2024 European Parliament election in France
France
9 June 2024
All 81 French seats in the European Parliament
PartyLeader Current seats
REN–MoDem 24
RN Jordan Bardella 18
EELV Marie Toussaint 13
LR François-Xavier Bellamy 8
LFI 6
PS 6
REC Marion Maréchal 4
Independent 1

The 2024 European Parliament elections in France will be held as part of the 2024 European Parliament election.[1]

Background

The Borne government lost its majority in the 2022 French legislative election.[2]

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted

Parties or lists are ordered according to their share of the vote in 2019.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 LO–
NPA
Left		 NUPES PRG
S&D		 PS
diss.		 EAC
G/EFA		 PA
Left		 RE–
MoDem–
Horizons
Renew		 AR
NI		 NE
EPP		 LR
EPP		 DLF
ECR		 UPR
NI		 RN
ID		 REC
NI–ECR		 Others Lead
PCF
Left		 LFI
Left		 PS–PP
S&D		 EELV
G/EFA		 GE
NI
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan 2023 1,217 1 3 7 11 8 – 1 – 2 1 19 1 – 8 2.5 – 28 6 1.5 9
Cluster17 13–14 Jan 2024 1,209 1 3 7.5 11 8 – 0.5 – 1.5 1 18 1 – 7 3 – 28.5 7 2 10.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan 2024 1,400 1.5 3 7.5 9.5 8.5 – 0.5 – 1.5 1 18 1 – 8.5 2.5 0.5 28.5 5 3 10.5
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2023 1,004 2.5 3 6.5 9 6 – 0.5 – – – 21 0.5 – 9 2 – 31 6 3 10
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec 2023 – 1 3 6 10 8 – 2[lower-alpha 1] <1 1 19 <1 <1 9 3 – 27 8 3 8
Ipsos 29 Nov – 12 Dec 2023 11,691 1.5 3 7.5 10.5 9.5 – 0.5 – – – 20 0.5 – 8 2.5 – 28 6.5 2 8
Ifop 8–11 Dec 2023 1,062 1.5 4.5 7 10 8 – – – 1.5 – 18 1 – 7.5 2.5 – 30 7.5 1 12
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov 2023 – 2 3 7 9 8 – 3[lower-alpha 1] <1 1 19 <1 – 8 2 – 28 7 3 9
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2023 1,412 2 2 8.5 10 10 – – – – – 22[lower-alpha 2] – – 6 2 – 29 6 2.5 7
2 2 8.5 10.5 10.5 – – – – – 20[lower-alpha 3] – – 6.5 2 – 29 6 3 9
Ifop 12–13 Oct 2023 1,515 1 5 9 9 8 – – – 2 – 20[lower-alpha 3] – – 8 2 – 28 6 2 8
1 5 9 9 9 – – – 1.5 – 20[lower-alpha 4] – – 8.5 2.5 – 28 5 1 8
Ifop 30–31 Aug 2023 1,126 1 5 10 9 8 – – – 2 – 21 – – 8 3 – 25 6.5 1.5 4
2 6 11[lower-alpha 5] 10 – – – 2 – 23 – – 9 3 – 25 7 2 2
1 5 9[lower-alpha 6] 10 8 – – – 1.5 – 21 – – 9 3 – 25 6.5 1 4
Cluster17 16–19 Aug 2023 1,713 1.5 3 22.5 – 2.5 – 5 2.5 20.5 – – 7 3 – 23 7 2.5 0.5
1.5 20.5 7.5 – 2.5 – 3 2.5 20 – – 7 3 – 23.5 7 2 3
1.5 25[lower-alpha 7] – 2.5 – 4 2.5 20 – – 7.5 4 – 24 7 2 1
1 25[lower-alpha 8] – 3 – 4 3 20 – – 7.5 3.5 – 24 7 1.5 1
2 23[lower-alpha 9] – 3 – 4.5 3 21 – – 7.5 3 – 24 7 2 1
2 25[lower-alpha 10] – 2.5 – 4.5 2.5 20 – – 7 4 – 24 7 1.5 1
Ifop 4–5 Jul 2023 1,008 1 4 8 9 9 – – – – – 20 – – 11 4 – 26 7 1 6
Ipsos 16–26 Jun 2023 10,631 1.5 4 8.5 10 10 – – – – – 21 – – 9 2.5 – 24 6.5 3 3
2 24 – – – – – 24 – – 10 3 – 25 7 5 1
1.5 5 9.5 15 – – – – – 23 – – 9 2.5 – 25 6.5 3 2
Elabe 19–21 Jun 2023 1,397 1.5 2 8.5 9.5 11 – – – – – 22.5 – – 8.5 2.5 – 26 5.5 2.5 3.5
1.5 24.5 – – – – – 26 – – 9 2.5 – 27 5.5 4 1
Cluster17 17–19 May 2023 1,760 2 4 11 9 11 – – – – – 19.5 – – 7.5 3 – 24 6.5 3.5 4.5
2 27 – – – – – 23 – – 8.5 4 – 25.5 7 3 1.5
Ifop 10–11 May 2023 1,310 1 5 10 10 10 – – – – – 19 – – 8 3 – 25 6 3 6
2 26[lower-alpha 11] – – – – – 22 – – 11 3 – 26 6 4 Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May 2023 1,262 2 23[lower-alpha 12] – – – – 3 26 – – 13 2 – 21 5 5 3
1 19[lower-alpha 12] 5 – 6 – 3 24 – – 12 2 – 20 5 3 4
1 3 9 10 11 – – – – 1 23 – – 12 2 – 20 5 3 3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 0.8 2.5 6.3 6.2 13.5 1.8[lower-alpha 13] [lower-alpha 14] – [lower-alpha 15] 2.2 22.4 – – 8.5 3.5 1.2 23.3 – 7.8 0.9
  1. 1 2 PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
  2. ↑ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
  3. 1 2 RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
  4. ↑ RE list led by Thierry Breton
  5. ↑ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
  6. ↑ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
  7. ↑ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
  8. ↑ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
  9. ↑ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
  10. ↑ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
  11. ↑ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
  12. 1 2 NUPES list led by EELV
  13. ↑ with MEI and MdP
  14. ↑ with PS
  15. ↑ with EELV

Projection of seats in the European Parliament

Polling firm Date NUPES RE–
MoDem–
Horizons
Renew		 LR
EPP		 RN
ID		 REC
NI–ECR		 Lead
PCF
Left		 LFI
Left		 PS–PP
S&D		 EELV
G/EFA
Odoxa 14 Dec 2023 – 6 8 5 20 8 29 5 9
2019 European election 26 May 2019 – 6 6 13 23 8 23 – Tie

References

  1. ↑ "European elections 2024". European Parliament Multimedia Centre. Retrieved 2023-10-15.
  2. ↑ "French elections: Macron loses majority as French vote fragments". BBC News. 2022-06-19. Retrieved 2023-10-15.
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