![]() | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 150 seats in the House of Representatives 76 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The next Dutch general election to elect the members of the House of Representatives is scheduled for March 2028, but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called.
Electoral system
Pursuant to articles C.1, C.2 and C.3 of the electoral law, elections for the House of Representatives take place every four years in March, unless a snap election is called. The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. A list must receive a number of votes equal to or exceeding the Hare quota (1 full seat) in order to qualify for seat distribution, meaning there is an electoral threshold of 0.67%.[1] Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the Hare quota (effectively ¼ of a seat or 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list.[2][3]
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
PVV | GL–PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | DENK | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA | GL | |||||||||||||||||||
Peil.nl | 22 Dec 2023 | – | 48 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | [4] | |
Ipsos | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 1,052 | 47 | 22 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | [5] | |
Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader[6] | ||||||||||||||||||||
I&O Research | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,952 | 43 | 23 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20 | [7] | |
Peil.nl | 1–2 Dec 2023 | – | 42 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | [8] | |
2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 37 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
Notes
References
- ↑ "Zetelverdeling over partijen". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
- ↑ Nederland, Parlementsverkiezingen, 15 maart 2017: Eindrapport (Report). OSCE/ODIHR. 7 June 2017. Archived from the original on 24 October 2020. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
- ↑ "Zetelverdeling over kandidaten". Kiesraad (in Dutch). 22 April 2016. Archived from the original on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 9 July 2023.
- ↑ Hond, Maurice de. "Recordscores PVV en VVD – Peilingen".
- ↑ "PVV stijgt verder door naar historische 47 zetels in nieuwe zetelpeiling, VVD hard onderuit". EenVandaag. 19 December 2023.
- ↑ "Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader". NU.nl (in Dutch). 13 December 2023. Retrieved 14 December 2023.
- ↑ "I&O-zetelpeiling: groei PVV zet door". I&O Research. 14 December 2023.
- ↑ "Enorme electorale schommelingen na de verkiezingen". 2 December 2023.