Next Dutch general election
Netherlands
By 15 March 2028
All 150 seats in the House of Representatives
76 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader Current seats
PVV Geert Wilders 37
GL/PvdA Frans Timmermans 25
VVD Dilan Yeşilgöz 24
NSC Pieter Omtzigt 20
D66 Rob Jetten 9
BBB Caroline van der Plas 7
CDA Henri Bontenbal 5
SP Jimmy Dijk 5
DENK Stephan van Baarle 3
PvdD Esther Ouwehand 3
FvD Thierry Baudet 3
SGP Chris Stoffer 3
CU Mirjam Bikker 3
Volt Laurens Dassen 2
JA21 Joost Eerdmans 1

The next Dutch general election to elect the members of the House of Representatives is scheduled for March 2028, but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called.

Electoral system

Pursuant to articles C.1, C.2 and C.3 of the electoral law, elections for the House of Representatives take place every four years in March, unless a snap election is called. The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. A list must receive a number of votes equal to or exceeding the Hare quota (1 full seat) in order to qualify for seat distribution, meaning there is an electoral threshold of 0.67%.[1] Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the Hare quota (effectively ¼ of a seat or 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list.[2][3]

Opinion polls

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size		 PVV GL–PvdA VVD NSC D66 BBB CDA SP DENK PvdD FvD SGP CU Volt JA21 Lead Ref
PvdA GL
Peil.nl 22 Dec 2023 – 48 22 13 18 11 9 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 0 26 [4]
Ipsos 15–18 Dec 2023 1,052 47 22 18 19 9 8 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 2 0 25 [5]
13 Dec 2023 Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader[6]
I&O Research 8–11 Dec 2023 2,952 43 23 16 20 10 8 5 5 2 5 3 3 3 4 0 20 [7]
Peil.nl 1–2 Dec 2023 – 42 22 16 19 11 10 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 20 [8]
2023 election 22 Nov 2023 – 37 25 24 20 9 7 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 12

Notes

    References

    1. ↑ "Zetelverdeling over partijen". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
    2. ↑ Nederland, Parlementsverkiezingen, 15 maart 2017: Eindrapport (Report). OSCE/ODIHR. 7 June 2017. Archived from the original on 24 October 2020. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
    3. ↑ "Zetelverdeling over kandidaten". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
    4. ↑ Hond, Maurice de. "Recordscores PVV en VVD – Peilingen".
    5. ↑ "PVV stijgt verder door naar historische 47 zetels in nieuwe zetelpeiling, VVD hard onderuit". EenVandaag. 19 December 2023.
    6. ↑ "Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader". NU.nl (in Dutch). 13 December 2023. Retrieved 14 December 2023.
    7. ↑ "I&O-zetelpeiling: groei PVV zet door". I&O Research. 14 December 2023.
    8. ↑ "Enorme electorale schommelingen na de verkiezingen". 2 December 2023.
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