2024 United States Senate election in Washington
November 5, 2024
Incumbent U.S. senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic


The 2024 United States Senate election in Washington will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Washington. Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell was first elected in 2000, defeating Republican incumbent Slade Gorton. In her most recent re-election campaign, Cantwell won with 58.3% of the vote in 2018. Primary elections will take place on August 6, 2024.[1]

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Declared

Republican candidates

Declared

  • Raul Garcia, physician and candidate for governor in 2020[3]

Endorsements

Maria Cantwell (D)
Organizations
Raul Garcia (R)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Maria Cantwell (D) $7,177,955 $3,703,204 $4,044,643
Raul Garcia (R) $204,437 $69,225 $135,211
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Maria
Cantwell (D)		 Raul
Garcia (R)		 Other Undecided
Elway Research/Crosscut October 30 – November 3, 2023 403 (RV) ± 5% 43% 23% 9%[lower-alpha 2] 25%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[14] Solid D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[15] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Safe D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[17] Safe D May 4, 2023
CNalysis[18] Solid D November 21, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Maria Cantwell vs. Jaime Herrera Beutler
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Maria
Cantwell (D)		 Jaime
Herrera Beutler (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] June 7–8, 2023 773 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 37% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] March 7–8, 2023 874 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 35% 14%
Maria Cantwell vs. Raul Garcia
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Maria
Cantwell (D)		 Raul
Garcia (R)		 Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 51% 38% 11%

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ↑ 6% said another Republican, 3% said another Democrat
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

  1. ↑ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  2. ↑ Everett, Burgess (April 13, 2023). "Will Women US Senators Run the Table in 2024?". Smart Politics. Retrieved July 7, 2023. eight of the 14 women in the chamber up for election have already announced they are seeking another term: Republican Deb Fischer of Nebraska and Democrats Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, Jacky Rosen of Nevada (pictured), Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, Maria Cantwell of Washington, and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin.
  3. ↑ Sowersby, Shauna (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia drops out of governor's race, will run for US Senate in 2024". KING-TV. Retrieved July 7, 2023.
  4. ↑ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ↑ Wang, Danni (April 27, 2023). "Emilys List Endorses Maria Cantwell for Reelection to the United States Senate". Emilys List. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
  6. ↑ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Maria Cantwell". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  8. ↑ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  9. ↑ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  10. ↑ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  11. ↑ O'Sullivan, Joseph (July 7, 2023). "Raul Garcia drops WA governor bid after Dave Reichert announces run". Crosscut.com. Retrieved July 12, 2023.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Villeneuve, Andrew (November 17, 2023). "Senator Maria Cantwell leads Republican challenger Raul Garcia by thirteen points". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
  13. ↑ "2024 Election United States Senate - Washington". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  14. ↑ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  15. ↑ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  16. ↑ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  17. ↑ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  18. ↑ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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