2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kogi State
25 February 2023
Registered1,932,654
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kogi State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Kogi State is a diverse state in the North Central with a large number of mineral resources but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, deforestation, and low vaccination rates. Politically, the state's early 2019 elections were described by a swing towards the APC as the party was mainly successful, unseating almost all PDP senators and house members to sweep most House of Representatives and two senate seats as the state was won by APC presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari with over 54%. The House of Assembly election also was a win for the APC as the party won every seat in the assembly. The November election ended similarly with incumbent Bello winning election to a second term of governor and the APC gained a senate seat in a rerun election; however, both elections were riddled with irregularities and electoral violence.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 14% 17% 2% 31% – 15% 17% 4%
Nextier
(Kogi crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 41.1% 25.7% – 25.7% 1.4% 5.7% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Kogi crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 13% 61% 9% 13% 1% 4% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Tossup 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 37.73% 11 February 2023
Obi: 21.55%
Abubakar: 22.54%
Others: 18.18%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 35% 27 December 2022
Obi: 15%
Kwankwaso: 5%
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kogi State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Kogi Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kogi East Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kogi West Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Adavi/Okehi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ajaokuta Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ankpa/Omala/Olamaboro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bassa/Dekina Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ibaji/Idah/Igalamela/Odolu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Kabba/Bunu/Ijumu Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Lokoja Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Okene/Ogori-Magogo Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Yagba East/Yagba West/Mopamuro Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Adavi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ajaokuta TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ankpa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bassa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dekina TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ibaji TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Idah TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Igalamela-Odolu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ijumu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kabba/Bunu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kogi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Lokoja TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mopa-Muro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ofu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Okehi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Okene TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Olamaboro TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Omala TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yagba East TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Yagba West TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Adavi, Ajaokuta, Okehi, Okene, and Ogori/Magongo.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ankpa, Bassa, Dekina, Ibaji, Idah, Igalamela-Odolu, Ofu, Olamaboro, and Omala.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ijumu, Kabba/Bunu, Kogi, Lokoja, Mopa Muro, Yagba East, Yagba West.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Adavi and Okehi.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Ajaokuta.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ankpa, Olamaboro, and Omala.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bassa and Dekina.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ibaji, Idah, and Igalamela-Odolu.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ijumu and Kabba/Bunu.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Lokoja.
  17. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ogori/Magongo and Okene.
  18. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Mopa-Muro, Yagba East, and Yagba West.

References

  1. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ↑ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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