2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
November 5, 2024
All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 6 3

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from all nine of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections will be August 6, 2024, and will not coincide with the presidential primaries, which will be held March 12, 2024.

District 1

This district is based in northeastern Phoenix and Scottsdale. The incumbent is Republican David Schweikert, who was re-elected with 50.4% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Paul Thomas Burton[3]

Endorsements

David Schweikert
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Schweikert (R) $1,354,745 $606,113 $801,569
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Endorsements

Andrei Cherny
U.S. executive officials
U.S representatives
Organizations
Marlene Galán-Woods
Federal cabinet officials
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Conor O'Callaghan
U.S. representatives

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andrei Cherny (D) $1,002,869 $281,715 $721,154
Marlene Galán-Woods (D) $522,925 $147,953 $374,972
Andrew Horne (D) $906,775[lower-alpha 2] $109,040 $797,734
Kurt Kroemer (D) $256,327[lower-alpha 3] $137,194 $119,133
Amish Shah (D) $712,327[lower-alpha 4] $327,115 $385,212
Source: Federal Election Commission[7]

Independents and third-party candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Kiesha Gayles (Right to Life)[36]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Tossup July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Tilt R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Tossup June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Tossup June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of northeastern Arizona. The incumbent is first-term Republican Eli Crane, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.9% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Eli Crane
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Eli Crane (R) $2,004,178 $1,379,154 $691,279
Source: Federal Election Commission[45]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Jonathan Nez
Tribes

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of July 15, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lindsay Bowe (D) $9,620 $9,624 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[49]

Independents and third-party candidates

Filed paperwork

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Safe R July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Safe R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Safe R November 16, 2023

District 3

The 3rd district is majority-Latino and is based in downtown and western Phoenix.[51] The incumbent is Democrat Ruben Gallego, who was re-elected with 77.0% of the vote in 2022.[1] He is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for U.S. Senate.

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Yassamin Ansari
Labor unions
Organizations
Raquel Terán
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Local officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
of error		 Yassamin
Ansari		 Raquel
Terán		 Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)[upper-alpha 1] October 26 – November 5, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 24% 23% 42%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ylenia Aguilar (D)[lower-alpha 6] $63,933 $63,933 $0
Yassamin Ansari (D) $762,697 $179,715 $582,982
Laura Pastor (D)[lower-alpha 6] $116,001 $9,175 $106,825
Raquel Terán (D) $436,936 $141,062 $158,830
Duane Wooten (D) $17,659 $10,075 $7,584
Source: Federal Election Commission[75]

Republican primary

Declared

  • Jeff Zink, strength conditioning specialist and nominee for this district in 2022[10]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Jeff Zink (R) $124,098[lower-alpha 7] $42,757 $81,341
Source: Federal Election Commission[75]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 4

The incumbent is Democrat Greg Stanton, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Greg Stanton
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Stanton (D) $963,620 $362,349 $634,612
Source: Federal Election Commission[81]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kelly Cooper (R) $214,212[lower-alpha 8] $163,400 $109,555
Dave Giles (R) $9,991[lower-alpha 9] $9,991 $0
Jerone Davidson (R) $2,738 $2,503 $235
Source: Federal Election Commission[81]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 5

The incumbent is Republican Andy Biggs, who was re-elected with 56.7% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Potential

Endorsements

Andy Biggs (not declared)
Organizations

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Katrina Schaffner, pro-Ukraine activist[85]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andy Biggs (R) $534,256 $425,928 $343,800
Source: Federal Election Commission[86]

Independents and third-party candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Clint Smith, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2022 (Independent)[87]

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid R July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 6

The incumbent is first-term Republican Juan Ciscomani, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.8% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Juan Ciscomani
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Juan Ciscomani (R) $2,245,284 $456,936 $1,842,783
Source: Federal Election Commission[91]

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Kirsten Engel
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kirsten Engel (D) $857,262 $218,423 $640,143
Source: Federal Election Commission[91]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Tossup July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Tilt R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Lean R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Tossup June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Tossup November 16, 2023

District 7

The 7th district is majority-Hispanic and covers most of the Mexico–United States border in Arizona, including parts of Tucson and Yuma. The incumbent is Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who won with 64.5% of the vote in 2022.[1]

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements

Raúl Grijalva
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Raúl Grijalva (D) $197,305 $136,737 $266,773
Source: Federal Election Commission[106]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid D July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid D July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe D June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe D June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid D November 16, 2023

District 8

The incumbent is Republican Debbie Lesko, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022. Lesko announced in October 2023 that she won't seek re-election in 2024.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Formed exploratory committee

Potential

Declined

Endorsements

Abraham Hamadeh
U.S. Executive branch officials
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Debbie Lesko (not running)
Organizations
Blake Masters
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Ben Toma
U.S. representatives

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
of error		 Trent
Franks		 Abe
Hamadeh		 Anthony
Kern		 Blake
Masters		 Ben
Toma		 Other Undecided
National Public Affairs (R)[upper-alpha 2] December 16–17, 2023 418 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 37% 3% 14% 7% – 34%
National Public Affairs (R) October 23–24, 2023 301 (LV) ± 5.6% – 31% – 24% 11% – 34%
Data Orbital (R)[upper-alpha 3] October 19–21, 2023 450 (LV) ± 4.7% – 18% 6% 33% 7% 5%[lower-alpha 10] 32%
Hypothetical polling
Abe Hamadeh vs. Ben Toma
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
of error		 Abe
Hamadeh		 Ben
Toma		 Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) October 23–24, 2023 301 (LV) ± 5.6% 41% 12% 47%
Abe Hamadeh vs. Blake Masters
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
of error		 Abe
Hamadeh		 Blake
Masters		 Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) October 23–24, 2023 301 (LV) ± 5.6% 36% 27% 38%
Blake Masters vs. Ben Toma
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 5]		 Margin
of error		 Blake
Masters		 Ben
Toma		 Undecided
National Public Affairs (R) October 23–24, 2023 301 (LV) ± 5.6% 42% 15% 43%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Debbie Lesko (R)[lower-alpha 6] $362,464 $266,429 $1,098,769
Source: Federal Election Commission[128]

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Bernadette Greene-Placentia, truck driver[111]
  • Jim Holmes, truck driver and candidate for this seat in 2022[111]
  • Marc Lewis, healthcare consultant[111]
  • Steven Sawdy, retail worker and candidate for this district in 2020[88]
  • Greg Whitten, biosecurity contractor and former U.S. Department of Defense official[129]

Libertarian primary

Declared

Independents

Declared

  • Jeremy Spreitzer, firefighter and Democratic write-in candidate for this district in 2022[111]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Greg Whitten (D) $58,136[lower-alpha 11] $36,974 $21,161
Source: Federal Election Commission[128]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid R July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid R November 16, 2023

District 9

The incumbent is Republican Paul Gosar, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Endorsements

Paul Gosar
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Paul Gosar (R) $211,941 $158,771 $170,129
Source: Federal Election Commission[133]

Democratic primary

Declared

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Nick Blair (D)[lower-alpha 12] $5,100 $5,100 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[133]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Solid R July 28, 2023
Inside Elections[38] Solid R July 28, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Safe R June 8, 2023
Elections Daily[40] Safe R June 8, 2023
CNalysis[41] Solid R November 16, 2023

Notes

  1. ↑ This district was numbered as the 6th district prior to the 2020 redistricting cycle.
  2. ↑ $749,537 of this total was self-funded by Horne
  3. ↑ $140,000 of this total was self-funded by Kroemer
  4. ↑ $3,300 of this total was self-funded by Shah
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  6. 1 2 3 Withdrawn candidate
  7. ↑ $119,103 of this total was self-funded by Zink
  8. ↑ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Cooper
  9. ↑ $1,255 of this total was self-funded by Giles
  10. ↑ "Refused" with 5%
  11. ↑ $23,000 of this total was self-funded by Whitten
  12. ↑ Has not filed for Q3
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Ansari's campaign
  2. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Hamadeh's campaign
  3. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Masters' campaign

References

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  119. ↑ Singer, Jeff (October 27, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 10/27". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 27, 2023. Norton, who is currently the state party treasurer, tweeted Thursday, 'I am gracious for the encouragement I have received by those asking me to run for CD-8 following @RepDLesko's retirement (who we thank for her service), but I must humbly decline.'
  120. ↑ @KimberlyYeeAZ (October 18, 2023). "Wishing my longtime friend and colleague @DebbieLesko all the best for the future. Thank you for your years of dedicated service to Arizona! See my statement on AZ #CD8" (Tweet). Retrieved October 18, 2023 – via Twitter.
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