2022 Texas gubernatorial election
November 8, 2022
Turnout45.85% Decrease
 
Nominee Greg Abbott Beto O'Rourke
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,437,099 3,553,656
Percentage 54.8% 43.9%
Abbott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
O'Rourke:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
Governor before election

Greg Abbott
Republican

 Elected Governor

Greg Abbott
Republican

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee and former Congressman, Beto O'Rourke.[1] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Republicans. In his previous gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.[2]

The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on March 1, 2022. O'Rourke and Abbott won outright majorities in their respective primaries, and therefore did not participate in the May 24 runoffs.

Texas has not elected a Democratic candidate for governor since Ann Richards in 1990. Additionally, Abbott had a strong approval rating on election day, with 55% of voters approving to 45% disapproving.[3] Beto O'Rourke, who gained national attention in 2018 for his unusually close and competitive campaign against Senator Ted Cruz, was widely viewed as a rising star in the Texas Democratic Party and potential challenger for Abbott, but a failed run for President of the United States in 2020 prompted criticisms of opportunism, via Republican attempts to brand him as anti-law enforcement and his former comments on guns.

Abbott won re-election by 10.9%, which is a slightly smaller margin of victory than his 13.3% margin in 2018 in spite of a much more Republican national climate in 2022, making this the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006, and the closest election of Abbott's entire political career since his first race for the Texas Supreme Court in 1998. Beto O'Rourke, meanwhile, performed 8.3% worse than his 2018 Senate run, but he still won the highest share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards received 45.9% in her unsuccessful reelection bid against George W. Bush in 1994. Abbott's raw vote total was less than his 4.65 million in 2018, while O'Rourke set a record of most raw votes for a Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate at around 3.55 million, but it was also less than his 4.04 million vote total in the 2018 Senate race.

Abbott carried 235 out of 254 counties in his re-election victory, flipping the heavily Hispanic counties of Culberson and Zapata and becoming the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the latter in the state's history (though Zapata had earlier voted Republican in the 2020 presidential election), while O'Rourke became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win the county of Fort Bend since 1974. O'Rourke outperformed Joe Biden two years prior among Latino voters, though his performance with them was still worse than past nominees.

Republican primary

On June 4, 2021, Texas Republican Party chairman Allen West announced his resignation as party chair.[4] West criticized Gov. Greg Abbott's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas.[5] The history of conflict between West and Abbott included a lawsuit by West and other Republicans challenging Abbott's extension of the early voting period in 2020, as well as a protest outside the Governor's Mansion over pandemic-related shutdowns as well as mask mandates.[6] On July 4, 2021, West announced that he would challenge Abbott in the 2022 gubernatorial primary.[7] Both West and fellow gubernatorial candidate Don Huffines were considered more conservative than Abbott.[8][9] On March 1, 2022, Abbott won the Republican primary by a smaller margin than in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Martin Holsome, former Rusk city councillor[20]
  • Kurt Schwab, military veteran[18]

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Abbott
U.S. Executive Branch official
U.S. Senator
State official
Organizations
Don Huffines
U.S. Senator
U.S. representatives
Texas state representatives
Local official
  • Don McLaughlin, mayor of Uvalde (2014–present)[44]
Individuals
Allen West
Texas state representative
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott		 Don
Huffines		 Ricky Lynn
Perry		 Chad
Prather		 Allen
West		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 25–28, 2022 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 62% 10% 2% 2% 15% 5%[lower-alpha 2] 3%
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 522 (LV) ± 4.2% 61% 9% 3% 3% 12% 3%[lower-alpha 3] 9%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 581 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 3% 6% 3% 7% 5%[lower-alpha 4] 15%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 375 (LV) ± 5.1% 60% 14% 5% 3% 15% 3%[lower-alpha 5] –
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 31, 2022 1,542 (LV) ± 2.5% 34% 5% 6% 6% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 6] 4%
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 514 (LV) ± 5.1% 59% 4% 4% 2% 6% 4%[lower-alpha 7] 20%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 490 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 7% 3% 2% 11% 2%[lower-alpha 8] 17%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 9, 2022 1,486 (LV) ± 2.5% 33% 5% 12% 3% 38% 3%[lower-alpha 9] 7%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] December 16, 2021 447 (LV) ± 4.5% 33% 2% 15% 1% 35% – 14%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 30, 2021 – (LV) – 42% 3% – 2% 36% – 17%
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 520 (LV) ± 4.7% 65% 3% – 6% 6% 3% 18%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 11, 2021 – (LV) – 43% 3% – 2% 33% – 19%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 554 (RV) ± 4.2% 56% 7% – 4% 13% 4% 16%
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 4% – 3% 13% – 19%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 427 (LV) ± 6.1% 70% 15% – – – 15% –
431 (LV) ± 6.0% 65% – – – 20% 15% –
Victory Insights (R) July 22–24, 2021 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 80% – – – 20% – –
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] June 30, 2021 – (LV) – 73% – – – 17% – 10%
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 440 (LV) ± 5.4% 77% 12% – – – 11% –
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott		 Don
Huffines		 Sid
Miller		 Allen
West		 Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] June 14–17, 2021 446 (LV) ± 4.6% 69% 3% 3% 13% –

Results

Results by county:
  Abbott
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 1,299,059 66.48%
Republican Allen West 239,557 12.26%
Republican Don Huffines 234,138 11.98%
Republican Chad Prather 74,173 3.80%
Republican Ricky Lynn Perry 61,424 3.14%
Republican Kandy Kaye Horn 23,605 1.21%
Republican Paul Belew 11,387 0.58%
Republican Danny Harrison 10,829 0.55%
Total votes 1,954,172 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Jack Daniel Foster Jr., teacher[14]
  • R. Star Locke, veteran[14]

Declined

Endorsements

Beto O'Rourke
U.S. Senator
U.S. representative
Local official
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Inocencio
Barrientez		 Michael
Cooper		 Joy
Diaz		 Jack
Foster Jr.		 Deirdre
Gilbert		 Star
Locke		 Beto
O'Rourke		 Rich
Wakeland		 Other Undecided
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 388 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 5% 4% – – – 78% 2% – 11%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 479 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 68% 2% – 14%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 348 (LV) ± 5.3% 2% 1% 2% – – – 93% 1% 1% –
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 459 (LV) ± 5.4% 1% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 58% 0% – 27%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.3% 3% 4% 3% – – – 73% 1% – 16%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 436 (RV) ± 4.7% – – – – – – 70% – 5% 25%

Results

Results by county:
O'Rourke:
  •   O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80–90%
  •   O'Rourke—70–80%
  •   O'Rourke—60–70%
  •   O'Rourke—50–60%
  •   O'Rourke—40–50%
Wakeland:
  •   Wakeland—40–50%
Barrientez:
  •   Barrientez—50–60%
No vote:
  •   No vote
Democratic primary results[49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 983,182 91.41%
Democratic Joy Diaz 33,622 3.13%
Democratic Michael Cooper 32,673 3.04%
Democratic Rich Wakeland 13,237 1.23%
Democratic Inocencio Barrientez 12,887 1.20%
Total votes 1,075,601 100%

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Delilah Barrios, environmental activist[80]

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Declared

  • Mark Jay Tippetts, attorney, former Lago Vista city councilman, and nominee for governor in 2018[81]

Withdrew/disqualified

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

  • Deirdre Dickson-Gilbert, public educator (previously ran for Democratic nomination)[84][14][85]
  • Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla, retired educator and write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[86]

Disqualified

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[91] Likely R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[92] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[93] Likely R June 29, 2022
Politico[94] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[95] Lean R January 10, 2022
Fox News[96] Likely R May 12, 2022
538[97] Solid R September 21, 2022
Elections Daily[98] Likely R November 7, 2022

Debates

2022 Texas gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderators Link Republican Democratic
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Greg Abbott Beto O'Rourke
1 Sep. 30, 2022 KXAN-TV Sally Hernandez
Gromer Jeffers
Steve Spriester		 KXAN-TV P P

Endorsements

Greg Abbott (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Governors
State officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Beto O'Rourke (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
County officials
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other
[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics October 3–19, 2022 October 25, 2022 52.8% 43.5% 3.7% Abbott +9.3
FiveThirtyEight June 14, 2021 – October 25, 2022 October 25, 2022 51.4% 42.9% 5.7% Abbott +8.5
Average 52.1% 43.2% 4.7% Abbott +8.9
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Other Undecided
CWS Research (R)[upper-alpha 3] November 2–5, 2022 786 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 42% 2% 3%
UT Tyler October 17–24, 2022 1,330 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 44% 7%[lower-alpha 11] 1%
973 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 44% 5%[lower-alpha 12] 1%
Emerson College October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 1%[lower-alpha 13] 4%
53% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 14] –
Siena College October 16–19, 2022 649 (LV) ± 5.1% 52% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 15] 4%
Beacon Research (D)[upper-alpha 4] October 15–19, 2022 1,264 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 45% – –
BSP Research/UT[upper-alpha 5] October 11–18, 2022 1,400 (RV) ± 2.6% 46% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 16] 9%
YouGov/UT October 7–17, 2022 833 (LV) ± 3.3% 54% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 17] 2%
Civiqs October 8–11, 2022 791 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 18] 0%
Marist College October 3–6, 2022 1,058 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 1%[lower-alpha 19] 5%
898 (LV) ± 4.8% 52% 44% 1%[lower-alpha 20] 4%
Quinnipiac University September 22–26, 2022 1,327 (LV) ± 2.7% 53% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 21] –
Emerson College September 20–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 4%[lower-alpha 22] 5%
ActiVote June 23 – September 21, 2022 323 (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 40% 12%[lower-alpha 23] –
Siena College September 14–18, 2022 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 24] 5%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation September 6–15, 2022 1,172 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 44% 2%[lower-alpha 25] 3%
UT Tyler September 7–13, 2022 1,268 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 38% 9%[lower-alpha 26] 2%
Data for Progress (D) September 2–9, 2022 712 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 27] 3%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% – 6%
YouGov/UT August 26 – September 6, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 40% 4%[lower-alpha 28] 11%
YouGov/UH/TSU August 11–29, 2022 1,312 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 42% 2%[lower-alpha 29] 7%
UT Tyler August 1–7, 2022 1,384 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 13%[lower-alpha 30] 1%
1,215 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 42% 9%[lower-alpha 31] 1%
YouGov/UH June 27 – July 7, 2022 1,169 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 42% 2%[lower-alpha 32] 9%
1,006 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 2%[lower-alpha 32] 5%
YouGov/CBS News June 22–27, 2022 548 (LV) ± 6.6% 49% 41% 4% 6%
YouGov/UT June 16–24, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 39% 6%[lower-alpha 33] 10%
YouGov/PerryUndem June 15–24, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 43% 3% 5%
Quinnipiac University June 9–13, 2022 1,257 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 43% 2% 5%
Blueprint Polling (D) June 8–10, 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 37% – 7%
UT Tyler May 2–10, 2022 1,232 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 14%[lower-alpha 34] 2%
YouGov/UT April 14–22, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 37% 7% 9%
YouGov/TXHPF March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 35] 5%
Texas Lyceum March 11–20, 2022 926 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 40% 7% 11%
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% – 3%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 1,188 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 16% 1%
Climate Nexus February 1–9, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 40% 7% 8%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 6% 11%
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 1,072 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 36% 16% 1%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 – (LV)[lower-alpha 36] –[lower-alpha 36] 48% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 37] 6%
Quinnipiac University December 2–6, 2021 1,224 (RV) ± 2.8% 52% 37% 4% 6%
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 39% 16% –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 39% 5% 7%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 44% 5% 6%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 37% 7% 10%
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 38] 12%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 37% 21% –
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% 22% –
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 6] June 14–17, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 42% – 6%
Hypothetical polling
Greg Abbott vs. Julián Castro
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Julián
Castro (D)		 Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 35% 4% 9%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 39% 4% 8%
Greg Abbott vs. Beto O'Rourke with Matthew McConaughey as an independent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Beto
O'Rourke (D)		 Matthew
McConaughey (I)		 Other Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 39% 13% – 6%
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 37% 26% 27% 10% –
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 37% 9% 2%[lower-alpha 39] 12%
Greg Abbott vs. Don Huffines
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Don
Huffines		 Other
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 22% 32%
Greg Abbott vs. Matthew McConaughey
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Matthew
McConaughey		 Other
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 43% 22%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 35% 44% 21%
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 38% 23%
UT Tyler April 6–13, 2021 1,124 (RV) ± 2.9% 33% 45% 22%
Greg Abbott vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 7] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 34% 20%
Greg Abbott vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
Quinnipiac University September 24–27, 2021 863 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 51% 7%
Quinnipiac University June 15–21, 2021 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Results

2022 Texas gubernatorial election[152]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 4,437,099 54.76% -1.05%
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 3,553,656 43.86% +1.35%
Libertarian Mark Tippetts 81,932 1.01% -0.68%
Green Delilah Barrios 28,584 0.35% N/A
Total votes 8,102,908 100.00% N/A
Turnout 8,102,908 45.85%
Registered electors 17,672,143
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Abbott won 25 of 38 congressional districts.[153]

District Abbott O'Rourke Representative
1st 77.3% 21.7% Louie Gohmert (117th Congress)
Nathaniel Moran (118th Congress)
2nd 62.2% 36.4% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 59.2% 39.5% Van Taylor (117th Congress)
Keith Self (118th Congress)
4th 65.7% 33.2% Pat Fallon
5th 63.4% 35.4% Lance Gooden
6th 65.5% 34.3% Jake Ellzey
7th 35.2% 63.3% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 66.6% 32.2% Kevin Brady (117th Congress)
Morgan Luttrell (118th Congress)
9th 23% 75.5% Al Green
10th 61.5% 37.1% Michael McCaul
11th 73.7% 25% August Pfluger
12th 59.9% 38.6% Kay Granger
13th 74.7% 24% Ronny Jackson
14th 66.5% 32.1% Randy Weber
15th 52.4% 46.4% Vicente Gonzalez (117th Congress)
Monica De La Cruz (118th Congress)
16th 34.7% 63.7% Veronica Escobar
17th 64.8% 33.9% Pete Sessions
18th 25.2% 73.3% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 76.6% 22.1% Jodey Arrington
20th 32.4% 66.2% Joaquín Castro
21st 60.8% 37.8% Chip Roy
22nd 59.5% 39.1% Troy Nehls
23rd 54.5% 44.1% Tony Gonzales
24th 57.6% 41% Beth Van Duyne
25th 67.9% 30.9% Roger Williams
26th 61.3% 37.4% Michael Burgess
27th 64% 34.7% Michael Cloud
28th 46.4% 51.7% Henry Cuellar
29th 29.9% 68.4% Sylvia Garcia
30th 22.1% 76.9% Eddie Bernice Johnson (117th Congress)
Jasmine Crockett (118th Congress)
31st 61.3% 37.2% John Carter
32nd 34.4% 64.2% Colin Allred
33rd 25.8% 73% Marc Veasey
34th 42.7% 55.9% Mayra Flores (117th Congress)
Vicente Gonzalez (118th Congress)
35th 25.7% 72.7% Lloyd Doggett (117th Congress)
Greg Casar (118th Congress)
36th 67.4% 31.2% Brian Babin
37th 21.4% 77.2% Lloyd Doggett
38th 60.6% 37.9% Wesley Hunt

Analysis

While Texas Democrats hoped for Beto O'Rourke to achieve an upset over the incumbent Greg Abbott, one did not materialize. Abbott won by about 10.9 points, a margin slightly larger than aggregate polling, but virtually in line with the last poll conducted. He won the vast majority of counties, mostly rural, and by significantly wide margins. 34 counties, in particular, gave Abbott over 90% of the vote, the most by any Texas Republican gubernatorial candidate, and the most for any candidate since Democrat Allan Shivers' 1954 re-election.

Abbott won the three largest metro areas in the state, which include Dallas–Fort Worth–Arlington, Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land, and San Antonio–New Braunfels. He also won all of the state's mid-sized metro areas outside of the Rio Grande Valley, which include Corpus Christi along the coastal bend; Waco, Killeen–Temple–Fort Hood, and Bryan–College Station in Central Texas; Beaumont–Port Arthur, Tyler and Longview in East Texas; Lubbock, Abilene, and Midland-Odessa in West Texas; and Amarillo in the Panhandle. Abbott also won an urban county, Tarrant, home to Fort Worth and did well in the suburban counties of the Texas Triangle, winning Brazoria, Galveston, and Montgomery counties around Houston; Comal and Guadalupe around San Antonio; Collin, Denton, Ellis, Kaufman, and Rockwall in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex; and Williamson in Greater Austin. In DFW and Austin specifically, Republican strength has declined some in these metros, with Abbott carrying Collin, Denton, Tarrant, and Williamson by 10.07%, 12.81%, 4.11%, and 0.62% respectively, down from his margins of 19.48%, 20.60%, 10.64%, and 10.71% from 2018. Excluding the largest metro areas, Abbott improved on his 2018 margins.

O'Rourke, despite his loss, did best in most of Texas's urban centers. He carried Travis, home to the state capital Austin (72.6% - 25.9%), his best performance in the state; El Paso, his home county, 63.4% - 35%; Dallas (62.8% - 35.9%); Bexar (57.5% - 41.1%); and Harris (54% - 44.5%). He also carried Hays, a rapidly growing county south of Austin which contains San Marcos and Texas State University along with fast-growing cities of Kyle, and Buda by 54.5% - 43.7%. Despite improving on 2018 nominee Lupe Valdez's margins in these counties, he did worse in all of them compared to his Senate campaign in 2018, and, excluding Travis and Hays, worse than Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race. The only county O'Rourke flipped was suburban Fort Bend outside Houston, which voted for Abbott by 0.2% in 2018, but voted for O'Rourke by 4.68% in this election.

Outside the Texas Triangle and Trans Pecos, the only other area O'Rourke won was the heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley along the U.S. border with Mexico, but his performance was worse than Valdez's and his own from 2018, which continued the trend of rural Hispanic voters away from the Democrats towards Republicans, but did slightly outperform Biden from 2020. Counties that voted for Biden by single digits like Duval (2.61%), Starr (5%), and Maverick (9.45%); voted for O'Rourke 11.02%, 17.85%, and 17.68% respectively. Despite this improvement from the 2020 presidential race, Abbott flipped two heavily Hispanic counties, Zapata and Culberson (in the Trans Pecos).

Exit polls according to NBC News showed Abbott winning male (58% - 41%) and female voters (51% - 48%), whites (66% - 33%), voters over 45 (60% - 39%), college graduates (52% - 47%) and non-college graduates (56% - 43%), and voters who denied the results of the 2020 presidential election (94% - 5%). O'Rourke won black voters (84% - 15%), Latinos (57% - 40%), Asians (52% - 48%), voters between 18 and 44 (54% - 44%), Independents (49%-47%) and moderates (60% - 38%).[154][155][156]

Fox News Voter Analysis exit polls showed Abbott winning male (59%-39%) and female voters (51%-48%); whites (68%-30%); voters over 45 (61%-37%); college graduates (54%-44%), non-college graduates (56%-43%) and other minorities (53%-42%); white men (70%-28%); white women (67%-32%). O'Rourke won African Americans (81%-18%), Latinos (56%-42%); African American men (76%-24%); African American women (85%-13%) and Latina women (61%-37%). O'Rourke also won Latino men (55%-45%). Fox News Voter Analysis

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 1%
  3. ↑ Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 0%
  4. ↑ Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  5. ↑ Someone else with 2%, Horn with 1%
  6. ↑ Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  7. ↑ Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  8. ↑ Harrison and Horn with 1%; Belew with 0%
  9. ↑ Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  12. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  13. ↑ Tippetts (L) with 1%; Barrios (G) with <1%
  14. ↑ Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  15. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  16. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  17. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%; Tippetts and Barrios with 1%
  18. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%
  19. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  21. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  22. ↑ Tippetts (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  23. ↑ Tippetts with 9%; Barrios with 3%
  24. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  25. ↑ Barrios and Tippetts with 1%
  26. ↑ "Someone else" with 6%; Barrios and Tippets with 3%
  27. ↑ "Another candidate" with 2%
  28. ↑ Tippetts with 2% and Barrios with 2%
  29. ↑ Tippetts with 1% and Barrios with 1%
  30. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%; Barrios and Tippetts with 3%
  31. ↑ "Someone else" with 4%; Tippetts with 3%; Barrios with 2%
  32. 1 2 Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 0%
  33. ↑ "Someone else" with 3%; Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 8%; Barrios and Tippetts with 3%
  35. ↑ Tippetts with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  36. 1 2 Subsample of likely general election voters from a survey of 1,400 registered voters (overall margin of error ± 2.2% including design effect)
  37. ↑ Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1%
  38. ↑ Behrman/Jewell with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  39. ↑ Behrman/Jewell and Barrios with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Poll conducted for West's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  3. ↑ Poll conducted for the Defend Texas Liberty PAC.
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for the Democratic Policy Institute, a non-profit organization advocating for progressive causes.
  5. ↑ Poll sponsored by Univision.
  6. ↑ Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  7. ↑ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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