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All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Iowa |
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The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
Overview
Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
Republican Party | 4 | 859,418 | 52.42% | 3 | 2 | 75.00% | |
Democratic Party | 4 | 762,271 | 46.5% | 1 | 2 | 25.00% | |
Libertarian Party | 1 | 15,361 | 0.94% | 0 | 0.00% | ||
Write-in | 2,413 | 0.15% | 0 | 0.00% | |||
Total | 9 | 1,639,463 | 100.0% | 4 | 100.00% |
By district
District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 212,088 | 51.25% | 201,347 | 48.65% | 434 | 0.10% | 413,869 | 100% | Republican gain |
District 2 | 196,964 | 49.912% | 196,958 | 49.910% | 703 | 0.178% | 394,625 | 100% | Republican gain |
District 3 | 212,997 | 47.55% | 219,205 | 48.94% | 15,745 | 3.51% | 447,947 | 100% | Democratic hold |
District 4 | 237,369 | 61.97% | 144,761 | 37.80% | 892 | 0.23% | 383,022 | 100% | Republican hold |
Total | 859,418 | 52.42% | 762,271 | 46.50% | 17,774 | 1.08% | 1,639,463 | 100% |
District 1
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County results Hinson: 50–60% 60–70% Finkenauer: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. representative[2]
Endorsements
- Former US Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[3]
- Federal officials
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013-present), 2020 candidate for President[4]
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | 72,474 | 99.3 | |
Write-in | 482 | 0.7 | ||
Total votes | 72,956 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ashley Hinson, state representative[13]
Defeated in primary
- Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman[14]
Declined
Endorsements
- State and local politicians
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ashley Hinson | 38,552 | 77.8 | |
Republican | Thomas Hansen | 10,845 | 21.9 | |
Write-in | 152 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 49,549 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Tossup | September 8, 2020 |
Daily Kos[23] | Lean D | October 15, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen[25] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist[26] | Likely D | October 2, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Abby Finkenauer (D) |
Ashley Hinson (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 352 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 52% | 44% | 4%[lower-alpha 2] |
352 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 54% | 44% | – | |||
352 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 56% | 42% | – | |||
Basswood Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] | September 26–28, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10%[lower-alpha 5] |
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 391 (RV) | ± 5% | 51% | 41% | 9%[lower-alpha 6] |
391 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 52% | 41% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | |||
391 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 40% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | |||
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | – |
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 3] | January 11–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44%[lower-alpha 8] | 40% | 15% |
40%[lower-alpha 9] | 48% | – |
- Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 10] | ± 7.1% | 36% | 51% | 9%[lower-alpha 11] | 5%[lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 13] | ± 7.8% | 47% | 41% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 14] | <= ± 7.7% | 48% | 42% | – | – |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) Archived March 20, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 3–5, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4% | 37% | 44% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 15] | – | 46% | 49% | – | – |
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 3] | January 11–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4% | 43%[lower-alpha 8] | 44% | – | – |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ashley Hinson | 212,088 | 51.2 | |
Democratic | Abby Finkenauer (incumbent) | 201,347 | 48.7 | |
Write-in | 434 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 413,869 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic | ||||
District 2
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County results Miller-Meeks: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Hart: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018.[1] On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election.[28]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Withdrawn
- Newman Abuissa, engineer[30]
Declined
- Ken Croken, member of the Scott County Board of Supervisors[31]
- Cathy Glasson, union leader, nurse, and candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2018[32]
- Kevin Kinney, state senator[33]
- Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. representative[28]
- Ian Russell, attorney[34]
- Veronica Tessler, businesswoman[35]
- Zach Wahls, state senator[36][37]
Endorsements
- Former US Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[3]
- Federal politicians
- Cindy Axne, U.S. representative (IA-3)[38]
- Abby Finkenauer, U.S. representative (IA-1)[38]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota[39]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. representative (IA-2)[40]
- Statewide politicians
- Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa, former Iowa Secretary of Agriculture and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
- Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor[41]
- State Senators
- Joe Bolkcom, state senator, District 43
- Chris Brase, former state senator, District 46
- Tom Courtney, former state senator, District 44
- Bob Dvorsky, former state senator, District 37
- Kevin Kinney, state senator, District 39
- Jim Lykam, state senator, District 45
- Rich Taylor, state senator, District 42
- Zach Wahls, state senator, District 37
- State representatives
- Wes Breckenridge, state representative, District 29
- Mary Gaskill, state representative, District 81
- David Jacoby, state representative, District 74
- Monica Kurth, state representative, District 89
- Mary Mascher, state representative, District 86
- Phil Miller, former state representative, District 82
- Amy Nielsen, state representative, District 77
- Sally Stutsman, former state representative, District 77
- Phyllis Thede, state representative, District 93
- Mary Wolfe, state representative, District 98
- Frank Wood, former state representative, District 92, and former State Senator, District 42
- Local politicians
- Ken Croken, Scott County Supervisor[42]
- Cindy Drost, former Mahaska County Recorder
- Bill Gluba, former mayor of Davenport
- Thom Hart, former Mayor of Davenport
- Nasseem Hesler, former mayor of Keosauqua
- Rick Larkin, Lee County Supervisor
- Rick Lincoln, Clinton County Sheriff
- Janet Lyness, Johnson County Attorney
- Megan Suhr, Knoxville City Councillor
- Eric Van Lancker, Clinton County Auditor
- Party officials
- Sue Dvorsky, former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party[43]
- Individuals
- Veronica Tessler, businesswoman[44]
- Organizations
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Rita Hart | 67,039 | 99.6 | |
Write-in | 271 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 67,310 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks, state senator; nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010, and 2014[52]
Defeated in primary
- Tim Borchardt, retail worker[53]
- Steven Everly, electrician[54]
- Rick Phillips, businessman[55]
- Bobby Schilling, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013)[56]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Chris Cournoyer, state senator[58]
- Bob Gallagher, mayor of Bettendorf[59]
- Bobby Kaufmann, state representative[60]
- Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK Construction and member of the National Women's Business Council[61]
- Mark Lofgren, state senator[62]
- Chris Peters, surgeon and nominee for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018[63]
- Brad Randolph, mayor of Fort Madison[58]
- Roby Smith, state senator[59]
Endorsements
- Statewide politicians
- Terry Branstad, former governor of Iowa[64]
- Mike Naig, Iowa Secretary of Agriculture[65]
- Kim Reynolds, Governor of Iowa[66]
- Organizations
- Federal politicians
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative[67]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 23,052 | 47.6 | |
Republican | Bobby Schilling | 17,582 | 36.3 | |
Republican | Steven Everly | 2,806 | 5.8 | |
Republican | Rick Phillips | 2,444 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Tim Borchardt | 2,370 | 4.9 | |
Write-in | 161 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 48,415 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Tossup | September 8, 2020 |
Daily Kos[23] | Lean D | September 25, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen[25] | Likely D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist[26] | Likely D | October 2, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Rita Hart (D) |
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 355 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 49% | 43% | 8%[lower-alpha 16] |
355 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 51% | 42% | – | |||
355 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 54% | 41% | – | |||
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 47% | 44% | 9%[lower-alpha 6] |
374 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 44% | 48% | 8%[lower-alpha 7] | |||
374 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 45% | 48% | 7%[lower-alpha 17] | |||
Harper Polling (R)[upper-alpha 4] | July 26–28, 2020 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 41% | 16% |
- with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.9% | 40% | 41% | 11%[lower-alpha 18] | 8%[lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 19] | ± 8.7% | 50% | 46% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 20] | <= ± 7.7% | 53% | 35% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 21] | – | 41% | 49% | – | – |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mariannette Miller-Meeks | 196,964 | 49.912 | ||
Democratic | Rita Hart | 196,958 | 49.910 | ||
Write-in | 703 | 0.178 | |||
Total votes | 394,625 | 100.0 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic |
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes.[68] On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act.[69] On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021 with the rest of the incoming new Congress members.[70] Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.[71] Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021.[72]
District 3
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County results Axne: 50–60% Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 76,681 | 99.2 | |
Write-in | 623 | 0.8 | ||
Total votes | 77,304 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Young, former U.S. representative[73]
Defeated in primary
- Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran[74]
Declined
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | David Young | 39,103 | 69.5 | |
Republican | Bill Schafer | 16,904 | 30.1 | |
Write-in | 227 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 56,234 | 100.0 |
Third parties
Candidates
- Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian)[78]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Lean D | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Politico[22] | Lean D | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[23] | Lean D | October 15, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Tossup | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen[25] | Lean D | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist[26] | Lean D | October 2, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Cindy Axne (D) |
David Young (R) |
Bryan Holder (L) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 426 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 43% | – | 2%[lower-alpha 22] |
426 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 53% | 42% | – | – | |||
426 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 55% | 41% | – | – | |||
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 507 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 42% | 2% | 8%[lower-alpha 16] |
507 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 50% | 42% | – | 8%[lower-alpha 23] | |||
507 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 52% | 41% | – | 7%[lower-alpha 24] | |||
The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | July 7–9, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 44% | 6% | 7%[lower-alpha 25] |
The Tarrance Group (R) Archived July 21, 2020, at the Wayback Machine[upper-alpha 2] | March 10–12, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 48% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 26] |
- with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.6% | 45% | 39% | 8%[lower-alpha 27] | 9%[lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 28] | ± 7.7% | 48% | 42% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 29] | <= ± 7.7% | 52% | 36% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 30] | – | 42% | 43% | – | – |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Cindy Axne (incumbent) | 219,205 | 48.9 | |
Republican | David Young | 212,997 | 47.6 | |
Libertarian | Bryan Jack Holder | 15,361 | 3.4 | |
Write-in | 384 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 447,947 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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County results Feenstra: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Scholten: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randy Feenstra, state senator[79]
Defeated in primary
- Steve King, incumbent U.S. representative[80]
- Steve Reeder, businessman[81]
- Bret Richards, U.S. Army veteran and former businessman[82]
- Jeremy Taylor, Woodbury County supervisor and former state representative[83]
Declined
- Rick Bertrand, state senator and candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2016[84]
- Cyndi Hanson, candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018[85]
- Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce[86]
- Rick Sanders, Story County supervisor[87]
- Linda Upmeyer, Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives[88]
Endorsements
- State senators
- Annette Sweeney, state senator, District 25[89]
- State representatives
- Dan Huseman, state representative, District 3[89]
- Megan Jones, state representative, District 2[89]
- Tim Kraayenbrink, state representative, District 5[90]
- Individuals
- Ben Shapiro, conservative commentator and host of The Daily Wire[91]
- Bob Vander Plaats, president and CEO of The Family Leader, candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2002, 2006 and 2010 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2006[92]
- Organizations
- National Right to Life[93]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[94]
- Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[95]
- U.S. Chamber of Commerce[96]
- Newspapers
- State representatives
- Ralph Klemme, former state representative (District 3)[98]
- Individuals
- Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014[99]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Steve King |
Randy Feenstra |
Steve Reeder |
Jeremy Taylor |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 5] | May 16–18, 2020 | 400 (V) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 41% | 1% | 4% | 3%[upper-alpha 6] | – |
41%[lower-alpha 31] | 48% | – | – | – | – | ||||
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 7] | May 7–8, 2020 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 39% | 36% | – | – | 9%[lower-alpha 32] | 10% |
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 7] | April 27–29, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 34% | – | – | 8%[lower-alpha 33] | 15% |
American Viewpoint[upper-alpha 7] | January 27–29, 2020 | – (V)[lower-alpha 10] | – | 53% | 22% | – | – | – | –[lower-alpha 10] |
G1 Survey Research | October 1–3, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 59% | 15% | 6% | 0% | 2%[lower-alpha 34] | 17% |
64%[lower-alpha 35] | 24% | – | – | – | 12%[lower-alpha 36] | ||||
64%[lower-alpha 35] | – | – | 19% | – | 17%[lower-alpha 37] |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | 37,329 | 45.5 | |
Republican | Steve King (incumbent) | 29,366 | 35.9 | |
Republican | Jeremy Taylor | 6,418 | 7.8 | |
Republican | Bret Richards | 6,140 | 7.5 | |
Republican | Steve Reeder | 2,528 | 3.1 | |
Write-in | 176 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 81,957 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- J. D. Scholten, former paralegal, former professional baseball player, and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018[100]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[50]
- Sierra Club[11]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 46,370 | 99.6 | |
Write-in | 166 | 0.4 | ||
Total votes | 46,536 | 100.0 |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Safe R | October 16, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
Politico[101] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[23] | Safe R | October 15, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Lean R | October 13, 2020 |
Niskanen[25] | Likely R | July 26, 2020 |
The Economist[26] | Likely R | October 2, 2020 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Randy Feenstra (R) |
J.D. Scholten (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Monmouth University | October 15–20, 2020 | 414 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 42% | 10%[lower-alpha 38] |
414 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 48% | 43% | – | |||
414 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 47% | 44% | – | |||
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 8] | October 13–15, 2020 | 603 (LV) | ± 4% | 50% | 45% | – |
American Viewpoint (R)[upper-alpha 7] | October 6–8, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 54% | 31% | 11%[lower-alpha 39] |
Monmouth University | July 25 – August 3, 2020 | 374 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 54% | 34% | 12%[lower-alpha 40] |
374 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | 55% | 34% | 10%[lower-alpha 41] | |||
374 (LV)[lower-alpha 4] | 56% | 33% | 10%[lower-alpha 41] |
- with Steve King and J.D. Scholten
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Steve King (R) |
J.D. Scholten (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight (D)[upper-alpha 9] | January 16–17, 2019 | 472 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 39% | 44% | 17% |
- with Steve King and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Steve King (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20/20 Insight (D)[upper-alpha 9] | January 16–17, 2019 | 472 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
- with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register | October 26–29, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 10] | ± 6.9% | 50% | 33% | 10%[lower-alpha 42] | 8%[lower-alpha 12] |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | September 14–17, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 43] | ± 7.5% | 49% | 44% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | June 7–10, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 44] | <= ± 7.7% | 57% | 35% | – | – |
Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register | March 2–5, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 45] | – | 51% | 40% | – | – |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Randy Feenstra | 237,369 | 62.0 | |
Democratic | J. D. Scholten | 144,761 | 37.8 | |
Write-in | 892 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 383,022 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
- ↑ Undecided with 10%
- 1 2 "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%
- 1 2 3 "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%
- 1 2 Standard VI response
- ↑ Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 Not yet released
- ↑ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- 1 2 3 4 Includes "Do not remember"
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- 1 2 "Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
- ↑ "Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
- ↑ "Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- ↑ "Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%
- ↑ "Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%
- ↑ "Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%
- ↑ Undecided with 7%
- ↑ Undecided with 5%
- ↑ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- ↑ If only King and Feenstra were candidates
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 9%
- ↑ "Another candidate" with 8%
- ↑ Bret Richards with 2%
- 1 2 If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed
- ↑ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%
- ↑ "Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%
- ↑ "Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%
- ↑ Undecided with 11%
- ↑ "Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%
- 1 2 "Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%
- ↑ "Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674
- ↑ Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667
- Partisan clients
- ↑ This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.
- 1 2 3 4 This poll was sponsored by the NRCC
- 1 2 The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC
- ↑ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
- ↑ American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra
- ↑ Richards with 3%
- 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign
- ↑ Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.
- 1 2 Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC
References
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- ↑ Bowman, Bridget (August 21, 2019). "House freshmen try to keep it local as presidential race steals the spotlight". Roll Call. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
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- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 14, 2019). "Rita Hart throws hat in race for U.S. Rep. Loebsack's seat". Iowa City Press Citizen. Retrieved July 26, 2019.
- ↑ Smith, Zachary Oren (March 2, 2020). "After quiet campaign, Abuissa suspends campaign for Loebsack's seat". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
- ↑ "Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart". Quad-City Times. June 7, 2019. Retrieved June 7, 2019.
- ↑ DiGiacomo, Julia (April 22, 2019). "Who's considering a 2020 run for Dave Loebsack's seat in Congress". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- ↑ Lynch, James Q. (May 1, 2019). "Kinney decides against open seat race for Iowa's 2nd District U.S. House seat". The Gazette. Retrieved May 5, 2019.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (May 23, 2019). "IA-02 primary: Hart gaining strength, Croken considering, Russell's out". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
- ↑ Watson, Sarah (May 3, 2019). "Iowa City business owner Veronica Tessler won't run for Congress". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
- ↑ @IAStartingLine (May 22, 2019). ". @RitaHartIA rolls out endorsements for her #IA02 campaign from nearly every notable Democratic leader in the 2nd District" (Tweet). Retrieved January 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (May 14, 2019). "Why Rita Hart is favored to win the IA-02 Democratic primary". Bleeding Heartland.
State Senator Zach Wahls has said he would not run for Congress if Hart does.
- 1 2 Belin, Laura (June 11, 2019). "IA-02: Abby Finkenauer, Cindy Axne endorse Rita Hart". Bleeding Heartland.
- ↑ Elena Schneider [@ec_schneider] (May 21, 2020). "Amy Klobuchar endorses her second round of House/Senate candidates through her Win Big Project:" (Tweet). Retrieved January 22, 2021 – via Twitter.
- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 29, 2019). "Rep. Dave Loebsack endorses Rita Hart to replace him 2nd District". Des Moines Register.
- ↑ Lynch, James Q. (June 3, 2019). "Iowa Auditor Rob Sand endorses Rita Hart for 2nd District race". The Gazette.
- ↑ "Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart". Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier. July 10, 2019.
- ↑ "Long List Of Prominent IA-02 Dems Endorse Rita Hart". Iowa Starting Line. May 22, 2019.
- ↑ Smith, Zachary Oren (July 10, 2019). "Former challenger Tessler endorses Rita Hart in 2nd Congressional race". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
- ↑ Mutnick, Ally (January 28, 2020). "DCCC adds 12 challengers to first round of 'Red to Blue' program". Politico.
Rita Hart (IA-02)
- ↑ Schriock, Stephanie (June 24, 2019). "EMILY's List Endorses Rita Hart in Iowa's 2nd District". emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
- ↑ Muller, Tiffany (September 19, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Rita Hart For IA-02". End Citizens United.
- ↑ "Giffords Endorses Slate of Women Running to Keep Gun Safety a Top Congressional Priority". giffords.org. Giffords. April 30, 2020. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ↑ Riley, John (June 9, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign makes congressional endorsements ahead of November's election". www.metroweekly.com. Metro Weekly. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- 1 2 Sittenfeld, Tiernan (February 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Rita Hart and J.D. Scholten for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- ↑ Hogue, Ilyse (November 14, 2019). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Rita Hart for Congress". NARAL Pro-Choice America.
- ↑ Smith, Zachary Oren (October 1, 2019). "Sen. Miller-Meeks enters race for Iowa's 2nd District". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
- ↑ Whitaker, Winona (April 8, 2020). "Borchardt runs for Congress as alternative to Miller-Meeks, Schilling". Clinton Herald.
- ↑ "Knoxville's Everly announces run for Congress". Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved January 8, 2020.
- ↑ "Rick Phillips announces run for Iowa's 2nd U.S. House District". The Chronicle. March 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 24, 2020. Retrieved March 24, 2020.
- ↑ Lukitsch, Bill (July 8, 2019). "Former U.S. Rep. Bobby Schilling announces run for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District". The Gazette. Retrieved July 8, 2019.
- ↑ Iowa Starting Line [@IAStartingLine] (June 22, 2019). "Republicans lose their only candidate in Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, an open Democratic seat that Trump carried in 2016 #IA02" (Tweet). Retrieved June 22, 2019 – via Twitter.
- 1 2 Pathé, Simone; Bowman, Bridget (April 12, 2019). "Iowa's Dave Loebsack will not run for re-election in 2020". Roll Call. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
- 1 2 Murphy, Erin; Lynch, James (April 12, 2019). "Loebsack's retirement leaves 2nd District race wide open". The Gazette. Retrieved April 12, 2019.
- ↑ Lynch, James Q. (May 20, 2019). "Rep. Bobby Kaufmann won't seek U.S. House 2nd District seat". The Gazette. Retrieved May 20, 2019.
- ↑ Barrón-López, Laura (May 31, 2019). "House recruiting notebook: NC-09 Republicans pick their candidate". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 31, 2019.
There's also talk of Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK construction, eyeing a run.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (April 13, 2019). "Why Dave Loebsack's retirement makes IA-02 a toss-up race". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved April 14, 2019.
- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (May 16, 2019). "Republican Christopher Peters will not take third shot at Iowa's 2nd District seat". Iowa City Press-Citizen. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
- ↑ Lynch, James Q (October 7, 2019). "Branstads back Miller-Meeks for Congress". Quad City Times.
- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (December 5, 2019). "Iowa Ag. Secretary endorses Miller-Meeks". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
- ↑ Oren Smith, Zachary (November 8, 2019). "Gov. Reynolds endorses Miller-Meeks in Iowa's 2nd District". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
- ↑ Montanaro, Domenico (June 2, 2020). "Tuesday's Primaries: Races To Watch And Live Results". NPR.
- ↑ "State Certifies Miller-Meeks As Winner In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, But A Legal Challenge May Follow". Iowa Public Radio. November 30, 2020. Retrieved December 15, 2020.
- ↑ Ferris, Sarah (December 2, 2020). "Iowa Democrat will challenge election results with House". Politico. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
- ↑ "Pelosi says Iowa Republican in contested race will be seated". AP NEWS. December 30, 2020. Retrieved December 31, 2020.
- ↑ Grayer, Annie (March 22, 2021). "House Democrats face backlash on both sides for investigating Iowa House race won by a Republican - CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
- ↑ Axelrod, Tal (March 31, 2021). "Democrat Rita Hart withdraws challenge in Iowa House race". The Hill. Retrieved March 31, 2021.
- ↑ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (May 6, 2019). "Former Congressman David Young will run to reclaim his seat in Iowa's 3rd District". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 6, 2019.
- ↑ Rodriguez, Barbara (May 13, 2019). "Republican Bill Schafer will seek Iowa's 3rd Congressional District seat". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 14, 2019.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (September 1, 2019). "Where things stand in Iowa's Senate, Congressional races". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 5, 2019.
- ↑ "State Sen. Zach Nunn won't run for Congress". WeAreIowa. July 16, 2019. Archived from the original on July 18, 2019. Retrieved July 18, 2019.
- ↑ Mutnick, Ally (January 31, 2019). "Brad Zaun Rules Out Axne Challenge". National Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Rodriguez, Barbara (August 15, 2019). "Libertarian congressional candidate Bryan Jack Holder says it's 'good to be at the adults' table'". The Des Moines Register.
- ↑ Hayworth, Bret (January 9, 2019). "Update: Steve King responds to challenge by fellow Republican Randy Feenstra". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Leys, Tony (February 21, 2019). "Steve King: 'I have nothing to apologize for,' plans to run for re-election". Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
- ↑ Hayworth, Bret (September 26, 2019). "Arnolds Park businessman becomes fourth Republican in race to oust Steve King". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved September 26, 2019.
- ↑ Obradovich, Kathie (January 10, 2019). "Steve King's second GOP challenger: 'I know I won't embarrass the state'". Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (January 24, 2019). "Iowa U.S. Rep. Steve King now has three Republican challengers for 2020". Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Weigel, David (January 15, 2019). "The Trailer: The message of Julián Castro's visit to Puerto Rico". The Washington Post. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Hayworth, Bret (January 24, 2019). "Jeremy Taylor of Sioux City enters GOP primary to unseat Iowa's Steve King". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved April 13, 2019.
- ↑ Mutnick, Ally (January 31, 2019). "GOP Efforts to Oust Steve King Gain Steam". National Journal. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ Belin, Laura (January 9, 2019). "IA-04: Randy Feenstra to challenge Steve King; Rick Sanders thinking about it". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- ↑ "Upmeyer stepping down as speaker of Iowa House". Radio Iowa. September 3, 2019. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
- 1 2 3 Belin, Laura (June 12, 2019). "IA-04: Randy Feenstra going all in on beating Steve King (updated)". Bleeding Heartland. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- ↑ Vander Hart, Shane (September 5, 2019). "Kraayenbrink Endorses Feenstra in Iowa's 4th Congressional District Race". Caffeinated Thoughts. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- ↑ Wise, Justin (January 10, 2019). "Ben Shapiro urges Congress to censure Steve King after he questions why term 'white supremacist' is offensive". The Hill. Nexstar Media Group. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- ↑ Opsahl, Robin (July 18, 2019). "Family Leader president endorses Steve King challenger in 4th District Republican primary". Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
- ↑ "National Right to Life Endorses Randy Feenstra". May 7, 2020.
- ↑ "Republican Jewish Coalition Endorses Rep. Steve King's Primary Opponent". May 8, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on May 14, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ↑ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (May 5, 2020). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses challenger Randy Feenstra over Rep. Steve King in primary race". Des Moines Register. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- ↑ board, Journal editorial (May 31, 2020). "OUR OPINION: Feenstra represents best choice for Republicans in 4th District U.S. House primary". Sioux City Journal.
- ↑ "Congressman Steve King receives campaign endorsement from former Rep. Klemme". KCAU. February 22, 2020. Retrieved May 10, 2020.
- ↑ "Sam Clovis Endorses Steve King | Caffeinated Thoughts". May 29, 2020.
- ↑ Judd, Donald (August 5, 2019). "Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King". CNN. Retrieved August 5, 2019.
- ↑ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. July 6, 2020.
External links
- "League of Women Voters of Iowa". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Iowa 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Rita Hart (D) for Congress Archived July 24, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) for Congress Archived November 7, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Cindy Axne (D) for Congress Archived May 1, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
- David Young (R) for Congress Archived June 3, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates