%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Abubakar 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Abubakar 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 35% 27 December 2022
Obi: –
Kwankwaso: 15%
Abubakar: 40%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Sokoto State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Sokoto East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Sokoto North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Sokoto South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Binji/Silame Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Dange-Shuni/Bodinga/Tureta Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Goronyo/Gada Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Illela/Gwadabawa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Isa/Sabon Birni Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kebbe/Tambuwal Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kware/Wamakko Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Sokoto North/Sokoto South Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Tangaza/Gudu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Wurno/Rabah Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Yabo/Shagari Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 20] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Binji TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bodinga TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dange Shuni TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gada TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Goronyo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gudu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Gwadabawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Illela TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Isa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kebbe TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kware TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Rabah TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sabon Birni TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Shagari TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Silame TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sokoto North TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sokoto South TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tambuwal TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tangaza TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tureta TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Wamako TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Wurno TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yabo TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gada, Goronyo, Gwadabawa, Illela, Isa, Rabah, Sabon Birni, and Wurno.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Binji, Gudu, Kware, Silame, Sokoto North, Sokoto South, Tangaza, and Wamako.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, Kebbe, Shagari, Tambuwal, Tureta, and Yabo.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Binji and Silame.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bodinga, Dange Shuni, and Tureta.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gada and Goronyo.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gwadabawa and Illela.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Isa and Sabon Birni.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Kebbe and Tambuwal.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Kware and Wamako.
  17. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Sokoto North and Sokoto South.
  18. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Gudu and Tangaza.
  19. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Rabah and Wurno.
  20. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Shagari and Yabo.

References

  1. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ↑ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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