2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee
November 5, 2024
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Marsha Blackburn
Republican


The 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Tennessee. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Marsha Blackburn has filed to run for a second term and is actively campaigning. There has also been speculation that she could be a vice presidential pick for Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign.[1] Primary elections will take place on August 1, 2024.

Background

At the federal and state levels, Tennessee is considered to be a strongly red state, having gone to Donald Trump by 23 points in the 2020 Presidential Election. In Tennessee, Republicans occupy both Senate seats, 8 out of 9 U.S. House seats, supermajorities in both state legislative chambers, and the governor's office.

In 2018, Marsha Blackburn was elected by almost 11 points, defeating former Tennessee governor Phil Bredesen and outperforming the polls in what was considered to be a competitive race. A staunch conservative, Blackburn opposes abortion,[2] same-sex marriage,[3] and gun control.[4] Due to Tennessee's strong conservative bent, this race is currently considered a "Safe" Republican hold.

Republican primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Marsha Blackburn (R)
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Marsha Blackburn (R) $9,199,472 $3,277,685 $6,535,887
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gloria Johnson (D) $1,310,017 $94,236 $1,215,781
Source: Federal Election Commission[9]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Marquita
Bradshaw		 Gloria
Johnson		 Civil
Miller-Watkins		 Other Undecided
Targoz Market Research[lower-alpha 2] December 14–28, 2023 251 (LV) ± 2.66% 11% 41% 2% 1% 45%

Independent candidates

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Dr. Wisdom Zerit Teklay (Wisdom People Party)[16]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[18] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe R November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[20] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[21] Safe R November 21, 2023

Polling

Marsha Blackburn vs. Marquita Bradshaw
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Marsha
Blackburn (R)		 Marquita
Bradshaw (D)		 Undecided
Targoz Market Research[lower-alpha 2] October 5–16, 2023 824 (LV) ± 2.79% 48% 36% 17%
Marsha Blackburn vs. Gloria Johnson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Marsha
Blackburn (R)		 Gloria
Johnson (D)		 Undecided
Targoz Market Research[lower-alpha 2] October 5–16, 2023 850 (LV) ± 2.79% 49% 29% 23%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee

See also

References

  1. ↑ Steinhauser, Paul (March 18, 2022). "Blackburn's 2022 trips to New Hampshire, Iowa spark some 2024 speculation". Fox News. Retrieved August 19, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Marsha Blackburn on Abortion". www.ontheissues.org. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  3. ↑ Boucher, Dave. "Gay marriage: Tennessee reacts to landmark decision". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  4. ↑ Rupar, Aaron (November 8, 2018). "Marsha Blackburn is an NRA favorite. Her comments about the Thousand Oaks shooting show why". Vox. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  5. ↑ "FEC Filing" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Press Releases | Maggie's List". maggieslist.org. Retrieved June 25, 2023.
  8. ↑ "Endorsements". Turning Point Action. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  9. 1 2 "2024 Election United States Senate - Tennessee". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  10. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Former Nominee Marquita Bradshaw Running for Senate Again". Nashville Scene. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  11. ↑ Kamisar, Ben (September 5, 2023). "Tennessee Democrat reprimanded for gun violence protest is running for Senate". NBC News. Retrieved September 5, 2023.
  12. ↑ McCall, Holly (October 26, 2023). "Fayette County educator Civil Miller-Watkins enters Democratic primary for 2024 Tenn. U.S. Senate". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
  13. ↑ "FEC Filing" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 30, 2023.
  14. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (May 19, 2023). "Nashville attorney preparing Democratic campaign for U.S. Senate". Nashville Post. Retrieved May 19, 2023.
  15. ↑ Elliott, Stephen (July 14, 2023). "Nashville attorney ends U.S. Senate campaign effort". Nashville Post. Retrieved July 16, 2023.
  16. ↑ "FEC Filing". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved March 1, 2023.
  17. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  18. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  19. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  20. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  21. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.